League One

League One | Gameweek 19

Nov 19, 2022 at 3pm UK

Pirelli Stadium

Burton Albion
2 - 2
Plymouth

Kamwa (41'), Mariappa (90+7')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Hardie (64' pen.), Mumba (73')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Burton Albion and Plymouth Argyle, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Burton Albion

All competitions

League One

Last Game: Burton Albion 3-3 Charlton
Saturday, November 12 at 3pm in League One

Goals
for

Top scorers

Plymouth Argyle

All competitions

League One

Last Game: Lincoln 1-1 Plymouth
Saturday, November 12 at 3pm in League One

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Plymouth Argyle win with a probability of 40.95%. A win for Burton Albion had a probability of 34.77% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Plymouth Argyle win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.87%) and 0-2 (6.16%). The likeliest Burton Albion win was 2-1 (7.99%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.21%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood.

Result
Burton Albion	Draw	Plymouth Argyle
34.77% ( -2.77)	24.28% ( -0.72)	40.95% ( 3.5)

Both teams to score 60.06% (

2.3)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

57.45% (

3.12)

42.55% (

-3.11)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

35.04% (

3.03)

64.96% (

-3.03)

Burton Albion Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.94% (

-0.08)

24.06% (

0.09)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

41.66% (

-0.12)

58.34% (

0.12)

Plymouth Argyle Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.09% (

3.12)

20.91% (

-3.11)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

46.37% (

4.66)

53.63% (

-4.65)

Score Analysis

Burton Albion 34.77%

Plymouth Argyle 40.95%

Draw 24.28%

Burton Albion	Draw	Plymouth Argyle
2-1 @ 7.99% ( -0.39) 1-0 @ 7.17% ( -1.06) 2-0 @ 5.1% ( -0.77) 3-1 @ 3.79% ( -0.19) 3-2 @ 2.97% ( 0.13) 3-0 @ 2.42% ( -0.37) 4-1 @ 1.35% ( -0.07) 4-2 @ 1.06% ( 0.04) Other @ 2.91% Total : 34.77%	1-1 @ 11.21% ( -0.52) 2-2 @ 6.25% ( 0.28) 0-0 @ 5.03% ( -0.73) 3-3 @ 1.55% ( 0.2) Other @ 0.24% Total : 24.28%	1-2 @ 8.78% ( 0.41) 0-1 @ 7.87% ( -0.34) 0-2 @ 6.16% ( 0.3) 1-3 @ 4.58% ( 0.6) 2-3 @ 3.26% ( 0.42) 0-3 @ 3.21% ( 0.43) 1-4 @ 1.79% ( 0.37) 2-4 @ 1.28% ( 0.26) 0-4 @ 1.26% ( 0.27) Other @ 2.76% Total : 40.95%