Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bristol Rovers win with a probability of 47.63%. A win for Fleetwood Town had a probability of 27.24% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bristol Rovers win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.36%) and 2-0 (8.34%). The likeliest Fleetwood Town win was 0-1 (7.62%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.94%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood.