FA Cup
Nov 5, 2022 3.00pm
3
1
HT : 2 0
FT Highbury Stadium
  • Lewis Warrington 14' goal
  • Patrick Lane 44' goal
  • Patrick Lane 84' goal
  • goal Alfie Potter 80'

Fleetwood Town vs Oxford City - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Fleetwood Town

All competitions

Oxford City

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fleetwood Town win with a probability of 41.81%. A win for Oxford City had a probability of 33.6% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fleetwood Town win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.41%) and 2-0 (6.51%). The likeliest Oxford City win was 1-2 (7.83%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.47%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Fleetwood Town would win this match.

Result

Fleetwood Town 41.81% (-0.04)
Draw 24.59% (-0.02)
Oxford City 33.6% (+0.05)

Both Teams to Score: 

58.64% (+0.06)

Goals

Over 2.5 55.72% (+0.07)
Under 2.5 44.28% (-0.07)
Over 3.5 33.34% (+0.07)
Under 3.5 66.66% (-0.07)

Fleetwood Town Goals

Over 0.5 78.75% (+0.02)
Under 0.5 21.24% (-0.02)
Over 1.5 45.85% (+0.02)
Under 1.5 54.15% (-0.02)

Oxford City Goals

Over 0.5 74.45% (+0.07)
Under 0.5 25.55% (-0.07)
Over 1.5 39.59% (+0.09)
Under 1.5 60.41% (-0.09)

Score analysis

Fleetwood Town 41.81%
Draw 24.59%
Oxford City 33.6%
Fleetwood Town
2-1 @ 8.89% (-0.01)
1-0 @ 8.41% (-0.03)
2-0 @ 6.51% (-0.02)
3-1 @ 4.59%
3-0 @ 3.36% (-0.01)
3-2 @ 3.13% (+0.01)
4-1 @ 1.78%
4-0 @ 1.3% (-0.01)
4-2 @ 1.21% (+0.01)
Other @ 2.63%
Total : 41.81%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.47% (-0.01)
2-2 @ 6.06% (+0.01)
0-0 @ 5.43% (-0.02)
3-3 @ 1.42% (+0.01)
Other @ 0.21%
Total : 24.59%
Oxford City
1-2 @ 7.83% (+0.01)
0-1 @ 7.41% (-0.01)
0-2 @ 5.05% (+0.01)
1-3 @ 3.56% (+0.01)
2-3 @ 2.76% (+0.01)
0-3 @ 2.3% (+0.01)
1-4 @ 1.22% (+0.01)
Other @ 3.48%
Total : 33.6%