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League One | Gameweek 20
Dec 2, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
University of Bolton Stadium
Bristol Rovers

Bolton
1 - 1
Bristol Rovers

Charles (90+4')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Coburn (2')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's League One clash between Bolton Wanderers and Bristol Rovers, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bolton Wanderers win with a probability of 67.32%. A draw had a probability of 18.9% and a win for Bristol Rovers had a probability of 13.73%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bolton Wanderers win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.24%) and 2-1 (9.79%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.95%), while for a Bristol Rovers win it was 0-1 (4.1%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.

Result
Bolton WanderersDrawBristol Rovers
67.32% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)18.94% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)13.73% (-0.0070000000000014 -0.01)
Both teams to score 51.73% (-0.009999999999998 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
59.03% (-0.0050000000000026 -0.01)40.97% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36.64% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)63.36% (0.0039999999999978 0)
Bolton Wanderers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
88.77% (0.0020000000000095 0)11.23% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
64.22% (0.0030000000000001 0)35.78% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Bristol Rovers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
58.27% (-0.012 -0.01)41.73% (0.012999999999998 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
21.8% (-0.012 -0.01)78.2% (0.012 0.01)
Score Analysis
    Bolton Wanderers 67.32%
    Bristol Rovers 13.73%
    Draw 18.94%
Bolton WanderersDrawBristol Rovers
2-0 @ 11.2% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
1-0 @ 10.24%
2-1 @ 9.79%
3-0 @ 8.17% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-1 @ 7.14%
4-0 @ 4.46% (0.0020000000000007 0)
4-1 @ 3.9%
3-2 @ 3.12% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
5-0 @ 1.95%
5-1 @ 1.71%
4-2 @ 1.71% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 3.93%
Total : 67.32%
1-1 @ 8.95% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
0-0 @ 4.69% (0.00099999999999945 0)
2-2 @ 4.28% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-3 @ 0.91%
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 18.94%
0-1 @ 4.1%
1-2 @ 3.91% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
0-2 @ 1.79% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
2-3 @ 1.25% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
1-3 @ 1.14% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 1.55%
Total : 13.73%

How you voted: Bolton vs Bristol Rovers

Bolton Wanderers
52.0%
Draw
24.0%
Bristol Rovers
24.0%
25
Head to Head
Jan 28, 2020 8pm
Oct 22, 2019 7.45pm
Feb 28, 2017 8pm
Bolton
1-1
Bristol Rovers
Vela (7')
Vela (45'), Long (65'), Osede (79')
Long (90')
Bodin (75')
Aug 17, 2016 7.45pm
Bristol Rovers
1-2
Bolton
Harrison (57')
Vela (6'), Spearing (26')
Trotter (56'), Spearing (72'), Madine (75'), Wilkinson (94')