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Barnsley
League One | Gameweek 19
Nov 19, 2022 at 3pm UK
Oakwell Stadium
MK Dons

Barnsley
3 - 1
MK Dons

Williams (18'), Phillips (50'), Kane (68')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Eisa (40')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Barnsley and MK Dons, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: MK Dons 1-3 Derby
Saturday, November 12 at 3pm in League One

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barnsley win with a probability of 44.05%. A win for MK Dons had a probability of 28.71% and a draw had a probability of 27.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Barnsley win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.72%) and 2-0 (8.38%). The likeliest MK Dons win was 0-1 (9.45%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.83%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Barnsley would win this match.

Result
BarnsleyDrawMK Dons
44.05% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)27.23% (-0.0029999999999966 -0)28.71% (0.02 0.02)
Both teams to score 48.05% (0.021999999999998 0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
43% (0.019999999999996 0.02)57% (-0.019000000000005 -0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.11% (0.015000000000001 0.02)77.89% (-0.015999999999991 -0.02)
Barnsley Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.29% (0.00099999999999056 0)25.71% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.37% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)60.63% (0.00099999999999767 0)
MK Dons Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.68% (0.027000000000001 0.03)35.32% (-0.025999999999996 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.92% (0.026999999999997 0.03)72.07% (-0.027000000000001 -0.03)
Score Analysis
    Barnsley 44.05%
    MK Dons 28.72%
    Draw 27.23%
BarnsleyDrawMK Dons
1-0 @ 12.33% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-1 @ 8.72%
2-0 @ 8.38% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
3-1 @ 3.95%
3-0 @ 3.79% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-2 @ 2.05% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-1 @ 1.34%
4-0 @ 1.29% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 2.2%
Total : 44.05%
1-1 @ 12.83%
0-0 @ 9.08% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
2-2 @ 4.54% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Other @ 0.78%
Total : 27.23%
0-1 @ 9.45%
1-2 @ 6.68% (0.0049999999999999 0)
0-2 @ 4.92% (0.0030000000000001 0)
1-3 @ 2.32% (0.004 0)
0-3 @ 1.71% (0.002 0)
2-3 @ 1.57% (0.002 0)
Other @ 2.07%
Total : 28.72%

How you voted: Barnsley vs MK Dons

Barnsley
79.5%
Draw
15.9%
MK Dons
4.5%
44
Head to Head
Jan 24, 2015 3pm
Sep 13, 2014 3pm
Barnsley
3-5
MK Dons
Hourihane (82', 87'), Cole (91')
Abbott (37')
Afobe (33'), Carruthers (45'), Alli (52'), Grigg (71'), Reeves (79')
Randall (35')
Jan 21, 2006 3pm
Barnsley
2-0
MK Dons
Hassell (79'), Richards (77')
Burns (17'), Austin (68')

Small (39'), Chorley (89')
Sep 17, 2005 3pm
MK Dons
0-0
Barnsley

Edds (78')

Wroe (26'), Reid (28'), Conlon (66'), Burns (73'), Williams (78')