Dover Athletic
National League South | Gameweek 19
Nov 12, 2022 at 3pm UK
The Perrys Crabble Stadium

Dover Athletic
1 - 1
Chippenham

Pavey (74')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Tizzard (39')
Coverage of the National League South clash between Dover Athletic and Chippenham Town.

Form, Standings, Stats

Dover Athletic

All competitions
Last Game: Chelmsford City 0-0 Dover Athletic
Monday, November 7 at 7.45pm in National League South

Chippenham Town

All competitions
National League South
Last Game: Cheshunt 3-2 Chippenham
Tuesday, November 8 at 7.45pm in National League South

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dover Athletic win with a probability of 40.97%. A win for Chippenham Town had a probability of 32.82% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Dover Athletic win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.68%) and 2-0 (7.12%). The likeliest Chippenham Town win was 0-1 (8.95%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.46%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.5% likelihood.

Result
Dover AthleticDrawChippenham Town
40.97% (0.135 0.13)26.2% (0.057000000000002 0.06)32.82% (-0.189 -0.19)
Both teams to score 52.95% (-0.232 -0.23)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.45% (-0.275 -0.27)51.54% (0.275 0.27)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.66% (-0.241 -0.24)73.34% (0.241 0.24)
Dover Athletic Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.17% (-0.051999999999992 -0.05)24.83% (0.053999999999998 0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.58% (-0.076000000000001 -0.08)59.42% (0.077999999999996 0.08)
Chippenham Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.44% (-0.259 -0.26)29.56% (0.26 0.26)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.41% (-0.316 -0.32)65.59% (0.318 0.32)
Score Analysis
    Dover Athletic 40.97%
    Chippenham Town 32.83%
    Draw 26.2%
Dover AthleticDrawChippenham Town
1-0 @ 10.22% (0.1 0.1)
2-1 @ 8.68% (0.0059999999999985 0.01)
2-0 @ 7.12% (0.056 0.06)
3-1 @ 4.03% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
3-0 @ 3.31% (0.021 0.02)
3-2 @ 2.46% (-0.02 -0.02)
4-1 @ 1.4% (-0.004 -0)
4-0 @ 1.15% (0.0049999999999999 0)
Other @ 2.59%
Total : 40.97%
1-1 @ 12.46% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
0-0 @ 7.34% (0.08 0.08)
2-2 @ 5.29% (-0.035 -0.04)
3-3 @ 1% (-0.015 -0.01)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 26.2%
0-1 @ 8.95% (0.034000000000001 0.03)
1-2 @ 7.59% (-0.037 -0.04)
0-2 @ 5.45% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)
1-3 @ 3.09% (-0.038 -0.04)
0-3 @ 2.21% (-0.024 -0.02)
2-3 @ 2.15% (-0.03 -0.03)
1-4 @ 0.94% (-0.018 -0.02)
Other @ 2.45%
Total : 32.83%