League One Gameweek 19
Nov 19, 2022 3.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Vale Park
  • Daniel Butterworth 58' goal

Port Vale vs Charlton Athletic - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Port Vale

All competitions
Last game
Nov 12, 2022 3.00pm
Oxford Utd 4 - 0 Port Vale
Goals scored
48
Top scorer
Ellis Harrison

Charlton Athletic

All competitions
Last game
Nov 12, 2022 3.00pm
Burton Albion 3 - 3 Charlton
Goals scored
70
Top scorer
Jesuran Rak-Sakyi

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Port Vale win with a probability of 43.98%. A win for Charlton Athletic had a probability of 29.77% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Port Vale win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.94%) and 2-0 (7.91%). The likeliest Charlton Athletic win was 0-1 (8.72%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.48%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Port Vale in this match.

Result

Port Vale 43.98% (-0.03)
Draw 26.25%
Charlton Athletic 29.77% (+0.03)

Both Teams to Score: 

51.52% (+0.02)

Goals

Over 2.5 47.2% (+0.02)
Under 2.5 52.8% (-0.02)
Over 3.5 25.58% (+0.01)
Under 3.5 74.42% (-0.02)

Port Vale Goals

Over 0.5 76.12% (-0.01)
Under 0.5 23.88% (+0.02)
Over 1.5 41.93% (-0.02)
Under 1.5 58.07% (+0.02)

Charlton Athletic Goals

Over 0.5 67.68% (+0.03)
Under 0.5 32.31% (-0.03)
Over 1.5 31.18% (+0.03)
Under 1.5 68.82% (-0.04)

Score analysis

Port Vale 43.98%
Draw 26.25%
Charlton Athletic 29.77%
Port Vale
1-0 @ 11.05%
2-1 @ 8.94% (-0.01)
2-0 @ 7.91% (-0.01)
3-1 @ 4.27% (-0.01)
3-0 @ 3.78% (-0.01)
3-2 @ 2.41% (+0.01)
4-1 @ 1.53% (-0.01)
4-0 @ 1.35% (-0.01)
Other @ 2.74%
Total : 43.98%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.48%
0-0 @ 7.72% (-0.01)
2-2 @ 5.05% (+0.01)
Other @ 1.01%
Total : 26.25%
Charlton Athletic
0-1 @ 8.72% (+0.01)
1-2 @ 7.05% (+0.01)
0-2 @ 4.92% (+0.01)
1-3 @ 2.66% (+0.01)
2-3 @ 1.9% (+0.01)
0-3 @ 1.85% (+0.01)
Other @ 2.67%
Total : 29.77%

Head to Head

League One
Nov 19, 2016 3.00pm
2
0
HT : 2 0
FT
  • Josh Magennis 30' goal
  • Fredrik Ulvestad 38' yellowcard
  • Nicky Ajose 44' goal
  • Ademola Lookman 55' yellowcard
League One
Oct 18, 2016 7.45pm
1
1
HT : 0 1
FT
  • Paulo Tavares 81' yellowcard
  • Alexander Jones 85' goal
  • goal Fredrik Ulvestad 30'
  • yellowcard Ricky Holmes 54'