National League South | Gameweek 7

Sep 3, 2022 at 3pm UK

Stonebridge Road

Ebbsfleet
3 - 1
Bath City

Poleon (7', 62'), McQueen (85')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Hayfield (73')

Coverage of the National League South clash between Ebbsfleet and Bath City.

Form, Standings, Stats

Ebbsfleet

Last Six:

Last Game: Ebbsfleet 3-0 Dover Athletic
Monday, August 29 at 3pm in National League South

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Ebbsfleet	6	11	18
2	Havant & Waterlooville	6	7	16
3	Chelmsford City	6	6	14

Bath City

Last Six:

Last Game: Bath City 5-1 Slough
Monday, August 29 at 3pm in National League South

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
3	Chelmsford City	6	6	14
4	Bath City	6	6	13
5	Oxford City	5	8	12

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ebbsfleet win with a probability of 66.91%. A draw had a probability of 19.3% and a win for Bath City had a probability of 13.81%.

The most likely scoreline for a Ebbsfleet win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.69%) and 2-1 (9.8%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.15%), while for a Bath City win it was 0-1 (4.27%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Ebbsfleet would win this match.

Result
Ebbsfleet	Draw	Bath City
66.91% ( 0.28)	19.29% ( -0.07)	13.81% ( -0.2)

Both teams to score 50.75% (

-0.29)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

57.63% (

-0.1)

42.37% (

0.1)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

35.22% (

-0.1)

64.78% (

0.11)

Ebbsfleet Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

88.26% (

0.05)

11.74% (

-0.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

63.11% (

0.1)

36.89% (

-0.09)

Bath City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

57.5% (

-0.36)

42.5% (

0.36)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

21.13% (

-0.31)

78.87% (

0.31)

Score Analysis

Ebbsfleet 66.9%

Bath City 13.81%

Draw 19.29%

Ebbsfleet	Draw	Bath City
2-0 @ 11.44% ( 0.09) 1-0 @ 10.69% ( 0.07) 2-1 @ 9.8% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 8.18% ( 0.08) 3-1 @ 6.99% ( 0) 4-0 @ 4.38% ( 0.05) 4-1 @ 3.75% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 2.99% ( -0.03) 5-0 @ 1.88% ( 0.02) 5-1 @ 1.61% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 1.6% ( -0.01) Other @ 3.61% Total : 66.9%	1-1 @ 9.15% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 4.99% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 4.19% ( -0.05) Other @ 0.96% Total : 19.29%	0-1 @ 4.27% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 3.91% ( -0.05) 0-2 @ 1.83% ( -0.03) 2-3 @ 1.2% ( -0.03) 1-3 @ 1.12% ( -0.03) Other @ 1.49% Total : 13.81%