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Championship header 2

League Two

Hartlepool United
League Two | Gameweek 17
Oct 29, 2022 at 3pm UK
Victoria Park
Grimsby Town

Hartlepool
2 - 1
Grimsby Town

Lacey (78'), Maher (82' og.)
FT(HT: 0-1)
Holohan (6')
Coverage of the League Two clash between Hartlepool United and Grimsby Town.

Form, Standings, Stats

Hartlepool United

All competitions
League Two
Last Game: Hartlepool 0-2 Salford City
Tuesday, October 25 at 7.45pm in League Two

Grimsby Town

All competitions
Last Game: Barrow 1-0 Grimsby Town
Tuesday, October 25 at 7.45pm in League Two

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Grimsby Town win with a probability of 47.67%. A draw had a probability of 26.2% and a win for Hartlepool United had a probability of 26.14%.

The most likely scoreline for a Grimsby Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.15%) and 0-2 (8.98%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.41%), while for a Hartlepool United win it was 1-0 (8.42%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood.

Result
Hartlepool UnitedDrawGrimsby Town
26.14% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)26.19% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)47.67% (0.0049999999999955 0)
Both teams to score 49.28%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.46%54.54% (-0.0050000000000026 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.11%75.89% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Hartlepool United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.91% (-0.0050000000000026 -0.01)36.09% (0.00099999999999767 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.13% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)72.87%
Grimsby Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.11% (0.0020000000000095 0)22.89% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.36% (0.0050000000000026 0.01)56.64% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    Hartlepool United 26.14%
    Grimsby Town 47.66%
    Draw 26.19%
Hartlepool UnitedDrawGrimsby Town
1-0 @ 8.42% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
2-1 @ 6.33% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
2-0 @ 4.29% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-1 @ 2.15% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
3-2 @ 1.59%
3-0 @ 1.46% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 1.91%
Total : 26.14%
1-1 @ 12.41%
0-0 @ 8.26% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
2-2 @ 4.66%
Other @ 0.86%
Total : 26.19%
0-1 @ 12.17%
1-2 @ 9.15%
0-2 @ 8.98% (0.0010000000000012 0)
1-3 @ 4.5% (0.00099999999999945 0)
0-3 @ 4.41% (0.00099999999999945 0)
2-3 @ 2.29% (0.0010000000000003 0)
1-4 @ 1.66% (0.0010000000000001 0)
0-4 @ 1.63%
Other @ 2.87%
Total : 47.66%

Head to Head
Jan 7, 2017 3pm
Hartlepool
0-1
Grimsby Town

Featherstone (75')
Yussuf (34')
Comley (82'), Bogle (93')
Oct 1, 2016 3pm
Grimsby Town
0-3
Hartlepool
Amond (25', 36'), Thomas (60')
Carroll (4'), Thomas (62')
Dec 26, 2006 3pm
Hartlepool
2-0
Grimsby Town
Monkhouse (82'), Daly (52')
Barron (12'), Clark (28')

Paterson (66'), Pulis (85')
Sep 26, 2006 3pm
Grimsby Town
1-4
Hartlepool
Fenton (16')
Ravenhill (51'), Fenton (61'), Croft (81')
Liddle (52'), Porter (90'), Daly (85', 45')