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Championship header 2

League One

MK Dons
League One | Gameweek 20
Dec 3, 2022 at 12.30pm UK
Stadium mk
Burton Albion

MK Dons
1 - 1
Burton Albion

Johnson (84')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Adeboyejo (29' pen.)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between MK Dons and Burton Albion, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

MK Dons

All competitions
League One
Last Game: Portsmouth 3-2 MK Dons
Saturday, November 26 at 3pm in FA Cup

Burton Albion

All competitions
League One
Last Game: Burton Albion 6-1 Chippenham
Sunday, November 27 at 2pm in FA Cup

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a MK Dons win with a probability of 61.97%. A draw had a probability of 21% and a win for Burton Albion had a probability of 17.07%.

The most likely scoreline for a MK Dons win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.47%) and 2-1 (9.94%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.92%), while for a Burton Albion win it was 0-1 (4.94%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood.

Result
MK DonsDrawBurton Albion
61.97% (1.43 1.43)20.96% (-0.388 -0.39)17.07% (-1.045 -1.05)
Both teams to score 52.96% (-0.806 -0.81)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.6% (-0.034999999999997 -0.03)43.4% (0.033000000000001 0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.21% (-0.032999999999994 -0.03)65.79% (0.031999999999996 0.03)
MK Dons Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.54% (0.42 0.42)13.46% (-0.421 -0.42)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
59.55% (0.839 0.84)40.45% (-0.84 -0.84)
Burton Albion Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.2% (-1.234 -1.23)38.8% (1.233 1.23)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.46% (-1.186 -1.19)75.54% (1.186 1.19)
Score Analysis
    MK Dons 61.96%
    Burton Albion 17.07%
    Draw 20.96%
MK DonsDrawBurton Albion
2-0 @ 10.5% (0.34 0.34)
1-0 @ 10.47% (0.18 0.18)
2-1 @ 9.94% (-0.011000000000001 -0.01)
3-0 @ 7.02% (0.329 0.33)
3-1 @ 6.65% (0.095000000000001 0.1)
4-0 @ 3.52% (0.216 0.22)
4-1 @ 3.33% (0.098 0.1)
3-2 @ 3.15% (-0.061 -0.06)
4-2 @ 1.58% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
5-0 @ 1.41% (0.107 0.11)
5-1 @ 1.34% (0.059 0.06)
Other @ 3.05%
Total : 61.96%
1-1 @ 9.92% (-0.165 -0.17)
0-0 @ 5.22% (0.008 0.01)
2-2 @ 4.71% (-0.166 -0.17)
3-3 @ 0.99% (-0.054 -0.05)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 20.96%
0-1 @ 4.94% (-0.161 -0.16)
1-2 @ 4.69% (-0.242 -0.24)
0-2 @ 2.34% (-0.159 -0.16)
2-3 @ 1.49% (-0.105 -0.11)
1-3 @ 1.48% (-0.129 -0.13)
Other @ 2.13%
Total : 17.07%

How you voted: MK Dons vs Burton Albion

MK Dons
63.2%
Draw
21.1%
Burton Albion
15.8%
19
Head to Head
Jan 25, 2022 7.45pm
Burton Albion
0-1
MK Dons

Hughes (74'), Moult (89')
Twine (90+5')
Nov 20, 2021 3pm
MK Dons
1-0
Burton Albion
Watters (65')
Kasumu (45+6')

Hamer (14'), Hemmings (49'), Mancienne (74')
Aug 31, 2021 7pm
Burton Albion
1-2
MK Dons
O'Riley (67' og.)
Blake-Tracy (71')
Bird (58'), Darling (63')
Jules (66')
Mar 20, 2021 3pm
Burton Albion
1-2
MK Dons
Akins (74' pen.)
Clare (41'), Carter (58'), Hemmings (68')
Fraser (15' pen.), O'Hora (61')
McEachran (57'), Harvie (90+3')
Dec 12, 2020 3pm
MK Dons
1-1
Burton Albion
Fraser (73' pen.)
Daniel (8')
Quinn (67'), Wallace (75')