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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Colchester United win with a probability of 42.02%. A win for Doncaster Rovers had a probability of 31.11% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Colchester United win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.66%) and 2-0 (7.67%). The likeliest Doncaster Rovers win was 0-1 (9.39%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.75%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Colchester United would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Colchester United | Draw | Doncaster Rovers |
| 42.02% ( | 26.87% ( | 31.11% ( |
| Both teams to score 50.27% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 45.29% ( | 54.71% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 23.97% ( | 76.04% ( |
| Colchester United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.28% ( | 25.72% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.36% ( | 60.64% ( |
| Doncaster Rovers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.67% ( | 32.33% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 31.16% ( | 68.84% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Colchester United | Draw | Doncaster Rovers |
| 1-0 @ 11.29% ( 2-1 @ 8.66% ( 2-0 @ 7.67% ( 3-1 @ 3.92% ( 3-0 @ 3.47% ( 3-2 @ 2.21% ( 4-1 @ 1.33% ( 4-0 @ 1.18% ( Other @ 2.29% Total : 42.02% | 1-1 @ 12.75% ( 0-0 @ 8.32% ( 2-2 @ 4.89% ( Other @ 0.92% Total : 26.87% | 0-1 @ 9.39% ( 1-2 @ 7.2% ( 0-2 @ 5.3% ( 1-3 @ 2.71% ( 0-3 @ 2% ( 2-3 @ 1.84% ( Other @ 2.68% Total : 31.11% |