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MK Dons
League One | Gameweek 20
Dec 3, 2022 at 12.30pm UK
Stadium mk
Burton Albion

MK Dons
1 - 1
Burton Albion

Johnson (84')
Harvie (45+5')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Adeboyejo (29' pen.)
Onyango (64'), Garratt (90+1')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between MK Dons and Burton Albion, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: MK Dons 2-1 Burton Albion

Given their respective form, neither team will feel particularly confident about collecting maximum points at the weekend. Nevertheless, despite Burton heading into this fixture on the back of two draws, MK Dons remain the favourites and could edge the game by the odd goal in three. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a MK Dons win with a probability of 61.97%. A draw had a probability of 21% and a win for Burton Albion had a probability of 17.07%.

The most likely scoreline for a MK Dons win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.47%) and 2-1 (9.94%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.92%), while for a Burton Albion win it was 0-1 (4.94%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood.

Result
MK DonsDrawBurton Albion
61.97% (1.43 1.43) 20.96% (-0.388 -0.39) 17.07% (-1.045 -1.05)
Both teams to score 52.96% (-0.806 -0.81)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.6% (-0.034999999999997 -0.03)43.4% (0.033000000000001 0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.21% (-0.032999999999994 -0.03)65.79% (0.031999999999996 0.03)
MK Dons Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.54% (0.42 0.42)13.46% (-0.421 -0.42)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
59.55% (0.839 0.84)40.45% (-0.84 -0.84)
Burton Albion Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.2% (-1.234 -1.23)38.8% (1.233 1.23)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.46% (-1.186 -1.19)75.54% (1.186 1.19)
Score Analysis
    MK Dons 61.96%
    Burton Albion 17.07%
    Draw 20.96%
MK DonsDrawBurton Albion
2-0 @ 10.5% (0.34 0.34)
1-0 @ 10.47% (0.18 0.18)
2-1 @ 9.94% (-0.011000000000001 -0.01)
3-0 @ 7.02% (0.329 0.33)
3-1 @ 6.65% (0.095000000000001 0.1)
4-0 @ 3.52% (0.216 0.22)
4-1 @ 3.33% (0.098 0.1)
3-2 @ 3.15% (-0.061 -0.06)
4-2 @ 1.58% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
5-0 @ 1.41% (0.107 0.11)
5-1 @ 1.34% (0.059 0.06)
Other @ 3.05%
Total : 61.96%
1-1 @ 9.92% (-0.165 -0.17)
0-0 @ 5.22% (0.008 0.01)
2-2 @ 4.71% (-0.166 -0.17)
3-3 @ 0.99% (-0.054 -0.05)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 20.96%
0-1 @ 4.94% (-0.161 -0.16)
1-2 @ 4.69% (-0.242 -0.24)
0-2 @ 2.34% (-0.159 -0.16)
2-3 @ 1.49% (-0.105 -0.11)
1-3 @ 1.48% (-0.129 -0.13)
Other @ 2.13%
Total : 17.07%

How you voted: MK Dons vs Burton Albion

MK Dons
63.2%
Draw
21.1%
Burton Albion
15.8%
19
Head to Head
Jan 25, 2022 7.45pm
Nov 20, 2021 3pm
Aug 31, 2021 7pm
Mar 20, 2021 3pm
Burton Albion
1-2
MK Dons
Akins (74' pen.)
Clare (41'), Carter (58'), Hemmings (68')
Fraser (15' pen.), O'Hora (61')
McEachran (57'), Harvie (90+3')
Dec 12, 2020 3pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CPortsmouth462813578413797
3Bolton WanderersBolton462512986513587
4Peterborough UnitedPeterborough462591289612884
5Oxford UnitedOxford Utd4622111379562377
6Barnsley4621131282641876
7Lincoln CityLincoln4620141265402574
8Blackpool4621101565481773
9Stevenage4619141357461171
10Wycombe WanderersWycombe461714156055565
11Leyton Orient461811175355-265
12Wigan AthleticWigan462010166356762
13Exeter CityExeter461710194661-1561
14Northampton TownNorthampton46179205766-960
15Bristol Rovers46169215268-1657
16Charlton AthleticCharlton461120156465-153
17Reading461611196870-253
18Cambridge UnitedCambridge461212223961-2248
19Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury46139243567-3248
20Burton Albion461210243967-2846
RCheltenham TownCheltenham46128264165-2444
RFleetwood TownFleetwood461013234972-2343
RPort Vale461011254174-3341
RCarlisle UnitedCarlisle4679304181-4030


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