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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Plymouth Argyle win with a probability of 52.5%. A win for Port Vale had a probability of 24.09% and a draw had a probability of 23.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Plymouth Argyle win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.75%) and 2-0 (8.68%). The likeliest Port Vale win was 0-1 (6.23%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.02%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 3.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Plymouth Argyle | Draw | Port Vale |
| 52.5% ( | 23.41% ( | 24.09% ( |
| Both teams to score 55.96% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.2% ( | 44.8% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.84% ( | 67.16% ( |
| Plymouth Argyle Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.94% ( | 17.06% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 52.78% ( | 47.22% ( |
| Port Vale Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.46% ( | 32.54% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.93% ( | 69.07% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Plymouth Argyle | Draw | Port Vale |
| 1-0 @ 9.82% ( 2-1 @ 9.75% ( 2-0 @ 8.68% ( 3-1 @ 5.75% ( 3-0 @ 5.12% ( 3-2 @ 3.23% ( 4-1 @ 2.54% ( 4-0 @ 2.26% ( 4-2 @ 1.43% ( Other @ 3.94% Total : 52.5% | 1-1 @ 11.02% ( 0-0 @ 5.55% ( 2-2 @ 5.47% ( 3-3 @ 1.21% ( Other @ 0.16% Total : 23.41% | 0-1 @ 6.23% ( 1-2 @ 6.19% ( 0-2 @ 3.5% ( 1-3 @ 2.32% ( 2-3 @ 2.05% ( 0-3 @ 1.31% ( Other @ 2.5% Total : 24.09% |