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Port Vale
League One | Gameweek 19
Nov 19, 2022 at 3pm UK
Vale Park
Charlton Athletic

Port Vale
1 - 0
Charlton

Butterworth (58')
Benning (83')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Sessegnon (5'), Inniss (72'), Aneke (80')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Port Vale and Charlton Athletic, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Oxford Utd 4-0 Port Vale
Saturday, November 12 at 3pm in League One

We said: Port Vale 1-2 Charlton Athletic

While their head-to-head record does not make for strong reading, Port Vale are within touching distance of Charlton and will have the chance to jump ahead of them in the table. It is unlikely to happen this weekend, with the kamikaze Charlton best placed to take the win on Saturday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Port Vale win with a probability of 43.98%. A win for Charlton Athletic had a probability of 29.77% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Port Vale win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.94%) and 2-0 (7.91%). The likeliest Charlton Athletic win was 0-1 (8.72%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.48%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Port Vale in this match.

Result
Port ValeDrawCharlton Athletic
43.98% (-0.029000000000003 -0.03) 26.25%29.77% (0.026999999999997 0.03)
Both teams to score 51.52% (0.013000000000005 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.2% (0.010000000000005 0.01)52.8% (-0.011000000000003 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.58% (0.009999999999998 0.01)74.42% (-0.010000000000005 -0.01)
Port Vale Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.12% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)23.88% (0.010000000000002 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.93% (-0.012 -0.01)58.07% (0.013000000000005 0.01)
Charlton Athletic Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.68% (0.024999999999991 0.02)32.31% (-0.024999999999999 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.18% (0.029 0.03)68.82% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)
Score Analysis
    Port Vale 43.98%
    Charlton Athletic 29.77%
    Draw 26.25%
Port ValeDrawCharlton Athletic
1-0 @ 11.05%
2-1 @ 8.94% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
2-0 @ 7.91% (-0.0070000000000006 -0.01)
3-1 @ 4.27% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-0 @ 3.78% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
3-2 @ 2.41% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-1 @ 1.53% (-0.002 -0)
4-0 @ 1.35% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 2.74%
Total : 43.98%
1-1 @ 12.48%
0-0 @ 7.72% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-2 @ 5.05% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-3 @ 0.91% (0.001 0)
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 26.25%
0-1 @ 8.72% (0.0020000000000007 0)
1-2 @ 7.05% (0.0049999999999999 0)
0-2 @ 4.92% (0.0049999999999999 0)
1-3 @ 2.66% (0.004 0)
2-3 @ 1.9% (0.0029999999999999 0)
0-3 @ 1.85% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Other @ 2.67%
Total : 29.77%

How you voted: Port Vale vs Charlton

Port Vale
41.0%
Draw
23.1%
Charlton Athletic
35.9%
78
Head to Head
Nov 19, 2016 3pm
Oct 18, 2016 7.45pm
Port Vale
1-1
Charlton
Jones (85' pen.)
Tavares (81')
Ulvestad (30')
Holmes (54')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
1.15am
Rams
@
49ers
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Wycombe WanderersWycombe18124239211840
2Wrexham19124328111740
3Birmingham CityBirmingham17123232161639
4Huddersfield TownHuddersfield18112528161235
5Stockport CountyStockport1996431191233
6Reading189453025531
7Bolton WanderersBolton179352827130
8Barnsley197662725227
9Lincoln CityLincoln197662423127
10Mansfield TownMansfield177372222024
11Exeter CityExeter187381619-324
12Charlton AthleticCharlton186571819-123
13Blackpool186572631-523
14Stevenage176471316-322
15Peterborough UnitedPeterborough186393332121
16Leyton Orient186391920-121
17Northampton TownNorthampton195682126-521
18Bristol Rovers186391726-921
19Wigan AthleticWigan185581516-120
20Rotherham UnitedRotherham175571620-420
21Crawley TownCrawley185491728-1119
22Cambridge UnitedCambridge1844101829-1116
23Burton Albion1825111630-1411
24Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury1832131835-1711


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