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FA Cup
Charlton Athletic
FA Cup | First Round
Nov 5, 2022 at 3pm UK
The Valley

Charlton
4 - 1
Coalville Town

Payne (24', 81'), Stockley (45+3'), Aneke (90')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Chambers (52')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's FA Cup clash between Charlton Athletic and Coalville Town, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Charlton Athletic

All competitions
Last Game: Charlton 2-1 Brighton U21s
Wednesday, November 2 at 7pm in EFL Trophy

Coalville Town

We said: Charlton Athletic 3-0 Coalville Town

 Coalville have done remarkably well to get to this stage but we think this tie will be a bridge too far for them. The Valley has become somewhat of a fortress for Charlton too - they have only lost once at home so far this season. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Charlton Athletic win with a probability of 69.1%. A draw had a probability of 17.6% and a win for Coalville Town had a probability of 13.31%.

The most likely scoreline for a Charlton Athletic win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.64%) and 1-0 (8.58%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.12%), while for a Coalville Town win it was 1-2 (3.84%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 4.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Charlton Athletic would win this match.

Result
Charlton AthleticDrawCoalville Town
69.1% (0.090000000000003 0.09) 17.6% (-0.024999999999999 -0.02) 13.31% (-0.064 -0.06)
Both teams to score 55.46% (-0.107 -0.11)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
64.46% (-0.046000000000006 -0.05)35.54% (0.045999999999999 0.05)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
42.41% (-0.048999999999999 -0.05)57.59% (0.050000000000004 0.05)
Charlton Athletic Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
90.7% (0.0099999999999909 0.01)9.31% (-0.0089000000000006 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
68.6% (0.02000000000001 0.02)31.4% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)
Coalville Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.16% (-0.122 -0.12)38.85% (0.123 0.12)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.42% (-0.116 -0.12)75.58% (0.117 0.12)
Score Analysis
    Charlton Athletic 69.1%
    Coalville Town 13.31%
    Draw 17.6%
Charlton AthleticDrawCoalville Town
2-0 @ 10.19% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
2-1 @ 9.64% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
1-0 @ 8.58% (0.023 0.02)
3-0 @ 8.07% (0.027000000000001 0.03)
3-1 @ 7.63%
4-0 @ 4.79% (0.018000000000001 0.02)
4-1 @ 4.53% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-2 @ 3.61% (-0.012 -0.01)
5-0 @ 2.27% (0.01 0.01)
5-1 @ 2.15% (0.0019999999999998 0)
4-2 @ 2.14% (-0.0059999999999998 -0.01)
5-2 @ 1.02% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 4.49%
Total : 69.1%
1-1 @ 8.12% (-0.0059999999999985 -0.01)
2-2 @ 4.56% (-0.017 -0.02)
0-0 @ 3.62% (0.008 0.01)
3-3 @ 1.14% (-0.0069999999999999 -0.01)
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 17.6%
1-2 @ 3.84% (-0.015 -0.02)
0-1 @ 3.42% (-0.004 -0)
0-2 @ 1.62% (-0.0069999999999999 -0.01)
2-3 @ 1.44% (-0.01 -0.01)
1-3 @ 1.21% (-0.0090000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 1.79%
Total : 13.31%

How you voted: Charlton vs Coalville Town

Charlton Athletic
80.6%
Draw
6.5%
Coalville Town
12.9%
31
Form Guide
Sorry, no data available for Charlton Athletic
rhs 2.0
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