Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Peterborough United win with a probability of 37.71%. A win for Bristol Rovers had a probability of 36.95% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Peterborough United win was 0-1 with a probability of 8.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.39%) and 0-2 (6.05%). The likeliest Bristol Rovers win was 1-0 (8.52%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.95%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood.