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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Plymouth Argyle win with a probability of 40.95%. A win for Burton Albion had a probability of 34.77% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Plymouth Argyle win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.87%) and 0-2 (6.16%). The likeliest Burton Albion win was 2-1 (7.99%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.21%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood.
Result | ||
Burton Albion | Draw | Plymouth Argyle |
34.77% ( -2.77) | 24.28% ( -0.72) | 40.95% ( 3.5) |
Both teams to score 60.06% ( 2.3) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
57.45% ( 3.12) | 42.55% ( -3.11) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
35.04% ( 3.03) | 64.96% ( -3.03) |
Burton Albion Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.94% ( -0.08) | 24.06% ( 0.09) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
41.66% ( -0.12) | 58.34% ( 0.12) |
Plymouth Argyle Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
79.09% ( 3.12) | 20.91% ( -3.11) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
46.37% ( 4.66) | 53.63% ( -4.65) |
Score Analysis |
Burton Albion | Draw | Plymouth Argyle |
2-1 @ 7.99% ( -0.39) 1-0 @ 7.17% ( -1.06) 2-0 @ 5.1% ( -0.77) 3-1 @ 3.79% ( -0.19) 3-2 @ 2.97% ( 0.13) 3-0 @ 2.42% ( -0.37) 4-1 @ 1.35% ( -0.07) 4-2 @ 1.06% ( 0.04) Other @ 2.91% Total : 34.77% | 1-1 @ 11.21% ( -0.52) 2-2 @ 6.25% ( 0.28) 0-0 @ 5.03% ( -0.73) 3-3 @ 1.55% ( 0.2) Other @ 0.24% Total : 24.28% | 1-2 @ 8.78% ( 0.41) 0-1 @ 7.87% ( -0.34) 0-2 @ 6.16% ( 0.3) 1-3 @ 4.58% ( 0.6) 2-3 @ 3.26% ( 0.42) 0-3 @ 3.21% ( 0.43) 1-4 @ 1.79% ( 0.37) 2-4 @ 1.28% ( 0.26) 0-4 @ 1.26% ( 0.27) Other @ 2.76% Total : 40.95% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Portsmouth | 46 | 28 | 13 | 5 | 78 | 41 | 37 | 97 |
P | Derby CountyDerby | 46 | 28 | 8 | 10 | 78 | 37 | 41 | 92 |
3 | Bolton WanderersBolton | 46 | 25 | 12 | 9 | 86 | 51 | 35 | 87 |
4 | Peterborough UnitedPeterborough | 46 | 25 | 9 | 12 | 89 | 61 | 28 | 84 |
5 | Oxford UnitedOxford Utd | 46 | 22 | 11 | 13 | 79 | 56 | 23 | 77 |
6 | Barnsley | 46 | 21 | 13 | 12 | 82 | 64 | 18 | 76 |
7 | Lincoln CityLincoln | 46 | 20 | 14 | 12 | 65 | 40 | 25 | 74 |
8 | Blackpool | 46 | 21 | 10 | 15 | 65 | 48 | 17 | 73 |
9 | Stevenage | 46 | 19 | 14 | 13 | 57 | 46 | 11 | 71 |
10 | Wycombe WanderersWycombe | 46 | 17 | 14 | 15 | 60 | 55 | 5 | 65 |
11 | Leyton Orient | 46 | 18 | 11 | 17 | 53 | 55 | -2 | 65 |
12 | Wigan AthleticWigan | 46 | 20 | 10 | 16 | 63 | 56 | 7 | 62 |
13 | Exeter CityExeter | 46 | 17 | 10 | 19 | 46 | 61 | -15 | 61 |
14 | Northampton TownNorthampton | 46 | 17 | 9 | 20 | 57 | 66 | -9 | 60 |
15 | Bristol Rovers | 46 | 16 | 9 | 21 | 52 | 68 | -16 | 57 |
16 | Charlton AthleticCharlton | 46 | 11 | 20 | 15 | 64 | 65 | -1 | 53 |
17 | Reading | 46 | 16 | 11 | 19 | 68 | 70 | -2 | 53 |
18 | Cambridge UnitedCambridge | 46 | 12 | 12 | 22 | 39 | 61 | -22 | 48 |
19 | Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury | 46 | 13 | 9 | 24 | 35 | 67 | -32 | 48 |
20 | Burton Albion | 46 | 12 | 10 | 24 | 39 | 67 | -28 | 46 |
R | Cheltenham TownCheltenham | 46 | 12 | 8 | 26 | 41 | 65 | -24 | 44 |
R | Fleetwood TownFleetwood | 46 | 10 | 13 | 23 | 49 | 72 | -23 | 43 |
R | Port Vale | 46 | 10 | 11 | 25 | 41 | 74 | -33 | 41 |
R | Carlisle UnitedCarlisle | 46 | 7 | 9 | 30 | 41 | 81 | -40 | 30 |
> League One Full Table |