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Barnsley
League One | Gameweek 19
Nov 19, 2022 at 3pm UK
Oakwell Stadium
MK Dons

Barnsley
3 - 1
MK Dons

Williams (18'), Phillips (50'), Kane (68')
Connell (26'), Andersen (45+2'), Kitching (52')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Eisa (40')
McEachran (23'), Eisa (45+3'), Lawrence (84'), Jules (90+2')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Barnsley and MK Dons, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Shrewsbury 0-1 Barnsley
Saturday, November 12 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: MK Dons 1-3 Derby
Saturday, November 12 at 3pm in League One

We said: Barnsley 2-1 MK Dons

Barnsley have enjoyed a far stronger start to the season than their visitors, and with renewed confidence on the back of two straight league victories, they should take all three points at Oakwell. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barnsley win with a probability of 44.05%. A win for MK Dons had a probability of 28.71% and a draw had a probability of 27.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Barnsley win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.72%) and 2-0 (8.38%). The likeliest MK Dons win was 0-1 (9.45%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.83%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Barnsley would win this match.

Result
BarnsleyDrawMK Dons
44.05% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02) 27.23% (-0.0029999999999966 -0) 28.71% (0.02 0.02)
Both teams to score 48.05% (0.021999999999998 0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
43% (0.019999999999996 0.02)57% (-0.019000000000005 -0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.11% (0.015000000000001 0.02)77.89% (-0.015999999999991 -0.02)
Barnsley Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.29% (0.00099999999999056 0)25.71% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.37% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)60.63% (0.00099999999999767 0)
MK Dons Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.68% (0.027000000000001 0.03)35.32% (-0.025999999999996 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.92% (0.026999999999997 0.03)72.07% (-0.027000000000001 -0.03)
Score Analysis
    Barnsley 44.05%
    MK Dons 28.72%
    Draw 27.23%
BarnsleyDrawMK Dons
1-0 @ 12.33% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-1 @ 8.72%
2-0 @ 8.38% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
3-1 @ 3.95%
3-0 @ 3.79% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-2 @ 2.05% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-1 @ 1.34%
4-0 @ 1.29% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 2.2%
Total : 44.05%
1-1 @ 12.83%
0-0 @ 9.08% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
2-2 @ 4.54% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Other @ 0.78%
Total : 27.23%
0-1 @ 9.45%
1-2 @ 6.68% (0.0049999999999999 0)
0-2 @ 4.92% (0.0030000000000001 0)
1-3 @ 2.32% (0.004 0)
0-3 @ 1.71% (0.002 0)
2-3 @ 1.57% (0.002 0)
Other @ 2.07%
Total : 28.72%

How you voted: Barnsley vs MK Dons

Barnsley
79.5%
Draw
15.9%
MK Dons
4.5%
44
Head to Head
Jan 24, 2015 3pm
Sep 13, 2014 3pm
Barnsley
3-5
MK Dons
Hourihane (82', 87'), Cole (91')
Abbott (37')
Afobe (33'), Carruthers (45'), Alli (52'), Grigg (71'), Reeves (79')
Randall (35')
Jan 21, 2006 3pm
Barnsley
2-0
MK Dons
Hassell (79'), Richards (77')
Burns (17'), Austin (68')

Small (39'), Chorley (89')
Sep 17, 2005 3pm
MK Dons
0-0
Barnsley

Edds (78')

Wroe (26'), Reid (28'), Conlon (66'), Burns (73'), Williams (78')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Wycombe WanderersWycombe18124239211840
2Wrexham19124328111740
3Birmingham CityBirmingham17123232161639
4Huddersfield TownHuddersfield18112528161235
5Stockport CountyStockport1996431191233
6Reading189453025531
7Bolton WanderersBolton179352827130
8Barnsley197662725227
9Lincoln CityLincoln197662423127
10Mansfield TownMansfield177372222024
11Exeter CityExeter187381619-324
12Charlton AthleticCharlton186571819-123
13Blackpool186572631-523
14Stevenage176471316-322
15Peterborough UnitedPeterborough186393332121
16Leyton Orient186391920-121
17Northampton TownNorthampton195682126-521
18Bristol Rovers186391726-921
19Wigan AthleticWigan185581516-120
20Rotherham UnitedRotherham175571620-420
21Crawley TownCrawley185491728-1119
22Cambridge UnitedCambridge1844101829-1116
23Burton Albion1825111630-1411
24Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury1832131835-1711


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