League One Gameweek 18
Nov 12, 2022 3.00pm
3
2
HT : 1 1
FT
  • Timothee Dieng 28' goal
  • Sam Nombe 86' goal
  • Jevani Brown 90'+1' goal
  • goal Jonson Clarke-Harris 40'
  • goal Ephron Mason-Clark 81'

Exeter City vs Peterborough United - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Exeter City

All competitions
Last game
Oct 31, 2022 8.00pm
Plymouth 4 - 2 Exeter
Goals scored
64
Top scorer
Sam Nombe

Peterborough United

All competitions
Last game
Oct 29, 2022 3.00pm
Peterborough 1 - 0 Cambridge
Goals scored
75
Top scorer
Jonson Clarke-Harris

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Exeter City win with a probability of 41.88%. A win for Peterborough United had a probability of 32.72% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Exeter City win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.87%) and 2-0 (6.96%). The likeliest Peterborough United win was 0-1 (8.15%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.02%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Exeter City would win this match.

Result

Exeter City 41.88% (-0.01)
Draw 25.4% (-0.01)
Peterborough United 32.72% (+0.01)

Both Teams to Score: 

55.56% (+0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5 51.84% (+0.01)
Under 2.5 48.15% (-0.02)
Over 3.5 29.69% (+0.01)
Under 3.5 70.31% (-0.01)

Exeter City Goals

Over 0.5 77.13% (+0.01)
Under 0.5 22.87% (-0.01)
Over 1.5 43.38% (+0.01)
Under 1.5 56.62% (-0.01)

Peterborough United Goals

Over 0.5 72.04% (+0.01)
Under 0.5 27.96% (-0.01)
Over 1.5 36.41% (+0.01)
Under 1.5 63.59% (-0.01)

Score analysis

Exeter City 41.88%
Draw 25.4%
Peterborough United 32.72%
Exeter City
1-0 @ 9.43% (-0.01)
2-1 @ 8.87%
2-0 @ 6.96% (-0.01)
3-1 @ 4.36% (+0.01)
3-0 @ 3.42%
3-2 @ 2.78% (+0.01)
4-1 @ 1.61%
4-0 @ 1.26%
4-2 @ 1.03% (+0.01)
Other @ 2.17%
Total : 41.88%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.02%
0-0 @ 6.4% (-0.01)
2-2 @ 5.65% (+0.01)
3-3 @ 1.18%
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 25.4%
Peterborough United
0-1 @ 8.15% (-0.01)
1-2 @ 7.66% (+0.01)
0-2 @ 5.19%
1-3 @ 3.26% (+0.01)
2-3 @ 2.4% (+0.01)
0-3 @ 2.21%
1-4 @ 1.04%
Other @ 2.81%
Total : 32.72%

Head to Head

EFL Trophy
Dec 4, 2018 7.15pm
0
2
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Chiedozie Ogbene 60' yellowcard
  • James Oates 84' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Ivan Toney 60'
  • goal Ivan Toney 67'
  • yellowcard Marcus Maddison 70'
  • goal Jason Cummings 77'
  • yellowcard Alex Woodyard 86'
FA Cup
Nov 9, 2013 3.00pm
2
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Britt Assombalonga 37' yellowcard
  • Hogan Ephraim 68' yellowcard
  • Britt Assombalonga 72' goal
  • Nathaniel Mendez-Laing 79' goal
  • yellowcard Tommy Doherty 23'
League One
Mar 5, 2011 3.00pm
3
0
HT : 1 0
FT
  • George Boyd 10' goal
  • George Boyd 74' goal
  • Craig Mackail-Smith 87' goal
League One
Sep 18, 2010 3.00pm
2
2
HT : 0 1
FT
  • Billy Jones 46' yellowcard
  • Daniel Nardiello 54' goal
  • Jamie Cureton 71' goal
  • yellowcard Craig Mackail-Smith 16'
  • goal Troy Archibald-Henville 29' (OG)