National League South | Gameweek 10
Sep 24, 2022 at 3pm UK
Bulpit Lane
Ebbsfleet United

Hungerford
0 - 1
Ebbsfleet

FT(HT: 0-1)
Edser (5')
Coverage of the National League South clash between Hungerford Town and Ebbsfleet.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Havant & W'ville 4-1 Hungerford
Wednesday, September 14 at 7.45pm in National League South
Last Game: Ebbsfleet 4-0 Braintree
Tuesday, September 13 at 7.45pm in National League South

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ebbsfleet win with a probability of 60.08%. A draw had a probability of 21.5% and a win for Hungerford Town had a probability of 18.38%.

The most likely scoreline for a Ebbsfleet win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.14%) and 1-2 (9.95%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.17%), while for a Hungerford Town win it was 1-0 (5.2%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Ebbsfleet in this match.

Result
Hungerford TownDrawEbbsfleet
18.38% (-0.076000000000001 -0.08)21.54% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)60.08% (0.068000000000005 0.07)
Both teams to score 53.66% (-0.177 -0.18)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.25% (-0.163 -0.16)43.75% (0.164 0.16)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.86% (-0.16 -0.16)66.14% (0.16000000000001 0.16)
Hungerford Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.5% (-0.182 -0.18)37.5% (0.183 0.18)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.72% (-0.179 -0.18)74.28% (0.17999999999999 0.18)
Ebbsfleet Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.85% (-0.033000000000001 -0.03)14.15% (0.032999999999999 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
58.19% (-0.061999999999998 -0.06)41.81% (0.064 0.06)
Score Analysis
    Hungerford Town 18.38%
    Ebbsfleet 60.08%
    Draw 21.53%
Hungerford TownDrawEbbsfleet
1-0 @ 5.2% (0.012 0.01)
2-1 @ 4.99% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-0 @ 2.55% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
3-1 @ 1.63% (-0.014 -0.01)
3-2 @ 1.6% (-0.016 -0.02)
Other @ 2.41%
Total : 18.38%
1-1 @ 10.17% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 5.3% (0.038 0.04)
2-2 @ 4.88% (-0.025 -0.03)
3-3 @ 1.04% (-0.012 -0.01)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 21.53%
0-1 @ 10.37% (0.059999999999999 0.06)
0-2 @ 10.14% (0.050000000000001 0.05)
1-2 @ 9.95% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
0-3 @ 6.61% (0.024 0.02)
1-3 @ 6.49% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
0-4 @ 3.23% (0.008 0.01)
2-3 @ 3.18% (-0.02 -0.02)
1-4 @ 3.17% (-0.008 -0.01)
2-4 @ 1.56% (-0.011 -0.01)
0-5 @ 1.27% (0.002 0)
1-5 @ 1.24% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 2.86%
Total : 60.08%

Head to Head
Apr 2, 2022 3pm
Ebbsfleet
1-2
Hungerford
Romain (26')
Martin (63')
Seager (21', 69')
Rusby (76')
Nov 13, 2021 3pm
Hungerford
3-4
Ebbsfleet
Wanjau-Smith (23'), Seager (84', 87')
Bingham (6'), Kahraman (56'), Poleon (73'), Egan (80')
Oct 24, 2020 3pm
Ebbsfleet
3-2
Hungerford
Grant (8'), Martin (66'), Taylor (80')
Rowan (45+3')
Jones (3'), Hopper (37')
rhs 2.0


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