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Colchester United
League Two | Gameweek 19
Nov 19, 2022 at 3pm UK
JobServe Community Stadium
Doncaster Rovers

Colchester
3 - 0
Doncaster

Newby (45+1'), Tovide (59'), Hannant (89')
FT(HT: 1-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League Two clash between Colchester United and Doncaster Rovers, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Colchester United win with a probability of 42.02%. A win for Doncaster Rovers had a probability of 31.11% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Colchester United win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.66%) and 2-0 (7.67%). The likeliest Doncaster Rovers win was 0-1 (9.39%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.75%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Colchester United would win this match.

Result
Colchester UnitedDrawDoncaster Rovers
42.02% (-0.341 -0.34)26.87% (-0.041 -0.04)31.11% (0.383 0.38)
Both teams to score 50.27% (0.292 0.29)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.29% (0.296 0.3)54.71% (-0.295 -0.3)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.97% (0.244 0.24)76.04% (-0.24300000000001 -0.24)
Colchester United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.28% (-0.040999999999997 -0.04)25.72% (0.042000000000002 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.36% (-0.058 -0.06)60.64% (0.057000000000002 0.06)
Doncaster Rovers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.67% (0.429 0.43)32.33% (-0.428 -0.43)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.16% (0.48 0.48)68.84% (-0.479 -0.48)
Score Analysis
    Colchester United 42.02%
    Doncaster Rovers 31.11%
    Draw 26.87%
Colchester UnitedDrawDoncaster Rovers
1-0 @ 11.29% (-0.14 -0.14)
2-1 @ 8.66% (-0.019 -0.02)
2-0 @ 7.67% (-0.108 -0.11)
3-1 @ 3.92% (-0.013 -0.01)
3-0 @ 3.47% (-0.053 -0.05)
3-2 @ 2.21% (0.018 0.02)
4-1 @ 1.33% (-0.0069999999999999 -0.01)
4-0 @ 1.18% (-0.02 -0.02)
Other @ 2.29%
Total : 42.02%
1-1 @ 12.75% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 8.32% (-0.094999999999999 -0.09)
2-2 @ 4.89% (0.045999999999999 0.05)
Other @ 0.92%
Total : 26.87%
0-1 @ 9.39% (0.0019999999999989 0)
1-2 @ 7.2% (0.077 0.08)
0-2 @ 5.3% (0.061999999999999 0.06)
1-3 @ 2.71% (0.06 0.06)
0-3 @ 2% (0.047 0.05)
2-3 @ 1.84% (0.038 0.04)
Other @ 2.68%
Total : 31.11%

How you voted: Colchester vs Doncaster

Colchester United
19.2%
Draw
21.2%
Doncaster Rovers
59.6%
52
Head to Head
Apr 14, 2017 3pm
Colchester
1-1
Doncaster
Dickenson (16')
James (48'), Eastman (71')
Baudry (45')
Mason (31'), Blair (42'), May (95')
Oct 15, 2016 3pm
Doncaster
1-0
Colchester
Rowe (45')
Mason (19'), Blair (50')

Brindley (23'), Slater (53')
Mar 25, 2016 3pm
Colchester
4-1
Doncaster
Porter (62'), Lee (71'), Gilbey (73'), Brindley (87')
Edwards (33')
Oct 31, 2015 3pm
Feb 28, 2015 3pm
Doncaster
2-0
Colchester
Stevens (39'), Tyson (83' pen.)
Wabara (12'), Main (76')

Clohessy (9'), Gilbey (46'), Eastman (86')