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Championship header 2

League One
Exeter City
League One | Gameweek 18
Nov 12, 2022 at 3pm UK
St James Park
Peterborough United

Exeter
3 - 2
Peterborough

Dieng (28'), Nombe (86'), Brown (90+1')
Dieng (55'), Sparkes (65'), Brown (90+2')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Clarke-Harris (40'), Mason-Clark (81')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Exeter City and Peterborough United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Exeter City

All competitions
League One
Last Game: Port Vale 2-3 Exeter
Saturday, November 5 at 3pm in FA Cup

Peterborough United

All competitions
League One
Last Game: Peterborough 0-0 Salford City
Saturday, November 5 at 3pm in FA Cup

We said: Exeter City 1-1 Peterborough United

 Caldwell is taking charge of his first home game so will get his players right up for it. Posh are poor away from home, but should still have enough quality to at least equal their hosts. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Exeter City win with a probability of 41.88%. A win for Peterborough United had a probability of 32.72% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Exeter City win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.87%) and 2-0 (6.96%). The likeliest Peterborough United win was 0-1 (8.15%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.02%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Exeter City would win this match.

Result
Exeter CityDrawPeterborough United
41.88% (0.152 0.15) 25.4% (0.021000000000001 0.02) 32.72% (-0.17599999999999 -0.18)
Both teams to score 55.56% (-0.141 -0.14)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.84% (-0.157 -0.16)48.15% (0.153 0.15)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.69% (-0.145 -0.15)70.31% (0.143 0.14)
Exeter City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.13% (0.0040000000000049 0)22.87% (-0.0069999999999979 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.38% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)56.62% (-0.012 -0.01)
Peterborough United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.04% (-0.18899999999999 -0.19)27.96% (0.186 0.19)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.41% (-0.242 -0.24)63.59% (0.239 0.24)
Score Analysis
    Exeter City 41.88%
    Peterborough United 32.72%
    Draw 25.4%
Exeter CityDrawPeterborough United
1-0 @ 9.43% (0.061999999999999 0.06)
2-1 @ 8.87% (0.014000000000001 0.01)
2-0 @ 6.96% (0.047000000000001 0.05)
3-1 @ 4.36% (0.008 0.01)
3-0 @ 3.42% (0.024 0.02)
3-2 @ 2.78% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
4-1 @ 1.61% (0.0030000000000001 0)
4-0 @ 1.26% (0.0090000000000001 0.01)
4-2 @ 1.03% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Other @ 2.17%
Total : 41.88%
1-1 @ 12.02% (0.02 0.02)
0-0 @ 6.4% (0.040999999999999 0.04)
2-2 @ 5.65% (-0.021 -0.02)
3-3 @ 1.18% (-0.011 -0.01)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 25.4%
0-1 @ 8.15% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
1-2 @ 7.66% (-0.029 -0.03)
0-2 @ 5.19% (-0.021 -0.02)
1-3 @ 3.26% (-0.03 -0.03)
2-3 @ 2.4% (-0.021 -0.02)
0-3 @ 2.21% (-0.021 -0.02)
1-4 @ 1.04% (-0.015 -0.02)
Other @ 2.81%
Total : 32.72%

How you voted: Exeter vs Peterborough

Exeter City
18.2%
Draw
18.2%
Peterborough United
63.6%
11
Head to Head
Dec 4, 2018 7.15pm
Exeter
0-2
Peterborough

Ogbene (60'), Oates (84')
Toney (67'), Cummings (77')
Toney (60'), Maddison (70'), Woodyard (86')
Nov 9, 2013 3pm
Peterborough
2-0
Exeter
Assombalonga (72'), Mendez-Laing (79')
Assombalonga (37'), Ephraim (68')

Doherty (23')
Mar 5, 2011 3pm
Peterborough
3-0
Exeter
Boyd (10', 74'), Mackail-Smith (87')
Sep 18, 2010 3pm
Exeter
2-2
Peterborough
Nardiello (54'), Cureton (71')
Jones (46')
Archibald-Henville (29' og.)
Mackail-Smith (16')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CPortsmouth452713576413594
2Derby CountyDerby462881078374192
3Bolton WanderersBolton462512986513587
4Peterborough UnitedPeterborough462591289612884
5Barnsley4621131282641876
6Lincoln CityLincoln4520141165382774
7Oxford UnitedOxford Utd4521111377552274
8Blackpool4621101565481773
9Stevenage4619141357461171
10Wycombe WanderersWycombe461714156055565
11Leyton Orient461811175355-265
12Wigan AthleticWigan462010166356762
13Exeter CityExeter451710184559-1461
14Northampton TownNorthampton46179205766-960
15Bristol Rovers46169215268-1657
16Charlton AthleticCharlton461120156465-153
17Reading461611196870-253
18Cambridge UnitedCambridge461212223961-2248
19Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury46139243567-3248
20Burton Albion451210233964-2546
21Cheltenham TownCheltenham46128264165-2444
RPort Vale461011254174-3341
RFleetwood TownFleetwood45913234672-2640
RCarlisle UnitedCarlisle4679304181-4030
> League One Full Table


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