Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Port Vale win with a probability of 43.98%. A win for Charlton Athletic had a probability of 29.77% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Port Vale win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.94%) and 2-0 (7.91%). The likeliest Charlton Athletic win was 0-1 (8.72%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.48%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Port Vale in this match.