National League South Gameweek 16
Oct 29, 2022 3.00pm
2
1
HT : 2 0
FT Paddy Power Park
  • Hisham Kasimu 19' goal
  • Hisham Kasimu 25' goal
  • goal Jayden Carbon 77'

Farnborough Town vs Oxford City - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Farnborough Town

All competitions
National League South
Last game
Oct 25, 2022 7.45pm
Weymouth 0 - 1 Farnborough
Goals scored
59
Top scorer
Mason Bloomfield

Oxford City

All competitions
National League South
Last game
Oct 25, 2022 7.45pm
Oxford City 2 - 1 Taunton Town
Goals scored
89
Top scorer
Josh Parker

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Oxford City win with a probability of 40.3%. A win for Farnborough Town had a probability of 34.18% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Oxford City win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.69%) and 0-2 (6.66%). The likeliest Farnborough Town win was 1-0 (8.4%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.07%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood.

Result

Farnborough Town 34.18% (+0.01)
Draw 25.52% (-0.04)
Oxford City 40.3% (+0.04)

Both Teams to Score: 

55.58% (+0.14)

Goals

Over 2.5 51.69% (+0.18)
Under 2.5 48.31% (-0.18)
Over 3.5 29.54% (+0.16)
Under 3.5 70.45% (-0.16)

Farnborough Town Goals

Over 0.5 72.87% (+0.09)
Under 0.5 27.13% (-0.09)
Over 1.5 37.48% (+0.12)
Under 1.5 62.52% (-0.12)

Oxford City Goals

Over 0.5 76.27% (+0.10)
Under 0.5 23.73% (-0.10)
Over 1.5 42.14% (+0.14)
Under 1.5 57.86% (-0.14)

Score analysis

Farnborough Town 34.18%
Draw 25.51%
Oxford City 40.3%
Farnborough Town
1-0 @ 8.4% (-0.04)
2-1 @ 7.88% (+0.01)
2-0 @ 5.48% (-0.02)
3-1 @ 3.43% (+0.02)
3-2 @ 2.47% (+0.02)
3-0 @ 2.38%
4-1 @ 1.12% (+0.01)
Other @ 3.03%
Total : 34.18%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.07% (-0.03)
0-0 @ 6.44% (-0.05)
2-2 @ 5.67% (+0.02)
3-3 @ 1.18% (+0.02)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 25.51%
Oxford City
0-1 @ 9.26% (-0.05)
1-2 @ 8.69% (+0.01)
0-2 @ 6.66% (-0.02)
1-3 @ 4.17% (+0.02)
0-3 @ 3.19% (+0.01)
2-3 @ 2.72% (+0.02)
1-4 @ 1.5% (+0.02)
0-4 @ 1.15% (+0.01)
Other @ 2.97%
Total : 40.3%