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Charlton Athletic
League One | Gameweek 17
Oct 29, 2022 at 3pm UK
The Valley
Ipswich logo

Charlton
4 - 4
Ipswich

Rak-Sakyi (63'), Morgan (76'), Thomas (90+6'), Dobson (90+9')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Edmundson (45+3'), John-Jules (52'), Ladapo (90+1'), Morsy (90+4')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Charlton Athletic and Ipswich Town, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ipswich Town win with a probability of 44%. A win for Charlton Athletic had a probability of 30.38% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Ipswich Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.05%) and 0-2 (7.59%). The likeliest Charlton Athletic win was 1-0 (8.18%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.16%). The actual scoreline of 4-4 was predicted with a 0.1% likelihood.

Result
Charlton AthleticDrawIpswich Town
30.38% (-0.047000000000001 -0.05)25.61% (-0.011999999999997 -0.01)44% (0.056999999999995 0.06)
Both teams to score 53.88% (0.011000000000003 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.1% (0.024999999999999 0.02)49.9% (-0.027999999999999 -0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.11% (0.023 0.02)71.89% (-0.02600000000001 -0.03)
Charlton Athletic Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.61% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)30.38% (0.016999999999999 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.42% (-0.021999999999998 -0.02)66.58% (0.019999999999996 0.02)
Ipswich Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.39% (0.036000000000001 0.04)22.61% (-0.039000000000001 -0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.77% (0.057000000000002 0.06)56.22% (-0.060000000000002 -0.06)
Score Analysis
    Charlton Athletic 30.38%
    Ipswich Town 44%
    Draw 25.6%
Charlton AthleticDrawIpswich Town
1-0 @ 8.18% (-0.013 -0.01)
2-1 @ 7.25% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
2-0 @ 4.87% (-0.010000000000001 -0.01)
3-1 @ 2.88% (-0.004 -0)
3-2 @ 2.14% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-0 @ 1.94% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
Other @ 3.13%
Total : 30.38%
1-1 @ 12.16% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 6.87% (-0.008 -0.01)
2-2 @ 5.39% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-3 @ 1.06% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 25.6%
0-1 @ 10.21%
1-2 @ 9.05% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
0-2 @ 7.59% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
1-3 @ 4.48% (0.008 0.01)
0-3 @ 3.76% (0.008 0.01)
2-3 @ 2.67% (0.0030000000000001 0)
1-4 @ 1.67% (0.0049999999999999 0)
0-4 @ 1.4% (0.0050000000000001 0.01)
2-4 @ 0.99% (0.003 0)
Other @ 2.18%
Total : 44%

How you voted: Charlton vs Ipswich

Charlton Athletic
30.0%
Draw
10.0%
Ipswich Town
60.0%
20
Head to Head
Apr 30, 2022 12.30pm
Ipswich
4-0
Charlton
Bakinson (7'), Burns (11', 50'), Norwood (88')

Dobson (48')
Dec 7, 2021 7.45pm
Apr 17, 2021 12.30pm
Nov 28, 2020 3pm
Ipswich
0-2
Charlton

Judge (43'), Ward (90+7')
Morgan (21'), Bogle (68')
Maatsen (90+7')
Jul 29, 2017 3pm
Charlton
6-1
Ipswich
Holmes (12', 50', 77'), Fosu (27'), Magennis (31', 39')
Dozzell (73')