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League One | Gameweek 20
Dec 2, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
University of Bolton Stadium
Bristol Rovers

Bolton
1 - 1
Bristol Rovers

Charles (90+4')
Thomason (24')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Coburn (2')
Clarke (67'), Gibson (88'), Finley (90+6')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's League One clash between Bolton Wanderers and Bristol Rovers, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Bolton 3-2 Barrow
Tuesday, November 22 at 7.45pm in EFL Trophy

We said: Bolton Wanderers 1-1 Bristol Rovers

Despite their contrasting league positions, Bristol Rovers have matched Bolton for points over the last three contests. With that in mind, we are backing the visitors to earn a share of the spoils, bouncing back from the disappointment of their FA Cup exit. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bolton Wanderers win with a probability of 67.32%. A draw had a probability of 18.9% and a win for Bristol Rovers had a probability of 13.73%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bolton Wanderers win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.24%) and 2-1 (9.79%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.95%), while for a Bristol Rovers win it was 0-1 (4.1%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.

Result
Bolton WanderersDrawBristol Rovers
67.32% (0.0090000000000003 0.01) 18.94% (-0.0010000000000012 -0) 13.73% (-0.0070000000000014 -0.01)
Both teams to score 51.73% (-0.009999999999998 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
59.03% (-0.0050000000000026 -0.01)40.97% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36.64% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)63.36% (0.0039999999999978 0)
Bolton Wanderers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
88.77% (0.0020000000000095 0)11.23% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
64.22% (0.0030000000000001 0)35.78% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Bristol Rovers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
58.27% (-0.012 -0.01)41.73% (0.012999999999998 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
21.8% (-0.012 -0.01)78.2% (0.012 0.01)
Score Analysis
    Bolton Wanderers 67.32%
    Bristol Rovers 13.73%
    Draw 18.94%
Bolton WanderersDrawBristol Rovers
2-0 @ 11.2% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
1-0 @ 10.24%
2-1 @ 9.79%
3-0 @ 8.17% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-1 @ 7.14%
4-0 @ 4.46% (0.0020000000000007 0)
4-1 @ 3.9%
3-2 @ 3.12% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
5-0 @ 1.95%
5-1 @ 1.71%
4-2 @ 1.71% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 3.93%
Total : 67.32%
1-1 @ 8.95% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
0-0 @ 4.69% (0.00099999999999945 0)
2-2 @ 4.28% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-3 @ 0.91%
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 18.94%
0-1 @ 4.1%
1-2 @ 3.91% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
0-2 @ 1.79% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
2-3 @ 1.25% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
1-3 @ 1.14% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 1.55%
Total : 13.73%

How you voted: Bolton vs Bristol Rovers

Bolton Wanderers
52.0%
Draw
24.0%
Bristol Rovers
24.0%
25
Head to Head
Jan 28, 2020 8pm
Oct 22, 2019 7.45pm
Feb 28, 2017 8pm
Bolton
1-1
Bristol Rovers
Vela (7')
Vela (45'), Long (65'), Osede (79')
Long (90')
Bodin (75')
Aug 17, 2016 7.45pm
Bristol Rovers
1-2
Bolton
Harrison (57')
Vela (6'), Spearing (26')
Trotter (56'), Spearing (72'), Madine (75'), Wilkinson (94')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
1.15am
Rams
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49ers
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Wycombe WanderersWycombe18124239211840
2Wrexham19124328111740
3Birmingham CityBirmingham17123232161639
4Huddersfield TownHuddersfield18112528161235
5Stockport CountyStockport1996431191233
6Reading189453025531
7Bolton WanderersBolton179352827130
8Barnsley197662725227
9Lincoln CityLincoln197662423127
10Mansfield TownMansfield177372222024
11Exeter CityExeter187381619-324
12Charlton AthleticCharlton186571819-123
13Blackpool186572631-523
14Stevenage176471316-322
15Peterborough UnitedPeterborough186393332121
16Leyton Orient186391920-121
17Northampton TownNorthampton195682126-521
18Bristol Rovers186391726-921
19Wigan AthleticWigan185581516-120
20Rotherham UnitedRotherham175571620-420
21Crawley TownCrawley185491728-1119
22Cambridge UnitedCambridge1844101829-1116
23Burton Albion1825111630-1411
24Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury1832131835-1711


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