League One

League One | Gameweek 18

Nov 12, 2022 at 3pm UK

St James Park

Exeter
3 - 2
Peterborough

Dieng (28'), Nombe (86'), Brown (90+1')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Clarke-Harris (40'), Mason-Clark (81')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Exeter City and Peterborough United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Exeter City

All competitions

League One

Last Game: Port Vale 2-3 Exeter
Saturday, November 5 at 3pm in FA Cup

Goals
for

Top scorers

Peterborough United

All competitions

League One

Last Game: Peterborough 0-0 Salford City
Saturday, November 5 at 3pm in FA Cup

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Exeter City win with a probability of 41.88%. A win for Peterborough United had a probability of 32.72% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Exeter City win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.87%) and 2-0 (6.96%). The likeliest Peterborough United win was 0-1 (8.15%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.02%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Exeter City would win this match.

Result
Exeter City	Draw	Peterborough United
41.88% ( 0.15)	25.4% ( 0.02)	32.72% ( -0.18)

Both teams to score 55.56% (

-0.14)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

51.84% (

-0.16)

48.15% (

0.15)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

29.69% (

-0.15)

70.31% (

0.14)

Exeter City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.13% (

22.87% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

43.38% (

0.01)

56.62% (

-0.01)

Peterborough United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.04% (

-0.19)

27.96% (

0.19)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.41% (

-0.24)

63.59% (

0.24)

Score Analysis

Exeter City 41.88%

Peterborough United 32.72%

Draw 25.4%

Exeter City	Draw	Peterborough United
1-0 @ 9.43% ( 0.06) 2-1 @ 8.87% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 6.96% ( 0.05) 3-1 @ 4.36% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 3.42% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 2.78% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 1.61% ( 0) 4-0 @ 1.26% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 1.03% ( -0) Other @ 2.17% Total : 41.88%	1-1 @ 12.02% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 6.4% ( 0.04) 2-2 @ 5.65% ( -0.02) 3-3 @ 1.18% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.15% Total : 25.4%	0-1 @ 8.15% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 7.66% ( -0.03) 0-2 @ 5.19% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 3.26% ( -0.03) 2-3 @ 2.4% ( -0.02) 0-3 @ 2.21% ( -0.02) 1-4 @ 1.04% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.81% Total : 32.72%