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Burton Albion
League One | Gameweek 18
Nov 12, 2022 at 3pm UK
Pirelli Stadium
Charlton Athletic

Burton Albion
3 - 3
Charlton

Oshilaja (38'), Hamer (45'), Adeboyejo (58')
Taylor (70')
FT(HT: 2-2)
Kirk (26', 36'), Rak-Sakyi (75')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Burton Albion and Charlton Athletic, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

We said: Burton Albion 0-2 Charlton Athletic

Charlton will be favourites entering this match, and rightly so looking at Burton's form. We struggle to see the Brewers having any joy against the Addicks, who have the chance to close the gap to the teams in the playoff places. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Burton Albion win with a probability of 37.26%. A win for Charlton Athletic had a probability of 36.6% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Burton Albion win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.25%) and 2-0 (6.28%). The likeliest Charlton Athletic win was 0-1 (9.35%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.42%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 1.1% likelihood.

Result
Burton AlbionDrawCharlton Athletic
37.26% (0.030000000000001 0.03) 26.14% (-0.0059999999999967 -0.01) 36.6% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)
Both teams to score 53.77% (0.020000000000003 0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.24% (0.025999999999996 0.03)50.76% (-0.025999999999996 -0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.34% (0.024999999999999 0.02)72.66% (-0.024999999999991 -0.02)
Burton Albion Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.52% (0.028999999999996 0.03)26.48% (-0.030999999999999 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.33% (0.037999999999997 0.04)61.67% (-0.039000000000001 -0.04)
Charlton Athletic Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.14% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)26.86% (0.00099999999999767 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.83%62.17%
Score Analysis
    Burton Albion 37.26%
    Charlton Athletic 36.6%
    Draw 26.13%
Burton AlbionDrawCharlton Athletic
1-0 @ 9.45% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
2-1 @ 8.25% (0.0039999999999996 0)
2-0 @ 6.28% (0.0040000000000004 0)
3-1 @ 3.66% (0.0050000000000003 0.01)
3-0 @ 2.78% (0.004 0)
3-2 @ 2.4% (0.004 0)
4-1 @ 1.21% (0.002 0)
4-0 @ 0.92% (0.002 0)
Other @ 2.3%
Total : 37.26%
1-1 @ 12.42%
0-0 @ 7.11% (-0.008 -0.01)
2-2 @ 5.43% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-3 @ 1.05% (0.002 0)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 26.13%
0-1 @ 9.35% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
1-2 @ 8.17% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-2 @ 6.15% (-0.0070000000000006 -0.01)
1-3 @ 3.58% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
0-3 @ 2.69% (-0.004 -0)
2-3 @ 2.38% (0.00099999999999989 0)
1-4 @ 1.18%
Other @ 3.12%
Total : 36.6%

How you voted: Burton Albion vs Charlton

Burton Albion
25.0%
Draw
12.5%
Charlton Athletic
62.5%
8
Head to Head
Mar 19, 2022 3pm
Charlton
2-0
Burton Albion
Washington (12'), Taylor (42')

Hamer (9'), Niasse (32'), Oshilaja (47'), Shaughnessy (55'), Gilligan (65'), Chapman (79')
Nov 13, 2021 3pm
Burton Albion
0-1
Charlton

Hemmings (41')
Oshilaja (18')
Purrington (20')
Lee (28'), Jaiyesimi (31'), Famewo (45+4'), Arter (46')
Stockley (17')
Feb 23, 2021 7pm
Nov 24, 2020 7pm
Burton Albion
4-2
Charlton
Akins (9'), Powell (39'), Hughes (53'), Vernam (76')
Akins (64')
Smyth (42'), Aneke (67')
Gunter (30'), Gilbey (61'), Watson (65'), Maatsen (80'), Aneke (81')
Mar 12, 2019 7.45pm
Charlton
2-1
Burton Albion
Taylor (6' pen.), Reeves (33')
Akins (19' pen.)
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Wycombe WanderersWycombe19134243222143
2Birmingham CityBirmingham18133234161842
3Wrexham20125330131741
4Huddersfield TownHuddersfield19113530181236
5Stockport CountyStockport2096532211133
6Reading199463028231
7Barnsley208662926330
8Bolton WanderersBolton189362829-130
9Lincoln CityLincoln207762625128
10Blackpool197572931-226
11Mansfield TownMansfield187472222025
12Stevenage187471517-225
13Peterborough UnitedPeterborough197393735224
14Charlton AthleticCharlton196671819-124
15Exeter CityExeter197391721-424
16Wigan AthleticWigan196581716123
17Rotherham UnitedRotherham186571920-123
18Leyton Orient196491920-122
19Northampton TownNorthampton205692129-821
20Bristol Rovers1963101728-1121
21Crawley TownCrawley1954102032-1219
22Cambridge UnitedCambridge1945102031-1117
23Burton Albion1926111630-1412
24Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury1932141939-2011


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