Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ebbsfleet win with a probability of 66.91%. A draw had a probability of 19.3% and a win for Bath City had a probability of 13.81%.
The most likely scoreline for a Ebbsfleet win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.69%) and 2-1 (9.8%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.15%), while for a Bath City win it was 0-1 (4.27%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Ebbsfleet would win this match.