FA Cup

FA Cup | First Round

Nov 5, 2022 at 3pm UK

Highbury Stadium

Fleetwood
3 - 1
Oxford City

Warrington (14'), Lane (44', 84')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Potter (80')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's FA Cup clash between Fleetwood Town and Oxford City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Fleetwood Town

All competitions

Last Game: Oxford Utd 1-1 Fleetwood
Tuesday, November 1 at 7.45pm in League One

Goals
for

Top scorers

Oxford City

All competitions

Last Game: Oxford City 2-0 Hungerford
Tuesday, November 1 at 7.45pm in National League South

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fleetwood Town win with a probability of 41.81%. A win for Oxford City had a probability of 33.6% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fleetwood Town win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.41%) and 2-0 (6.51%). The likeliest Oxford City win was 1-2 (7.83%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.47%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Fleetwood Town would win this match.

Result
Fleetwood Town	Draw	Oxford City
41.81% ( -0.03)	24.59% ( -0.01)	33.6% ( 0.05)

Both teams to score 58.64% (

0.06)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

55.72% (

0.07)

44.28% (

-0.07)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

33.34% (

0.07)

66.66% (

-0.06)

Fleetwood Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.75% (

0.01)

21.24% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

45.85% (

0.02)

54.15% (

-0.02)

Oxford City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.45% (

0.06)

25.55% (

-0.06)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

39.59% (

0.08)

60.41% (

-0.08)

Score Analysis

Fleetwood Town 41.81%

Oxford City 33.6%

Draw 24.59%

Fleetwood Town	Draw	Oxford City
2-1 @ 8.89% ( -0) 1-0 @ 8.41% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 6.51% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 4.59% 3-0 @ 3.36% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 3.13% ( 0) 4-1 @ 1.78% 4-0 @ 1.3% ( -0) 4-2 @ 1.21% ( 0) Other @ 2.63% Total : 41.81%	1-1 @ 11.47% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 6.06% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 5.43% ( -0.02) 3-3 @ 1.42% ( 0) Other @ 0.21% Total : 24.59%	1-2 @ 7.83% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 7.41% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 5.05% ( 0) 1-3 @ 3.56% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 2.76% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 2.3% ( 0.01) 1-4 @ 1.22% ( 0.01) 2-4 @ 0.94% ( 0) Other @ 2.54% Total : 33.6%