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FA Cup
Fleetwood Town
FA Cup | First Round
Nov 5, 2022 at 3pm UK
Highbury Stadium

Fleetwood
3 - 1
Oxford City

Warrington (14'), Lane (44', 84')
Earl (38'), Lane (62'), Batty (75')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Potter (80')
Coyle (27'), Burley (29'), Potter (64')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's FA Cup clash between Fleetwood Town and Oxford City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Fleetwood Town

All competitions
Last Game: Oxford Utd 1-1 Fleetwood
Tuesday, November 1 at 7.45pm in League One

Oxford City

All competitions
Last Game: Oxford City 2-0 Hungerford
Tuesday, November 1 at 7.45pm in National League South

We said: Fleetwood Town 2-0 Oxford City

 Oxford City will fancy their chances of causing an upset against a side three divisions above them, but Fleetwood will be regarded as firm favourites for this contest in front of their own fans and they should have few problems in securing a routine victory. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fleetwood Town win with a probability of 41.81%. A win for Oxford City had a probability of 33.6% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fleetwood Town win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.41%) and 2-0 (6.51%). The likeliest Oxford City win was 1-2 (7.83%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.47%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Fleetwood Town would win this match.

Result
Fleetwood TownDrawOxford City
41.81% (-0.034999999999997 -0.03) 24.59% (-0.012 -0.01) 33.6% (0.049999999999997 0.05)
Both teams to score 58.64% (0.058 0.06)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.72% (0.069000000000003 0.07)44.28% (-0.067 -0.07)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.34% (0.065999999999995 0.07)66.66% (-0.063999999999993 -0.06)
Fleetwood Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.75% (0.013000000000005 0.01)21.24% (-0.010000000000002 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.85% (0.018000000000001 0.02)54.15% (-0.015999999999998 -0.02)
Oxford City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.45% (0.063999999999993 0.06)25.55% (-0.061 -0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.59% (0.084000000000003 0.08)60.41% (-0.082999999999998 -0.08)
Score Analysis
    Fleetwood Town 41.81%
    Oxford City 33.6%
    Draw 24.59%
Fleetwood TownDrawOxford City
2-1 @ 8.89% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
1-0 @ 8.41% (-0.022 -0.02)
2-0 @ 6.51% (-0.014 -0.01)
3-1 @ 4.59%
3-0 @ 3.36% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
3-2 @ 3.13% (0.0049999999999999 0)
4-1 @ 1.78%
4-0 @ 1.3% (-0.002 -0)
4-2 @ 1.21% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Other @ 2.63%
Total : 41.81%
1-1 @ 11.47% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-2 @ 6.06% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
0-0 @ 5.43% (-0.016 -0.02)
3-3 @ 1.42% (0.0049999999999999 0)
Other @ 0.21%
Total : 24.59%
1-2 @ 7.83% (0.0070000000000006 0.01)
0-1 @ 7.41% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
0-2 @ 5.05% (0.0030000000000001 0)
1-3 @ 3.56% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-3 @ 2.76% (0.008 0.01)
0-3 @ 2.3% (0.0059999999999998 0.01)
1-4 @ 1.22% (0.006 0.01)
2-4 @ 0.94% (0.0049999999999999 0)
Other @ 2.54%
Total : 33.6%

How you voted: Fleetwood vs Oxford City

Fleetwood Town
65.2%
Draw
26.1%
Oxford City
8.7%
23
rhs 2.0
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