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Bristol Rovers
League One | Gameweek 18
Nov 12, 2022 at 3pm UK
Memorial Stadium
Fleetwood Town

Bristol Rovers
2 - 2
Fleetwood

Coburn (57'), Collins (80')
Gordon (68'), Collins (75'), Belshaw (90+1'), Rossiter (90+6')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Rooney (14', 90+9')
Lynch (68'), Batty (73')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Bristol Rovers and Fleetwood Town, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Bristol Rovers 1-2 Fleetwood Town

There is very little to split the sides in terms of form and league position, but despite Bristol Rovers' excellent offensive output, Fleetwood's strong defence may be able to do a good job on a side littered with injuries. Another win which saw them score three goals last weekend shows that Fleetwood are improving at the other end too, and Rovers' softness in giving away goals could cost them here. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bristol Rovers win with a probability of 47.63%. A win for Fleetwood Town had a probability of 27.24% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bristol Rovers win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.36%) and 2-0 (8.34%). The likeliest Fleetwood Town win was 0-1 (7.62%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.94%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood.

Result
Bristol RoversDrawFleetwood Town
47.63% (-0.067 -0.07) 25.13% (0.027999999999999 0.03) 27.24% (0.039000000000001 0.04)
Both teams to score 53.39% (-0.064999999999998 -0.06)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.41% (-0.097000000000001 -0.1)49.59% (0.097000000000001 0.1)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.38% (-0.087 -0.09)71.61% (0.085999999999999 0.09)
Bristol Rovers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.15% (-0.069999999999993 -0.07)20.85% (0.068999999999999 0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.46% (-0.108 -0.11)53.53% (0.108 0.11)
Fleetwood Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.46% (-0.022999999999996 -0.02)32.54% (0.024000000000001 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.92% (-0.023 -0.02)69.07% (0.022999999999996 0.02)
Score Analysis
    Bristol Rovers 47.62%
    Fleetwood Town 27.24%
    Draw 25.13%
Bristol RoversDrawFleetwood Town
1-0 @ 10.63% (0.020000000000001 0.02)
2-1 @ 9.36% (-0.0079999999999991 -0.01)
2-0 @ 8.34% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)
3-1 @ 4.89% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
3-0 @ 4.36% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
3-2 @ 2.75% (-0.01 -0.01)
4-1 @ 1.92% (-0.01 -0.01)
4-0 @ 1.71% (-0.0069999999999999 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1.08% (-0.006 -0.01)
Other @ 2.59%
Total : 47.62%
1-1 @ 11.94% (0.02 0.02)
0-0 @ 6.78% (0.027 0.03)
2-2 @ 5.26% (-0.008 -0.01)
3-3 @ 1.03% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 25.13%
0-1 @ 7.62% (0.025 0.03)
1-2 @ 6.7% (0.0040000000000004 0)
0-2 @ 4.28% (0.012 0.01)
1-3 @ 2.51%
2-3 @ 1.97% (-0.004 -0)
0-3 @ 1.6% (0.004 0)
Other @ 2.57%
Total : 27.24%

How you voted: Bristol Rovers vs Fleetwood

Bristol Rovers
20.0%
Draw
20.0%
Fleetwood Town
60.0%
5
Head to Head
Feb 6, 2021 3pm
Nov 14, 2020 3pm
Bristol Rovers
1-4
Fleetwood
Grant (60')
Harries (27'), Ehmer (79'), Hanlan (90+1')
Camps (30', 82'), Madden (39'), Evans (86' pen.)
Edwards (43'), Madden (70'), Leutwiler (90')
Jan 25, 2020 3pm
Dec 29, 2019 3pm
Apr 27, 2019 3pm
Fleetwood
0-0
Bristol Rovers

Madden (81'), Evans (81')

Partington (45'), Ogogo (69'), Clarke (77'), Bonham (81'), Lockyer (81'), Upson (87')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CPortsmouth462813578413797
3Bolton WanderersBolton462512986513587
4Peterborough UnitedPeterborough462591289612884
5Oxford UnitedOxford Utd4622111379562377
6Barnsley4621131282641876
7Lincoln CityLincoln4620141265402574
8Blackpool4621101565481773
9Stevenage4619141357461171
10Wycombe WanderersWycombe461714156055565
11Leyton Orient461811175355-265
12Wigan AthleticWigan462010166356762
13Exeter CityExeter461710194661-1561
14Northampton TownNorthampton46179205766-960
15Bristol Rovers46169215268-1657
16Charlton AthleticCharlton461120156465-153
17Reading461611196870-253
18Cambridge UnitedCambridge461212223961-2248
19Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury46139243567-3248
20Burton Albion461210243967-2846
RCheltenham TownCheltenham46128264165-2444
RFleetwood TownFleetwood461013234972-2343
RPort Vale461011254174-3341
RCarlisle UnitedCarlisle4679304181-4030


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