EFL Trophy
Dec 13, 2022 7.30pm
4
1
HT : 1 0
FT Memorial Stadium
  • Luca Hoole 33' goal
  • John Marquis 54' goal
  • John Marquis 66' goal
  • Harvey Saunders 71' goal
  • goal Mohamed Eisa 79'

Bristol Rovers vs MK Dons - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Bristol Rovers

All competitions

MK Dons

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bristol Rovers win with a probability of 47.02%. A win for MK Dons had a probability of 28.39% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bristol Rovers win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.37%) and 2-0 (7.81%). The likeliest MK Dons win was 0-1 (7.19%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.61%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Bristol Rovers would win this match.

Result

Bristol Rovers 47.02% (-0.98)
Draw 24.6% (+0.08)
MK Dons 28.39% (+0.91)

Both Teams to Score: 

55.99% (+0.44)

Goals

Over 2.5 53.42% (+0.27)
Under 2.5 46.58% (-0.27)
Over 3.5 31.14% (+0.25)
Under 3.5 68.86% (-0.25)

Bristol Rovers Goals

Over 0.5 80.11% (-0.30)
Under 0.5 19.89% (+0.30)
Over 1.5 47.98% (-0.49)
Under 1.5 52.02% (+0.50)

MK Dons Goals

Over 0.5 69.89% (+0.81)
Under 0.5 30.11% (-0.81)
Over 1.5 33.75% (+0.96)
Under 1.5 66.25% (-0.96)

Score analysis

Bristol Rovers 47.02%
Draw 24.6%
MK Dons 28.39%
Bristol Rovers
1-0 @ 9.67% (-0.20)
2-1 @ 9.37% (-0.08)
2-0 @ 7.81% (-0.24)
3-1 @ 5.05% (-0.09)
3-0 @ 4.2% (-0.17)
3-2 @ 3.03% (+0.02)
4-1 @ 2.04% (-0.06)
4-0 @ 1.7% (-0.09)
4-2 @ 1.22% (-0.01)
Other @ 2.93%
Total : 47.02%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.61% (+0.02)
0-0 @ 5.99% (-0.07)
2-2 @ 5.63% (+0.09)
3-3 @ 1.21% (+0.04)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 24.6%
MK Dons
0-1 @ 7.19% (+0.08)
1-2 @ 6.97% (+0.17)
0-2 @ 4.32% (+0.15)
1-3 @ 2.79% (+0.13)
2-3 @ 2.25% (+0.09)
0-3 @ 1.73% (+0.10)
Other @ 3.15%
Total : 28.39%

Head to Head

League One Gameweek 8
Oct 11, 2022 7.45pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT Stadium mk
  • goal Antony Evans 76'
League One Gameweek 43
Apr 20, 2021 7.00pm
0
2
HT : 0 1
FT Memorial Stadium
  • Alex Rodman 42' yellowcard
  • Luke McCormick 70' yellowcard
  • Pablo Martinez 85' yellowcard
  • Alfie Kilgour 90'+1' yellowcard
  • goal Scott Fraser 17'
  • yellowcard Matthew Sorinola 45'
  • yellowcard David Kasumu 55'
  • goal Will Grigg 60'
  • yellowcard Andy Fisher 78'
League One Gameweek 20
Dec 26, 2020 3.00pm
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT Stadium mk
  • Ben Gladwin 47' yellowcard
  • Ben Gladwin 45'+3' goal
  • Scott Fraser 63' goal
  • Richard Keogh 90'+5' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Luke McCormick 85'
League One Gameweek 25
Jan 1, 2020 3.00pm
3
0
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Rhys Healey 16' goal
  • Sam Nombe 60' goal
  • Kieran Agard 84' goal
League One Gameweek 13
Oct 12, 2019 3.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Alex Rodman 30' yellowcard
  • Tom Davies 49' goal
  • yellowcard Russell Martin 20'
  • yellowcard Baily Cargill 60'
League One
Mar 3, 2018 3.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Ousseynou Cisse 41' yellowcard
  • Callum Brittain 78' yellowcard
  • Chuks Aneke 89' yellowcard
  • goal Ellis Harrison 50'
  • yellowcard Tony Craig 70'