National League South Gameweek 7
Sep 3, 2022 3.00pm
3
1
HT : 1 0
FT Stonebridge Road
  • Dominic Poleon 7' goal
  • Dominic Poleon 62' goal
  • Darren McQueen 85' goal
  • goal Dan Hayfield 73'

Ebbsfleet vs Bath City - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Ebbsfleet

All competitions
National League South
Last game
Aug 29, 2022 3.00pm
Ebbsfleet 3 - 0 Dover Athletic
Goals scored
110
Top scorer
Dominic Poleon

Bath City

All competitions
National League South
Last game
Aug 29, 2022 3.00pm
Bath City 5 - 1 Slough
Goals scored
64
Top scorer
Scott Wilson

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ebbsfleet win with a probability of 66.91%. A draw had a probability of 19.3% and a win for Bath City had a probability of 13.81%.

The most likely scoreline for a Ebbsfleet win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.69%) and 2-1 (9.8%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.15%), while for a Bath City win it was 0-1 (4.27%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Ebbsfleet would win this match.

Result

Ebbsfleet 66.91% (+0.28)
Draw 19.29% (-0.08)
Bath City 13.81% (-0.21)

Both Teams to Score: 

50.75% (-0.30)

Goals

Over 2.5 57.63% (-0.11)
Under 2.5 42.37% (+0.11)
Over 3.5 35.22% (-0.11)
Under 3.5 64.78% (+0.11)

Ebbsfleet Goals

Over 0.5 88.26% (+0.05)
Under 0.5 11.74% (-0.05)
Over 1.5 63.11% (+0.10)
Under 1.5 36.89% (-0.10)

Bath City Goals

Over 0.5 57.5% (-0.36)
Under 0.5 42.5% (+0.37)
Over 1.5 21.13% (-0.31)
Under 1.5 78.87% (+0.32)

Score analysis

Ebbsfleet 66.9%
Draw 19.29%
Bath City 13.81%
Ebbsfleet
2-0 @ 11.44% (+0.09)
1-0 @ 10.69% (+0.08)
2-1 @ 9.8% (-0.02)
3-0 @ 8.18% (+0.09)
3-1 @ 6.99% (+0.01)
4-0 @ 4.38% (+0.06)
4-1 @ 3.75% (+0.01)
3-2 @ 2.99% (-0.03)
5-0 @ 1.88% (+0.03)
5-1 @ 1.61% (+0.01)
4-2 @ 1.6% (-0.02)
Other @ 3.61%
Total : 66.9%
Draw
1-1 @ 9.15% (-0.04)
0-0 @ 4.99% (+0.03)
2-2 @ 4.19% (-0.05)
Other @ 0.96%
Total : 19.29%
Bath City
0-1 @ 4.27% (-0.03)
1-2 @ 3.91% (-0.06)
0-2 @ 1.83% (-0.03)
2-3 @ 1.2% (-0.03)
1-3 @ 1.12% (-0.03)
Other @ 1.49%
Total : 13.81%

Head to Head

National League South Gameweek 30
Mar 5, 2022 3.00pm
0
2
HT : 0 1
FT
  • goal Ben Chapman 2'
  • goal Dominic Poleon 52'
National League South Gameweek 12
Dec 18, 2021 3.00pm
3
0
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Elliott Romain 45' goal
  • Dominic Poleon 46' goal
  • Elliott Romain 49' goal
National League South Gameweek 37
Apr 30, 2021 11.00pm
National League South Gameweek 21
Feb 6, 2021 3.00pm