FA Cup

FA Cup | Second Round

Nov 27, 2022 at 2pm UK

Pirelli Stadium

Burton Albion
6 - 1
Chippenham

Smith (26'), Oshilaja (44', 90'), Kamwa (54'), Winnall (78', 84')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Parsons (60')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's FA Cup clash between Burton Albion and Chippenham Town, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Burton Albion

All competitions

FA Cup

Last Game: Burton Albion 1-1 Tranmere (5-4 pen.)
Tuesday, November 22 at 7pm in EFL Trophy

Goals
for

Top scorers

Chippenham Town

All competitions

FA Cup

Last Game: Chippenham 0-3 Havant & W'ville
Tuesday, November 15 at 7.45pm in National League South

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Burton Albion win with a probability of 62.46%. A draw had a probability of 20.1% and a win for Chippenham Town had a probability of 17.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Burton Albion win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.65%) and 1-0 (9.09%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.34%), while for a Chippenham Town win it was 1-2 (4.8%). The actual scoreline of 6-1 was predicted with a 0.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Burton Albion would win this match.

Result
Burton Albion	Draw	Chippenham Town
62.46% ( 0.11)	20.14% ( 0.02)	17.4% ( -0.14)

Both teams to score 56.54% (

-0.38)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

60.98% (

-0.36)

39.02% (

0.36)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

38.66% (

-0.38)

61.34% (

0.38)

Burton Albion Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

88.03% (

-0.08)

11.96% (

0.08)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

62.64% (

-0.16)

37.36% (

0.16)

Chippenham Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

64.22% (

-0.37)

35.78% (

0.37)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

27.44% (

-0.39)

72.55% (

0.39)

Score Analysis

Burton Albion 62.46%

Chippenham Town 17.4%

Draw 20.14%

Burton Albion	Draw	Chippenham Town
2-1 @ 9.92% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 9.65% ( 0.1) 1-0 @ 9.09% ( 0.13) 3-1 @ 7.02% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 6.83% ( 0.05) 4-1 @ 3.73% ( -0.02) 4-0 @ 3.63% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 3.61% ( -0.05) 4-2 @ 1.92% ( -0.03) 5-1 @ 1.58% ( -0.01) 5-0 @ 1.54% ( 0) Other @ 3.96% Total : 62.46%	1-1 @ 9.34% ( 0.04) 2-2 @ 5.1% ( -0.05) 0-0 @ 4.28% ( 0.07) 3-3 @ 1.24% ( -0.03) Other @ 0.19% Total : 20.14%	1-2 @ 4.8% ( -0.03) 0-1 @ 4.4% ( 0.03) 0-2 @ 2.26% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 1.75% ( -0.03) 1-3 @ 1.64% ( -0.03) Other @ 2.55% Total : 17.4%