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Championship header 2

League One
Bristol Rovers
League One | Gameweek 21
Dec 10, 2022 at 3pm UK
Memorial Stadium
Port Vale

Bristol Rovers
1 - 0
Port Vale

Collins (87')
Coutts (43')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Politic (63'), Butterworth (85')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Bristol Rovers and Port Vale, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Bristol Rovers

All competitions
League One
Last Game: Bolton 1-1 Bristol Rovers
Friday, December 2 at 7.45pm in League One

Port Vale

All competitions
League One
Last Game: Plymouth 0-2 Port Vale
Friday, December 2 at 7.45pm in League One

We said: Bristol Rovers 1-2 Port Vale

 With both sides being in similar veins of form, we think this will be a tightly-contested affair. However, Port Vale ended Plymouth's 100% home record last time out, so we fancy them to continue their good form here and make it three consecutive wins in the league. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bristol Rovers win with a probability of 42.4%. A win for Port Vale had a probability of 31.84% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bristol Rovers win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.88%) and 2-0 (7.26%). The likeliest Port Vale win was 0-1 (8.42%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.23%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Bristol Rovers in this match.

Result
Bristol RoversDrawPort Vale
42.4% (0.571 0.57) 25.75% (-0.148 -0.15) 31.84% (-0.423 -0.42)
Both teams to score 54.07% (0.322 0.32)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.06% (0.48699999999999 0.49)49.94% (-0.489 -0.49)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.07% (0.434 0.43)71.93% (-0.43299999999999 -0.43)
Bristol Rovers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.6% (0.498 0.5)23.4% (-0.498 -0.5)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.62% (0.716 0.72)57.38% (-0.717 -0.72)
Port Vale Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.59% (-0.039000000000001 -0.04)29.41% (0.039000000000001 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.6% (-0.047000000000004 -0.05)65.4% (0.046999999999997 0.05)
Score Analysis
    Bristol Rovers 42.4%
    Port Vale 31.84%
    Draw 25.75%
Bristol RoversDrawPort Vale
1-0 @ 9.99% (-0.045999999999999 -0.05)
2-1 @ 8.88% (0.074 0.07)
2-0 @ 7.26% (0.068000000000001 0.07)
3-1 @ 4.3% (0.098 0.1)
3-0 @ 3.52% (0.084 0.08)
3-2 @ 2.63% (0.056 0.06)
4-1 @ 1.56% (0.057 0.06)
4-0 @ 1.28% (0.048 0.05)
4-2 @ 0.96% (0.034 0.03)
Other @ 2.02%
Total : 42.4%
1-1 @ 12.23% (-0.07 -0.07)
0-0 @ 6.88% (-0.137 -0.14)
2-2 @ 5.44% (0.04 0.04)
3-3 @ 1.07% (0.022 0.02)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 25.75%
0-1 @ 8.42% (-0.177 -0.18)
1-2 @ 7.49% (-0.054 -0.05)
0-2 @ 5.15% (-0.114 -0.11)
1-3 @ 3.05% (-0.025 -0.03)
2-3 @ 2.22% (0.014 0.01)
0-3 @ 2.1% (-0.049 -0.05)
1-4 @ 0.93% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
Other @ 2.48%
Total : 31.84%

How you voted: Bristol Rovers vs Port Vale

Bristol Rovers
47.6%
Draw
26.2%
Port Vale
26.2%
42
Head to Head
Apr 18, 2022 3pm
Port Vale
1-3
Bristol Rovers
Proctor (2')
Hall (47'), Benning (49')
Anderson (10'), Connolly (32'), Loft (90+4')
Taylor (8'), Anderson (22'), Coutts (45'), Grant (51'), Finley (77'), Anderson (90+5')
Dec 7, 2021 7.45pm
Bristol Rovers
1-2
Port Vale
Collins (56')
Whelan (86'), Pitman (90+5')
Finley (15'), Harries (77')
Garrity (31', 33')
Jones (58'), Politic (60')
Jan 22, 2019 7.45pm
Quarter-Finals
Bristol Rovers
3-0
Port Vale
Clarke (16'), Nichols (62' pen.), Rodman (68')
Clarke (22'), Rodman (45')

Hannant (45'), Conlon (54')
Conlon (58')
Feb 18, 2017 3pm
Port Vale
1-1
Bristol Rovers
Harris (54' og.)
Knops (80'), Pugh (91')
Bodin (78')
Sweeney (41'), Harris (42'), Harrison (45')
Sep 24, 2016 3pm
Bristol Rovers
2-1
Port Vale
Harrison (44'), Easter (63' pen.)
Sinclair (87')
Paterson (23')
Thomas (41'), Streete (60'), Paterson (61'), Jones (65'), Brown (95')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Wycombe WanderersWycombe18124239211840
2Wrexham19124328111740
3Birmingham CityBirmingham17123232161639
4Huddersfield TownHuddersfield18112528161235
5Stockport CountyStockport1996431191233
6Reading189453025531
7Bolton WanderersBolton179352827130
8Barnsley197662725227
9Lincoln CityLincoln197662423127
10Mansfield TownMansfield177372222024
11Exeter CityExeter187381619-324
12Charlton AthleticCharlton186571819-123
13Blackpool186572631-523
14Stevenage176471316-322
15Peterborough UnitedPeterborough186393332121
16Leyton Orient186391920-121
17Northampton TownNorthampton195682126-521
18Bristol Rovers186391726-921
19Wigan AthleticWigan185581516-120
20Rotherham UnitedRotherham175571620-420
21Crawley TownCrawley185491728-1119
22Cambridge UnitedCambridge1844101829-1116
23Burton Albion1825111630-1411
24Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury1832131835-1711
> League One Full Table


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