Charlton Athletic
EFL Trophy | Group Stage
Nov 2, 2022 at 7pm UK
The Valley

Charlton
2 - 1
Brighton U21s

Lavelle (45'), Payne (90+2')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Miller (54')
Coverage of the EFL Trophy Group Stage clash between Charlton Athletic and Brighton & Hove Albion Under-21s.

Form, Standings, Stats

Charlton Athletic

All competitions
EFL Trophy
Last Game: Charlton 4-4 Ipswich
Saturday, October 29 at 3pm in League One

Brighton & Hove Albion Under-21s

All competitions
EFL Trophy
Last Game: Brighton U21s 2-2 Chelsea U21s
Sunday, October 30 at 4pm in Premier League 2 - Div 1

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Charlton Athletic win with a probability of 59.54%. A win for Brighton & Hove Albion Under-21s had a probability of 21.26% and a draw had a probability of 19.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Charlton Athletic win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (7.21%) and 2-0 (6.71%). The likeliest Brighton & Hove Albion Under-21s win was 1-2 (5.31%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (7.77%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Charlton Athletic in this match.

Result
Charlton AthleticDrawBrighton & Hove Albion Under-21s
59.54% (-0.068999999999996 -0.07)19.2% (0.004999999999999 0)21.26% (0.062000000000001 0.06)
Both teams to score 67.44% (0.075999999999993 0.08)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
71.87% (0.055999999999997 0.06)28.13% (-0.057000000000002 -0.06)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
51.09% (0.068999999999996 0.07)48.91% (-0.071000000000005 -0.07)
Charlton Athletic Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
90.54% (0.0010000000000048 0)9.46% (-0.0010999999999992 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
68.24% (0.0019999999999953 0)31.76% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Brighton & Hove Albion Under-21s Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.49% (0.082999999999998 0.08)25.51% (-0.084 -0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.64% (0.116 0.12)60.36% (-0.11499999999999 -0.11)
Score Analysis
    Charlton Athletic 59.54%
    Brighton & Hove Albion Under-21s 21.26%
    Draw 19.2%
Charlton AthleticDrawBrighton & Hove Albion Under-21s
2-1 @ 9.17% (-0.0079999999999991 -0.01)
3-1 @ 7.21% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
2-0 @ 6.71% (-0.022 -0.02)
1-0 @ 5.69% (-0.02 -0.02)
3-0 @ 5.28% (-0.016999999999999 -0.02)
3-2 @ 4.92% (0.0070000000000006 0.01)
4-1 @ 4.25% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
4-0 @ 3.11% (-0.01 -0.01)
4-2 @ 2.9% (0.0050000000000003 0.01)
5-1 @ 2% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
5-0 @ 1.47% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
5-2 @ 1.37% (0.0029999999999999 0)
4-3 @ 1.32% (0.0049999999999999 0)
Other @ 4.15%
Total : 59.54%
1-1 @ 7.77% (-0.0070000000000006 -0.01)
2-2 @ 6.26% (0.0089999999999995 0.01)
0-0 @ 2.41% (-0.008 -0.01)
3-3 @ 2.24% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
Other @ 0.51%
Total : 19.2%
1-2 @ 5.31% (0.008 0.01)
0-1 @ 3.3% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-3 @ 2.85% (0.012 0.01)
1-3 @ 2.42% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
0-2 @ 2.25% (0.0029999999999997 0)
0-3 @ 1.03% (0.004 0)
2-4 @ 0.97% (0.006 0.01)
Other @ 3.14%
Total : 21.26%

Head to Head
Sep 30, 2020 7pm
Charlton
1-1
Brighton U21s
Morgan (48')
Watson (45'), Morgan (75')
Lapslie (30' og.)
Leonard (41')