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Championship header 2

League One

Oxford United
League One | Gameweek 18
Nov 12, 2022 at 3pm UK
The Kassam Stadium
Port Vale

Oxford Utd
4 - 0
Port Vale

Bodin (10', 62'), Taylor (27', 66')
FT(HT: 2-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Oxford United and Port Vale, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Oxford United

All competitions
League One
Last Game: Shrewsbury 1-1 Oxford Utd
Wednesday, November 9 at 7.45pm in League One

Port Vale

All competitions
League One
Last Game: Port Vale 2-3 Exeter
Saturday, November 5 at 3pm in FA Cup

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Oxford United win with a probability of 48.22%. A win for Port Vale had a probability of 26.82% and a draw had a probability of 25%.

The most likely scoreline for a Oxford United win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.42%) and 2-0 (8.42%). The likeliest Port Vale win was 0-1 (7.47%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.86%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 1.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Oxford United would win this match.

Result
Oxford UnitedDrawPort Vale
48.22% (-0.125 -0.13)24.97% (0.016999999999999 0.02)26.82% (0.108 0.11)
Both teams to score 53.56% (0.032000000000004 0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.79%49.21%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.73%71.27%
Oxford United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.56% (-0.052999999999997 -0.05)20.44% (0.052 0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.11% (-0.086999999999996 -0.09)52.89% (0.085999999999999 0.09)
Port Vale Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.32% (0.084999999999994 0.08)32.68% (-0.085000000000001 -0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.78% (0.094999999999999 0.09)69.23% (-0.094999999999999 -0.09)
Score Analysis
    Oxford United 48.21%
    Port Vale 26.82%
    Draw 24.97%
Oxford UnitedDrawPort Vale
1-0 @ 10.6% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-1 @ 9.42% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
2-0 @ 8.42% (-0.028 -0.03)
3-1 @ 4.98% (-0.013000000000001 -0.01)
3-0 @ 4.46% (-0.022 -0.02)
3-2 @ 2.79% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-1 @ 1.98% (-0.008 -0.01)
4-0 @ 1.77% (-0.012 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1.11% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 2.7%
Total : 48.21%
1-1 @ 11.86% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 6.68%
2-2 @ 5.27% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
3-3 @ 1.04% (0.002 0)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 24.97%
0-1 @ 7.47% (0.018 0.02)
1-2 @ 6.63% (0.02 0.02)
0-2 @ 4.18% (0.019 0.02)
1-3 @ 2.47% (0.013 0.01)
2-3 @ 1.96% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
0-3 @ 1.56% (0.011 0.01)
Other @ 2.54%
Total : 26.82%

How you voted: Oxford Utd vs Port Vale

Oxford United
42.9%
Draw
14.3%
Port Vale
42.9%
7
Head to Head
Nov 3, 2017 7.45pm
Port Vale
2-0
Oxford Utd
Gunning (16'), Pope (53')
Myers-Harness (10'), Denton (36')

Thomas (42'), Martin (89')
Apr 17, 2017 3pm
Oxford Utd
2-0
Port Vale
Ruffles (14'), Maguire (82')

Streete (40')
Oct 22, 2016 3pm
Port Vale
2-2
Oxford Utd
Cicilia (54'), Taylor (59' pen.)
Mac-Intosch (26')
Dunkley (11'), Crowley (19')
Nelson (58'), Dunkley (65')
Mar 2, 2013 3pm
Oxford Utd
2-1
Port Vale
Smalley (76'), Potter (10')
Batt (42'), Parker (54'), Capaldi (90')
Loft (16')
Jones (54'), Myrie-Williams (81'), Loft (85')
Oct 15, 2012 7.45pm
Port Vale
3-0
Oxford Utd
Morsy (61'), Vincent (51'), Pope (30')
Burge (32'), Morsy (57')

Wright (90')
> Match Report