League One Gameweek 19
Nov 19, 2022 3.00pm
3
1
HT : 1 1
FT Oakwell Stadium
  • Jordan Williams 18' goal
  • Adam Phillips 50' goal
  • Herbie Kane 68' goal
  • goal Mohamed Eisa 40'

Barnsley vs MK Dons - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Barnsley

All competitions
Last game
Nov 12, 2022 3.00pm
Shrewsbury 0 - 1 Barnsley
Goals scored
80
Top scorer
Devante Cole

MK Dons

All competitions
Last game
Nov 12, 2022 3.00pm
MK Dons 1 - 3 Derby
Goals scored
44
Top scorer
Mohamed Eisa

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barnsley win with a probability of 44.05%. A win for MK Dons had a probability of 28.71% and a draw had a probability of 27.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Barnsley win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.72%) and 2-0 (8.38%). The likeliest MK Dons win was 0-1 (9.45%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.83%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Barnsley would win this match.

Result

Barnsley 44.05% (-0.02)
Draw 27.23% (-0.01)
MK Dons 28.71% (+0.02)

Both Teams to Score: 

48.05% (+0.03)

Goals

Over 2.5 43% (+0.02)
Under 2.5 57% (-0.02)
Over 3.5 22.11% (+0.02)
Under 3.5 77.89% (-0.02)

Barnsley Goals

Over 0.5 74.29% (+0.01)
Under 0.5 25.71% (-0.01)
Over 1.5 39.37% (-0.01)
Under 1.5 60.63% (+0.01)

MK Dons Goals

Over 0.5 64.68% (+0.03)
Under 0.5 35.32% (-0.03)
Over 1.5 27.92% (+0.03)
Under 1.5 72.07% (-0.03)

Score analysis

Barnsley 44.05%
Draw 27.23%
MK Dons 28.72%
Barnsley
1-0 @ 12.33% (-0.01)
2-1 @ 8.72%
2-0 @ 8.38% (-0.01)
3-1 @ 3.95%
3-0 @ 3.79% (-0.01)
3-2 @ 2.05% (+0.01)
4-1 @ 1.34%
4-0 @ 1.29% (-0.01)
Other @ 2.2%
Total : 44.05%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.83%
0-0 @ 9.08% (-0.01)
2-2 @ 4.54% (+0.01)
Other @ 0.78%
Total : 27.23%
MK Dons
0-1 @ 9.45%
1-2 @ 6.68% (+0.01)
0-2 @ 4.92% (+0.01)
1-3 @ 2.32% (+0.01)
0-3 @ 1.71% (+0.01)
2-3 @ 1.57% (+0.01)
Other @ 2.07%
Total : 28.72%

Head to Head

League One
Jan 24, 2015 3.00pm
2
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Dele Alli 57' goal
  • Will Grigg 63' goal
  • yellowcard Ben Pearson 56'
League One
Sep 13, 2014 3.00pm
3
5
HT : 0 2
FT
  • Brad Abbott 37' yellowcard
  • Conor Hourihane 82' goal
  • Conor Hourihane 87' goal
  • Devante Cole 91' goal
  • goal Benik Afobe 33'
  • yellowcard Mark Randall 35'
  • goal Samir Carruthers 45'
  • goal Dele Alli 52'
  • goal Will Grigg 71'
  • goal Ben Reeves 79'
FA Cup
Feb 16, 2013 3.00pm
1
3
HT : 1 2
FT
  • Dean Bowditch 0' goal
  • goal Chris Dagnall 0'
  • goal Marlon Harewood 0'
League One
Jan 21, 2006 3.00pm
2
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Jacob Burns 17' yellowcard
  • Neil Austin 68' yellowcard
  • Marc Richards 77' goal
  • Bobby Hassell 79' goal
  • yellowcard Wade Small 39'
  • yellowcard Ben Chorley 89'
League One
Sep 17, 2005 3.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Gareth Edds 78' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Nicky Wroe 26'
  • yellowcard Paul Reid 28'
  • yellowcard Barry Conlon 66'
  • yellowcard Jacob Burns 73'
  • yellowcard Robbie Williams 78'
League One
Mar 19, 2005 3.00pm
1
1
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Robbie Williams 28' yellowcard
  • Daniel Nardiello 45' goal
  • yellowcard Gareth Edds 31'