National League South | Gameweek 12
Oct 8, 2022 at 3pm UK
The A2B Stadium

Worthing
1 - 2
Farnborough Town

Splatt (28')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Saied (64'), Page (90+2')
Coverage of the National League South clash between Worthing and Farnborough Town.

Form, Standings, Stats

Worthing

All competitions
Last Game: Concord Rangers 1-1 Worthing
Tuesday, September 27 at 7.45pm in National League South

Farnborough Town

All competitions
Last Game: Farnborough Town 0-1 Chelmsford City
Tuesday, September 27 at 7.45pm in National League South

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Worthing win with a probability of 58.46%. A draw had a probability of 22.5% and a win for Farnborough Town had a probability of 19.06%.

The most likely scoreline for a Worthing win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.37%) and 2-1 (9.89%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.68%), while for a Farnborough Town win it was 0-1 (5.77%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood.

Result
WorthingDrawFarnborough Town
58.46% (0.023000000000003 0.02)22.48% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)19.06% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)
Both teams to score 51.81% (-0.012999999999998 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.18% (-0.0039999999999978 -0)46.82% (0.0069999999999979 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.92% (-0.004999999999999 -0)69.08% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Worthing Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.3% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)15.7% (-0.004999999999999 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
55.23% (0.010999999999996 0.01)44.77% (-0.0069999999999979 -0.01)
Farnborough Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.46% (-0.021999999999998 -0.02)38.54% (0.024000000000001 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.71% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)75.29% (0.024000000000001 0.02)
Score Analysis
    Worthing 58.45%
    Farnborough Town 19.06%
    Draw 22.48%
WorthingDrawFarnborough Town
1-0 @ 11.2% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-0 @ 10.37% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-1 @ 9.89%
3-0 @ 6.4% (0.0049999999999999 0)
3-1 @ 6.1% (0.00099999999999945 0)
4-0 @ 2.96% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-2 @ 2.91% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-1 @ 2.83% (0.0010000000000003 0)
4-2 @ 1.35%
5-0 @ 1.1% (0.00099999999999989 0)
5-1 @ 1.05%
Other @ 2.3%
Total : 58.45%
1-1 @ 10.68%
0-0 @ 6.05% (0.0019999999999998 0)
2-2 @ 4.72% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-3 @ 0.93% (-0.001 -0)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 22.48%
0-1 @ 5.77% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
1-2 @ 5.09% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-2 @ 2.75% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
1-3 @ 1.62% (-0.002 -0)
2-3 @ 1.5% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 2.33%
Total : 19.06%