FA Cup
Nov 5, 2022 3.00pm
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT Pirelli Stadium
  • Deji Oshilaja 34' goal
  • Joe Powell 90'+4' goal

Burton Albion vs Needham Market - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Burton Albion

All competitions

Needham Market

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Burton Albion win with a probability of 61.61%. A draw had a probability of 19.8% and a win for Needham Market had a probability of 18.59%.

The most likely scoreline for a Burton Albion win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.65%) and 1-0 (7.86%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.89%), while for a Needham Market win it was 1-2 (5.03%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Burton Albion would win this match.

Result

Burton Albion 61.61% (-0.19)
Draw 19.8% (+0.01)
Needham Market 18.59% (+0.19)

Both Teams to Score: 

60.25% (+0.36)

Goals

Over 2.5 64.71% (+0.31)
Under 2.5 35.29% (-0.31)
Over 3.5 42.69% (+0.34)
Under 3.5 57.32% (-0.34)

Burton Albion Goals

Over 0.5 88.93% (+0.05)
Under 0.5 11.07% (-0.05)
Over 1.5 64.56% (+0.10)
Under 1.5 35.44% (-0.09)

Needham Market Goals

Over 0.5 67.76% (+0.38)
Under 0.5 32.25% (-0.38)
Over 1.5 31.26% (+0.43)
Under 1.5 68.74% (-0.43)

Score analysis

Burton Albion 61.61%
Draw 19.8%
Needham Market 18.59%
Burton Albion
2-1 @ 9.79% (-0.02)
2-0 @ 8.65% (-0.11)
1-0 @ 7.86% (-0.11)
3-1 @ 7.18%
3-0 @ 6.34% (-0.07)
3-2 @ 4.06% (+0.05)
4-1 @ 3.95% (+0.01)
4-0 @ 3.49% (-0.04)
4-2 @ 2.24% (+0.03)
5-1 @ 1.74% (+0.01)
5-0 @ 1.54% (-0.02)
Other @ 4.8%
Total : 61.61%
Draw
1-1 @ 8.89% (-0.03)
2-2 @ 5.54% (+0.05)
0-0 @ 3.57% (-0.06)
3-3 @ 1.53% (+0.04)
Other @ 0.27%
Total : 19.8%
Needham Market
1-2 @ 5.03% (+0.04)
0-1 @ 4.04% (-0.02)
0-2 @ 2.29% (+0.02)
2-3 @ 2.09% (+0.04)
1-3 @ 1.9% (+0.04)
Other @ 3.24%
Total : 18.59%