Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Oxford City win with a probability of 39.3%. A win for Ebbsfleet had a probability of 36.52% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Oxford City win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.5%) and 2-0 (5.79%). The likeliest Ebbsfleet win was 1-2 (8.22%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.1%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.1% likelihood.

Result
Oxford City	Draw	Ebbsfleet
39.3% ( -2.91)	24.18% ( 0.35)	36.52% ( 2.56)

Both teams to score 60.74% (

-0.78)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

58.21% (

-1.23)

41.78% (

1.23)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

35.81% (

-1.25)

64.18% (

1.25)

Oxford City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.64% (

-1.86)

21.36% (

1.86)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

45.67% (

-2.96)

54.32% (

2.96)

Ebbsfleet Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.24% (

0.82)

22.76% (

-0.82)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

43.55% (

1.2)

56.44% (

-1.2)

Score Analysis

Oxford City 39.3%

Ebbsfleet 36.52%

Draw 24.17%

Oxford City	Draw	Ebbsfleet
2-1 @ 8.57% ( -0.3) 1-0 @ 7.5% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 5.79% ( -0.35) 3-1 @ 4.41% ( -0.43) 3-2 @ 3.27% ( -0.23) 3-0 @ 2.98% ( -0.37) 4-1 @ 1.7% ( -0.28) 4-2 @ 1.26% ( -0.17) 4-0 @ 1.15% ( -0.22) Other @ 2.66% Total : 39.3%	1-1 @ 11.1% ( 0.25) 2-2 @ 6.35% ( -0.07) 0-0 @ 4.86% ( 0.26) 3-3 @ 1.61% ( -0.07) Other @ 0.25% Total : 24.17%	1-2 @ 8.22% ( 0.38) 0-1 @ 7.19% ( 0.55) 0-2 @ 5.33% ( 0.53) 1-3 @ 4.06% ( 0.28) 2-3 @ 3.13% ( 0.04) 0-3 @ 2.63% ( 0.32) 1-4 @ 1.5% ( 0.14) 2-4 @ 1.16% ( 0.04) 0-4 @ 0.97% ( 0.14) Other @ 2.33% Total : 36.52%