Doncaster Rovers
FA Cup | First Round
Nov 5, 2022 at 3pm UK
M-Power Stadium
King's Lynn

Doncaster
0 - 1
King's Lynn

FT(HT: 0-0)
Omotayo (83')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's FA Cup clash between Doncaster Rovers and King's Lynn Town, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Doncaster 1-0 Gillingham
Saturday, October 29 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Gloucester City 2-1 King's Lynn
Saturday, October 29 at 3pm in National League North

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a King's Lynn Town win with a probability of 37.63%. A win for Doncaster Rovers had a probability of 36.95% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a King's Lynn Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 8.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.37%) and 0-2 (6.07%). The likeliest Doncaster Rovers win was 1-0 (8.61%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for King's Lynn Town in this match.

Result
Doncaster RoversDrawKing's Lynn Town
36.95% (0.081000000000003 0.08)25.42% (0.029 0.03)37.63% (-0.11 -0.11)
Both teams to score 56.28% (-0.1 -0.1)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.44% (-0.132 -0.13)47.56% (0.131 0.13)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.23% (-0.12 -0.12)69.77% (0.12 0.12)
Doncaster Rovers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.83% (-0.016000000000005 -0.02)25.17% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.11% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)59.89% (0.021999999999998 0.02)
King's Lynn Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.2% (-0.119 -0.12)24.79% (0.118 0.12)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.63% (-0.168 -0.17)59.37% (0.168 0.17)
Score Analysis
    Doncaster Rovers 36.95%
    King's Lynn Town 37.63%
    Draw 25.41%
Doncaster RoversDrawKing's Lynn Town
1-0 @ 8.61% (0.042999999999999 0.04)
2-1 @ 8.28% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
2-0 @ 5.94% (0.027 0.03)
3-1 @ 3.81% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-0 @ 2.73% (0.011 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.66% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
4-1 @ 1.31% (0.0010000000000001 0)
4-0 @ 0.94% (0.003 0)
4-2 @ 0.92% (-0.003 -0)
Other @ 1.76%
Total : 36.95%
1-1 @ 12% (0.02 0.02)
0-0 @ 6.24% (0.034 0.03)
2-2 @ 5.78% (-0.013 -0.01)
3-3 @ 1.24% (-0.0069999999999999 -0.01)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 25.41%
0-1 @ 8.7% (0.018000000000001 0.02)
1-2 @ 8.37% (-0.016 -0.02)
0-2 @ 6.07% (-0.0089999999999995 -0.01)
1-3 @ 3.89% (-0.021 -0.02)
0-3 @ 2.82% (-0.014 -0.01)
2-3 @ 2.68% (-0.016 -0.02)
1-4 @ 1.36% (-0.012 -0.01)
0-4 @ 0.98% (-0.009 -0.01)
2-4 @ 0.94% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
Other @ 1.82%
Total : 37.63%

How you voted: Doncaster vs King's Lynn

Doncaster Rovers
100%
Draw
0.0%
King's Lynn Town
0.0%
10