MX23RW : Sunday, April 28 18:21:40| >> :600:1805070:1805070:
Colchester United
EFL Trophy | Second Round
Nov 23, 2022 at 7.30pm UK
JobServe Community Stadium
Bristol Rovers

Colchester
1 - 2
Bristol Rovers

Sears (83')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Connolly (53'), Saunders (90+5')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's EFL Trophy clash between Colchester United and Bristol Rovers, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Colchester United 0-1 Bristol Rovers

Both sides come into this knockout tie after important home wins in their respective leagues at the weekend, so neither will be fearing their opposition and should be eyeing an enjoyable run in the competition. Colchester looked impressive in their win over Doncaster but an assignment against an in-form Bristol Rovers from the league above may prove too much for The U's on the night. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Colchester United win with a probability of 42.73%. A win for Bristol Rovers had a probability of 32.41% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Colchester United win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.93%) and 2-0 (6.87%). The likeliest Bristol Rovers win was 1-2 (7.64%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.68%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Bristol Rovers would win this match.

Result
Colchester UnitedDrawBristol Rovers
42.73% (-0.163 -0.16) 24.86% (0.046000000000003 0.05) 32.41% (0.114 0.11)
Both teams to score 57.29% (-0.125 -0.13)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.14% (-0.182 -0.18)45.86% (0.18 0.18)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.82% (-0.173 -0.17)68.17% (0.17 0.17)
Colchester United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.51% (-0.15600000000001 -0.16)21.49% (0.152 0.15)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.47% (-0.235 -0.23)54.53% (0.233 0.23)
Bristol Rovers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.96% (-0.016999999999996 -0.02)27.04% (0.014000000000003 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.6% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)62.4% (0.021999999999998 0.02)
Score Analysis
    Colchester United 42.73%
    Bristol Rovers 32.41%
    Draw 24.86%
Colchester UnitedDrawBristol Rovers
2-1 @ 8.98% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)
1-0 @ 8.93% (0.026999999999999 0.03)
2-0 @ 6.87% (-0.010999999999999 -0.01)
3-1 @ 4.61% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
3-0 @ 3.52% (-0.021 -0.02)
3-2 @ 3.01% (-0.021 -0.02)
4-1 @ 1.77% (-0.02 -0.02)
4-0 @ 1.35% (-0.015 -0.02)
4-2 @ 1.16% (-0.013 -0.01)
Other @ 2.53%
Total : 42.73%
1-1 @ 11.68% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
2-2 @ 5.88% (-0.015 -0.01)
0-0 @ 5.81% (0.044 0.04)
3-3 @ 1.31% (-0.01 -0.01)
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 24.86%
1-2 @ 7.64% (0.016 0.02)
0-1 @ 7.6% (0.055 0.05)
0-2 @ 4.97% (0.034000000000001 0.03)
1-3 @ 3.33% (0.0059999999999998 0.01)
2-3 @ 2.56% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
0-3 @ 2.17% (0.014 0.01)
1-4 @ 1.09% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 3.05%
Total : 32.41%

How you voted: Colchester vs Bristol Rovers

Colchester United
26.7%
Draw
24.4%
Bristol Rovers
48.9%
45
Head to Head
Mar 15, 2022 7.45pm
Oct 19, 2021 7.45pm
Colchester
1-1
Bristol Rovers
Chilvers (88')
Sarpong-Wiredu (36'), Chambers (45+1'), Dobra (63'), Eastman (65')
Tchamadeu (90+1')
Pitman (59')
Harries (51'), Coutts (88')
Harries (87'), Clarke (90+1')
May 7, 2011 3pm
Mar 1, 2011 3pm
Bristol Rovers
0-1
Colchester

Senda (67')
Odejayi (22')
Heath (72'), Beevers (76')
Feb 27, 2010 3pm
Bristol Rovers
3-2
Colchester
Lines (79'), Blizzard (16'), Kuffour (67')
Elliott (58')
O'Toole (21')
Wordsworth (6'), Batth (24'), Ifil (67'), Tierney (77')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Arsenal35255585285780
2Manchester CityMan City34247382325079
3Liverpool35229477364175
4Aston Villa35207873522167
5Tottenham HotspurSpurs33186967521560
6Manchester UnitedMan Utd34166125251154
7Newcastle UnitedNewcastle341651374551953
8West Ham UnitedWest Ham351310125665-949
9Chelsea33139116359448
10Bournemouth35139135260-848
11Wolverhampton WanderersWolves35137154855-746
12Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton341111125257-544
13Fulham35127165155-443
14Crystal Palace351010154557-1240
15Everton35128153748-1136
16Brentford3598185260-835
17Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest3579194262-2026
18Luton TownLuton3567224877-2925
19Burnley3559213870-3224
RSheffield UnitedSheff Utd3537253497-6316


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!