EFL Trophy | Second Round

Nov 22, 2022 at 7pm UK

Stadium mk

MK Dons
3 - 1
Newport

Burns (27'), Dennis (59'), Grigg (77')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Tucker (85' og.)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's EFL Trophy clash between MK Dons and Newport County, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

MK Dons

All competitions

EFL Trophy

Last Game: Barnsley 3-1 MK Dons
Saturday, November 19 at 3pm in League One

Goals
for

Top scorers

Newport County

All competitions

EFL Trophy

Last Game: Newport 2-0 Gillingham
Saturday, November 19 at 3pm in League Two

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a MK Dons win with a probability of 49.53%. A win for Newport County had a probability of 26% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a MK Dons win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.54%) and 2-0 (8.5%). The likeliest Newport County win was 0-1 (7.05%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.6%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that MK Dons would win this match.

Result
MK Dons	Draw	Newport County
49.53% ( 0.04)	24.47% ( -0.02)	26% ( -0.02)

Both teams to score 54.44% (

0.05)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

52.27% (

0.07)

47.73% (

-0.07)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

30.08% (

0.07)

69.92% (

-0.06)

MK Dons Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.7% (

0.05)

19.31% (

-0.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

48.94% (

0.07)

51.06% (

-0.07)

Newport County Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.46% (

0.03)

32.54% (

-0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

30.93% (

0.03)

69.08% (

-0.02)

Score Analysis

MK Dons 49.53%

Newport County 26%

Draw 24.47%

MK Dons	Draw	Newport County
1-0 @ 10.33% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 9.54% ( 0) 2-0 @ 8.5% ( -0) 3-1 @ 5.23% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 4.66% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 2.94% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 2.15% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 1.92% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1.21% ( 0) Other @ 3.07% Total : 49.53%	1-1 @ 11.6% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 6.28% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 5.36% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 1.1% ( 0) Other @ 0.14% Total : 24.47%	0-1 @ 7.05% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 6.51% ( -0) 0-2 @ 3.96% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 2.44% ( 0) 2-3 @ 2% ( 0) 0-3 @ 1.48% ( -0) Other @ 2.55% Total : 26%