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Championship header 2

League Two

Grimsby Town
League Two | Gameweek 18
Nov 12, 2022 at 3pm UK
Blundell Park
Doncaster Rovers

Grimsby Town
1 - 3
Doncaster

McAtee (79')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Miller (6', 63'), Biggins (51')
Coverage of the League Two clash between Grimsby Town and Doncaster Rovers.

Form, Standings, Stats

Grimsby Town

All competitions
League Two
Last Game: Grimsby Town 1-1 Man City U21s (4-2 pen.)
Tuesday, November 8 at 7.30pm in EFL Trophy

Doncaster Rovers

All competitions
League Two
Last Game: Doncaster 0-1 King's Lynn
Saturday, November 5 at 3pm in FA Cup

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Grimsby Town win with a probability of 47.73%. A win for Doncaster Rovers had a probability of 26.22% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Grimsby Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.19%) and 2-0 (8.92%). The likeliest Doncaster Rovers win was 0-1 (8.32%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.36%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 2.2% likelihood.

Result
Grimsby TownDrawDoncaster Rovers
47.73% (-0.434 -0.43)26.06% (0.105 0.11)26.22% (0.333 0.33)
Both teams to score 49.75% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.04% (-0.175 -0.18)53.96% (0.18 0.18)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.59% (-0.147 -0.15)75.41% (0.151 0.15)
Grimsby Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.38% (-0.268 -0.27)22.62% (0.272 0.27)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.76% (-0.403 -0.4)56.24% (0.407 0.41)
Doncaster Rovers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.3% (0.185 0.19)35.7% (-0.181 -0.18)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.52% (0.19 0.19)72.48% (-0.18600000000001 -0.19)
Score Analysis
    Grimsby Town 47.72%
    Doncaster Rovers 26.22%
    Draw 26.05%
Grimsby TownDrawDoncaster Rovers
1-0 @ 12% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-1 @ 9.19% (-0.039 -0.04)
2-0 @ 8.92% (-0.083 -0.08)
3-1 @ 4.55% (-0.056 -0.06)
3-0 @ 4.42% (-0.077 -0.08)
3-2 @ 2.35% (-0.017 -0.02)
4-1 @ 1.69% (-0.035 -0.04)
4-0 @ 1.64% (-0.042 -0.04)
Other @ 2.96%
Total : 47.72%
1-1 @ 12.36% (0.049999999999999 0.05)
0-0 @ 8.08% (0.056999999999999 0.06)
2-2 @ 4.73% (0.0040000000000004 0)
Other @ 0.89%
Total : 26.05%
0-1 @ 8.32% (0.099 0.1)
1-2 @ 6.37% (0.056 0.06)
0-2 @ 4.28% (0.072 0.07)
1-3 @ 2.19% (0.03 0.03)
2-3 @ 1.62% (0.0090000000000001 0.01)
0-3 @ 1.47% (0.032 0.03)
Other @ 1.97%
Total : 26.22%

Head to Head
Aug 13, 2019 7.45pm
Grimsby Town
1-0
Doncaster
Cook (40')

Taylor (78')
Oct 9, 2018 7.30pm
Doncaster
2-0
Grimsby Town
May (23', 57' pen.)
Anderson (31'), Anderson (90')

Pringle (89')
Aug 29, 2017 7.45pm
Grimsby Town
1-1
Doncaster
 Doncaster win 4-3 on penalties
Cardwell (29')
Jones (20'), Davies (69')
Williams (38')
Mandeville (86')
Apr 1, 2017 1pm
Grimsby Town
1-5
Doncaster
Jones (34')
Clements (6'), Dyson (22'), Mills (65')
Marquis (37', 43', 61'), Williams (78'), May (88')
Williams (49')
Dec 17, 2016 12.30pm
Doncaster
1-0
Grimsby Town
Mandeville (3')
Butler (45')

Pearson (70'), Collins (86'), Berrett (89')