League One Gameweek 17
Oct 29, 2022 3.00pm
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT Oakwell Stadium
  • Devante Cole 15' goal
  • Josh Martin 83' goal

Barnsley vs Forest Green Rovers - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Barnsley

All competitions
Last game
Oct 25, 2022 7.45pm
Barnsley 0 - 1 Lincoln
Goals scored
80
Top scorer
Devante Cole

Forest Green Rovers

All competitions
Last game
Oct 25, 2022 7.45pm
Fleetwood 1 - 1 Forest Green
Goals scored
31
Top scorer
Connor Wickham

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barnsley win with a probability of 49.95%. A win for Forest Green Rovers had a probability of 25.64% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Barnsley win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.57%) and 2-0 (8.59%). The likeliest Forest Green Rovers win was 0-1 (7%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.57%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Barnsley would win this match.

Result

Barnsley 49.95% (-0.12)
Draw 24.41% (+0.04)
Forest Green Rovers 25.64% (+0.08)

Both Teams to Score: 

54.29% (-0.06)

Goals

Over 2.5 52.25% (-0.11)
Under 2.5 47.75% (+0.11)
Over 3.5 30.06% (-0.10)
Under 3.5 69.95% (+0.10)

Barnsley Goals

Over 0.5 80.85% (-0.09)
Under 0.5 19.15% (+0.09)
Over 1.5 49.2% (-0.15)
Under 1.5 50.8% (+0.15)

Forest Green Rovers Goals

Over 0.5 67.15% (+0.01)
Under 0.5 32.85% (-0.01)
Over 1.5 30.58% (+0.01)
Under 1.5 69.42% (-0.01)

Score analysis

Barnsley 49.94%
Draw 24.41%
Forest Green Rovers 25.64%
Barnsley
1-0 @ 10.39% (+0.01)
2-1 @ 9.57% (-0.01)
2-0 @ 8.59% (-0.01)
3-1 @ 5.27% (-0.02)
3-0 @ 4.73% (-0.02)
3-2 @ 2.93% (-0.01)
4-1 @ 2.18% (-0.02)
4-0 @ 1.96% (-0.02)
4-2 @ 1.21% (-0.01)
Other @ 3.11%
Total : 49.94%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.57% (+0.02)
0-0 @ 6.29% (+0.03)
2-2 @ 5.33% (-0.01)
3-3 @ 1.09% (-0.01)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 24.41%
Forest Green Rovers
0-1 @ 7% (+0.04)
1-2 @ 6.44% (+0.02)
0-2 @ 3.9% (+0.02)
1-3 @ 2.39% (+0.01)
2-3 @ 1.98% (-0.01)
0-3 @ 1.45% (+0.01)
Other @ 2.48%
Total : 25.64%