Premier League 2 - Div 1
Oct 8, 2022 at 1pm UK
 

Man Utd U21s
3 - 3
Brighton U21s

Mainoo (21', 55'), Hardley (83')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Miller (30'), Tsoungui (52'), Ferguson (68')
Coverage of the Premier League 2 - Div 1 clash between Manchester United Under-21s and Brighton & Hove Albion Under-21s.

Form, Standings, Stats

Manchester United Under-21s

All competitions
Premier League 2
Last Game: Barrow 1-2 Man Utd U21s
Tuesday, October 4 at 7.30pm in EFL Trophy

Brighton & Hove Albion Under-21s

All competitions
Premier League 2
Last Game: Gillingham 3-2 Brighton U21s
Tuesday, October 4 at 7pm in EFL Trophy

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brighton & Hove Albion Under-21s win with a probability of 56.15%. A win for Manchester United Under-21s had a probability of 24.11% and a draw had a probability of 19.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Brighton & Hove Albion Under-21s win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-3 (6.87%) and 0-2 (6.05%). The likeliest Manchester United Under-21s win was 2-1 (5.73%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (7.76%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 2.5% likelihood.

Result
Manchester United Under-21sDrawBrighton & Hove Albion Under-21s
24.11% (1.245 1.25)19.74% (0.298 0.3)56.15% (-1.542 -1.54)
Both teams to score 69.46% (0.5 0.5)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
72.81% (-0.012 -0.01)27.19% (0.015999999999998 0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
52.28% (-0.015999999999998 -0.02)47.72% (0.020999999999994 0.02)
Manchester United Under-21s Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.16% (0.875 0.88)22.83% (-0.871 -0.87)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.44% (1.275 1.28)56.56% (-1.27 -1.27)
Brighton & Hove Albion Under-21s Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
90.02% (-0.374 -0.37)9.98% (0.377 0.38)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
67.02% (-0.872 -0.87)32.97% (0.877 0.88)
Score Analysis
    Manchester United Under-21s 24.11%
    Brighton & Hove Albion Under-21s 56.15%
    Draw 19.74%
Manchester United Under-21sDrawBrighton & Hove Albion Under-21s
2-1 @ 5.73% (0.202 0.2)
1-0 @ 3.37% (0.089 0.09)
3-2 @ 3.25% (0.143 0.14)
3-1 @ 2.82% (0.168 0.17)
2-0 @ 2.49% (0.127 0.13)
3-0 @ 1.22% (0.092 0.09)
4-2 @ 1.2% (0.082 0.08)
4-1 @ 1.04% (0.087 0.09)
4-3 @ 0.92% (0.049 0.05)
Other @ 2.08%
Total : 24.11%
1-1 @ 7.76% (0.078 0.08)
2-2 @ 6.6% (0.126 0.13)
3-3 @ 2.5% (0.07 0.07)
0-0 @ 2.28% (0.0020000000000002 0)
Other @ 0.61%
Total : 19.74%
1-2 @ 8.94% (-0.058 -0.06)
1-3 @ 6.87% (-0.16 -0.16)
0-2 @ 6.05% (-0.198 -0.2)
0-1 @ 5.25% (-0.082 -0.08)
2-3 @ 5.07% (0.013999999999999 0.01)
0-3 @ 4.65% (-0.232 -0.23)
1-4 @ 3.96% (-0.16 -0.16)
2-4 @ 2.92% (-0.04 -0.04)
0-4 @ 2.68% (-0.181 -0.18)
1-5 @ 1.82% (-0.105 -0.11)
3-4 @ 1.44% (0.017 0.02)
2-5 @ 1.35% (-0.041 -0.04)
0-5 @ 1.24% (-0.105 -0.11)
Other @ 3.92%
Total : 56.15%