Home > Football > League One
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a MK Dons win with a probability of 61.97%. A draw had a probability of 21% and a win for Burton Albion had a probability of 17.07%.
The most likely scoreline for a MK Dons win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.47%) and 2-1 (9.94%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.92%), while for a Burton Albion win it was 0-1 (4.94%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood.
Result | ||
MK Dons | Draw | Burton Albion |
61.97% ( 1.43) | 20.96% ( -0.39) | 17.07% ( -1.05) |
Both teams to score 52.96% ( -0.81) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
56.6% ( -0.03) | 43.4% ( 0.03) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
34.21% ( -0.03) | 65.79% ( 0.03) |
MK Dons Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
86.54% ( 0.42) | 13.46% ( -0.42) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
59.55% ( 0.84) | 40.45% ( -0.84) |
Burton Albion Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
61.2% ( -1.23) | 38.8% ( 1.23) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
24.46% ( -1.19) | 75.54% ( 1.19) |
Score Analysis |
MK Dons | Draw | Burton Albion |
2-0 @ 10.5% ( 0.34) 1-0 @ 10.47% ( 0.18) 2-1 @ 9.94% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 7.02% ( 0.33) 3-1 @ 6.65% ( 0.1) 4-0 @ 3.52% ( 0.22) 4-1 @ 3.33% ( 0.1) 3-2 @ 3.15% ( -0.06) 4-2 @ 1.58% ( -0) 5-0 @ 1.41% ( 0.11) 5-1 @ 1.34% ( 0.06) Other @ 3.05% Total : 61.96% | 1-1 @ 9.92% ( -0.17) 0-0 @ 5.22% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 4.71% ( -0.17) 3-3 @ 0.99% ( -0.05) Other @ 0.13% Total : 20.96% | 0-1 @ 4.94% ( -0.16) 1-2 @ 4.69% ( -0.24) 0-2 @ 2.34% ( -0.16) 2-3 @ 1.49% ( -0.11) 1-3 @ 1.48% ( -0.13) Other @ 2.13% Total : 17.07% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Portsmouth | 46 | 28 | 13 | 5 | 78 | 41 | 37 | 97 |
P | Derby CountyDerby | 46 | 28 | 8 | 10 | 78 | 37 | 41 | 92 |
3 | Bolton WanderersBolton | 46 | 25 | 12 | 9 | 86 | 51 | 35 | 87 |
4 | Peterborough UnitedPeterborough | 46 | 25 | 9 | 12 | 89 | 61 | 28 | 84 |
5 | Oxford UnitedOxford Utd | 46 | 22 | 11 | 13 | 79 | 56 | 23 | 77 |
6 | Barnsley | 46 | 21 | 13 | 12 | 82 | 64 | 18 | 76 |
7 | Lincoln CityLincoln | 46 | 20 | 14 | 12 | 65 | 40 | 25 | 74 |
8 | Blackpool | 46 | 21 | 10 | 15 | 65 | 48 | 17 | 73 |
9 | Stevenage | 46 | 19 | 14 | 13 | 57 | 46 | 11 | 71 |
10 | Wycombe WanderersWycombe | 46 | 17 | 14 | 15 | 60 | 55 | 5 | 65 |
11 | Leyton Orient | 46 | 18 | 11 | 17 | 53 | 55 | -2 | 65 |
12 | Wigan AthleticWigan | 46 | 20 | 10 | 16 | 63 | 56 | 7 | 62 |
13 | Exeter CityExeter | 46 | 17 | 10 | 19 | 46 | 61 | -15 | 61 |
14 | Northampton TownNorthampton | 46 | 17 | 9 | 20 | 57 | 66 | -9 | 60 |
15 | Bristol Rovers | 46 | 16 | 9 | 21 | 52 | 68 | -16 | 57 |
16 | Charlton AthleticCharlton | 46 | 11 | 20 | 15 | 64 | 65 | -1 | 53 |
17 | Reading | 46 | 16 | 11 | 19 | 68 | 70 | -2 | 53 |
18 | Cambridge UnitedCambridge | 46 | 12 | 12 | 22 | 39 | 61 | -22 | 48 |
19 | Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury | 46 | 13 | 9 | 24 | 35 | 67 | -32 | 48 |
20 | Burton Albion | 46 | 12 | 10 | 24 | 39 | 67 | -28 | 46 |
R | Cheltenham TownCheltenham | 46 | 12 | 8 | 26 | 41 | 65 | -24 | 44 |
R | Fleetwood TownFleetwood | 46 | 10 | 13 | 23 | 49 | 72 | -23 | 43 |
R | Port Vale | 46 | 10 | 11 | 25 | 41 | 74 | -33 | 41 |
R | Carlisle UnitedCarlisle | 46 | 7 | 9 | 30 | 41 | 81 | -40 | 30 |
> League One Full Table |