National League South | Gameweek 15
Oct 25, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
Hardenhuish Park

Chippenham
0 - 1
Hemel Hempstead

FT(HT: 0-0)
Roberts (90+4')
Coverage of the National League South clash between Chippenham Town and Hemel Hempstead Town.

Form, Standings, Stats

Chippenham Town

All competitions
Last Game: Tonbridge Angels 2-0 Chippenham
Saturday, October 22 at 3pm in National League South

Hemel Hempstead Town

All competitions
Last Game: Chelmsford City 2-1 Hemel Hempstead
Saturday, October 22 at 3pm in National League South

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chippenham Town win with a probability of 49.17%. A draw had a probability of 25.8% and a win for Hemel Hempstead Town had a probability of 25.04%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chippenham Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.29%) and 2-0 (9.25%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.23%), while for a Hemel Hempstead Town win it was 0-1 (8.05%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood.

Result
Chippenham TownDrawHemel Hempstead Town
49.17% (0.472 0.47)25.79% (-0.116 -0.12)25.04% (-0.356 -0.36)
Both teams to score 49.52% (0.025000000000006 0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.24% (0.191 0.19)53.76% (-0.19 -0.19)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.76% (0.161 0.16)75.24% (-0.15900000000001 -0.16)
Chippenham Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.11% (0.288 0.29)21.89% (-0.287 -0.29)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.86% (0.435 0.44)55.14% (-0.435 -0.43)
Hemel Hempstead Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.39% (-0.20399999999999 -0.2)36.6% (0.204 0.2)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.6% (-0.208 -0.21)73.39% (0.208 0.21)
Score Analysis
    Chippenham Town 49.17%
    Hemel Hempstead Town 25.04%
    Draw 25.78%
Chippenham TownDrawHemel Hempstead Town
1-0 @ 12.17% (0.02 0.02)
2-1 @ 9.29% (0.039 0.04)
2-0 @ 9.25% (0.09 0.09)
3-1 @ 4.71% (0.06 0.06)
3-0 @ 4.68% (0.085 0.09)
3-2 @ 2.37% (0.018 0.02)
4-1 @ 1.79% (0.038 0.04)
4-0 @ 1.78% (0.047 0.05)
Other @ 3.14%
Total : 49.17%
1-1 @ 12.23% (-0.049999999999999 -0.05)
0-0 @ 8.01% (-0.059999999999999 -0.06)
2-2 @ 4.67% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Other @ 0.87%
Total : 25.78%
0-1 @ 8.05% (-0.105 -0.11)
1-2 @ 6.15% (-0.061 -0.06)
0-2 @ 4.05% (-0.076 -0.08)
1-3 @ 2.06% (-0.032 -0.03)
2-3 @ 1.56% (-0.011 -0.01)
0-3 @ 1.36% (-0.033 -0.03)
Other @ 1.82%
Total : 25.04%

Head to Head
Dec 18, 2021 3pm
Hemel Hempstead
0-2
Chippenham

Nembhard (71')
Griffiths (45'), Santos (87')
Griffiths (59')
Oct 26, 2021 7.45pm
Chippenham
1-2
Hemel Hempstead
Aguiar (39')
Westbrook (45+2'), Hinds (78')
May 28, 2021 11pm
Hemel Hempstead
P-P
Chippenham
May 11, 2021 7.45pm
Chippenham
P-P
Hemel Hempstead