EFL Trophy | Third Round

Dec 13, 2022 at 7.30pm UK

Memorial Stadium

Bristol Rovers
4 - 1
MK Dons

Hoole (33'), Marquis (54', 66'), Saunders (71')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Eisa (79' pen.)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's EFL Trophy clash between Bristol Rovers and MK Dons, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Bristol Rovers

All competitions

EFL Trophy

Last Game: Bristol Rovers 1-0 Port Vale
Saturday, December 10 at 3pm in League One

Goals
for

Top scorers

MK Dons

All competitions

EFL Trophy

Last Game: MK Dons 1-2 Fleetwood
Saturday, December 10 at 3pm in League One

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bristol Rovers win with a probability of 47.02%. A win for MK Dons had a probability of 28.39% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bristol Rovers win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.37%) and 2-0 (7.81%). The likeliest MK Dons win was 0-1 (7.19%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.61%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Bristol Rovers would win this match.

Result
Bristol Rovers	Draw	MK Dons
47.02% ( -0.97)	24.6% ( 0.07)	28.39% ( 0.9)

Both teams to score 55.99% (

0.44)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

53.42% (

0.26)

46.58% (

-0.26)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

31.14% (

0.25)

68.86% (

-0.25)

Bristol Rovers Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.11% (

-0.3)

19.89% (

0.3)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

47.98% (

-0.49)

52.02% (

0.49)

MK Dons Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.89% (

0.8)

30.11% (

-0.8)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

33.75% (

0.95)

66.25% (

-0.95)

Score Analysis

Bristol Rovers 47.02%

MK Dons 28.39%

Draw 24.6%

Bristol Rovers	Draw	MK Dons
1-0 @ 9.67% ( -0.2) 2-1 @ 9.37% ( -0.07) 2-0 @ 7.81% ( -0.24) 3-1 @ 5.05% ( -0.09) 3-0 @ 4.2% ( -0.17) 3-2 @ 3.03% ( 0.02) 4-1 @ 2.04% ( -0.06) 4-0 @ 1.7% ( -0.09) 4-2 @ 1.22% ( -0) Other @ 2.93% Total : 47.02%	1-1 @ 11.61% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 5.99% ( -0.07) 2-2 @ 5.63% ( 0.08) 3-3 @ 1.21% ( 0.03) Other @ 0.16% Total : 24.6%	0-1 @ 7.19% ( 0.08) 1-2 @ 6.97% ( 0.17) 0-2 @ 4.32% ( 0.14) 1-3 @ 2.79% ( 0.13) 2-3 @ 2.25% ( 0.08) 0-3 @ 1.73% ( 0.09) Other @ 3.15% Total : 28.39%