League One

League One | Gameweek 21

Dec 10, 2022 at 3pm UK

Memorial Stadium

Bristol Rovers
1 - 0
Port Vale

Collins (87')

FT(HT: 0-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Bristol Rovers and Port Vale, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Bristol Rovers

All competitions

League One

Last Game: Bolton 1-1 Bristol Rovers
Friday, December 2 at 7.45pm in League One

Goals
for

Top scorers

Port Vale

All competitions

League One

Last Game: Plymouth 0-2 Port Vale
Friday, December 2 at 7.45pm in League One

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bristol Rovers win with a probability of 42.4%. A win for Port Vale had a probability of 31.84% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bristol Rovers win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.88%) and 2-0 (7.26%). The likeliest Port Vale win was 0-1 (8.42%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.23%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Bristol Rovers in this match.

Result
Bristol Rovers	Draw	Port Vale
42.4% ( 0.57)	25.75% ( -0.15)	31.84% ( -0.42)

Both teams to score 54.07% (

0.32)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

50.06% (

0.49)

49.94% (

-0.49)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

28.07% (

0.43)

71.93% (

-0.43)

Bristol Rovers Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.6% (

0.5)

23.4% (

-0.5)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

42.62% (

0.72)

57.38% (

-0.72)

Port Vale Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.59% (

-0.04)

29.41% (

0.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.6% (

-0.05)

65.4% (

0.05)

Score Analysis

Bristol Rovers 42.4%

Port Vale 31.84%

Draw 25.75%

Bristol Rovers	Draw	Port Vale
1-0 @ 9.99% ( -0.05) 2-1 @ 8.88% ( 0.07) 2-0 @ 7.26% ( 0.07) 3-1 @ 4.3% ( 0.1) 3-0 @ 3.52% ( 0.08) 3-2 @ 2.63% ( 0.06) 4-1 @ 1.56% ( 0.06) 4-0 @ 1.28% ( 0.05) 4-2 @ 0.96% ( 0.03) Other @ 2.02% Total : 42.4%	1-1 @ 12.23% ( -0.07) 0-0 @ 6.88% ( -0.14) 2-2 @ 5.44% ( 0.04) 3-3 @ 1.07% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.75%	0-1 @ 8.42% ( -0.18) 1-2 @ 7.49% ( -0.05) 0-2 @ 5.15% ( -0.11) 1-3 @ 3.05% ( -0.03) 2-3 @ 2.22% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 2.1% ( -0.05) 1-4 @ 0.93% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.48% Total : 31.84%