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Championship header 2

League One

Fleetwood Town
League One | Gameweek 19
Nov 19, 2022 at 3pm UK
Highbury Stadium
Bolton logo

Fleetwood
1 - 2
Bolton

Mendes Gomes (16')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Bradley (85'), Afolayan (90+5')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Fleetwood Town and Bolton Wanderers, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Fleetwood Town

All competitions
League One
Last Game: Bristol Rovers 2-2 Fleetwood
Saturday, November 12 at 3pm in League One

Bolton Wanderers

All competitions
League One
Last Game: Cambridge 0-0 Bolton
Saturday, November 12 at 3pm in League One

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bolton Wanderers win with a probability of 43.2%. A win for Fleetwood Town had a probability of 30.05% and a draw had a probability of 26.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bolton Wanderers win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.78%) and 0-2 (7.93%). The likeliest Fleetwood Town win was 1-0 (9.18%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.69%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bolton Wanderers would win this match.

Result
Fleetwood TownDrawBolton Wanderers
30.05% (-0.085000000000001 -0.09)26.75% (0.014000000000003 0.01)43.2% (0.076000000000001 0.08)
Both teams to score 50.16% (-0.079000000000001 -0.08)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.37% (-0.079000000000001 -0.08)54.63% (0.082999999999998 0.08)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.03% (-0.065999999999999 -0.07)75.97% (0.069999999999993 0.07)
Fleetwood Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.94% (-0.104 -0.1)33.06% (0.108 0.11)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.35% (-0.117 -0.12)69.65% (0.121 0.12)
Bolton Wanderers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.92% (0.0020000000000095 0)25.08% (0.0019999999999989 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.24% (0.0020000000000024 0)59.76% (0.0020000000000024 0)
Score Analysis
    Fleetwood Town 30.05%
    Bolton Wanderers 43.19%
    Draw 26.75%
Fleetwood TownDrawBolton Wanderers
1-0 @ 9.18% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-1 @ 7.03% (-0.018 -0.02)
2-0 @ 5.08% (-0.013 -0.01)
3-1 @ 2.59% (-0.014 -0.01)
3-0 @ 1.87% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
3-2 @ 1.79% (-0.01 -0.01)
Other @ 2.51%
Total : 30.05%
1-1 @ 12.69% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 8.29% (0.026999999999999 0.03)
2-2 @ 4.86% (-0.012 -0.01)
Other @ 0.91%
Total : 26.75%
0-1 @ 11.46% (0.040000000000001 0.04)
1-2 @ 8.78% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-2 @ 7.93% (0.024999999999999 0.02)
1-3 @ 4.05% (0.0019999999999998 0)
0-3 @ 3.66% (0.012 0.01)
2-3 @ 2.24% (-0.0059999999999998 -0.01)
1-4 @ 1.4% (0.00099999999999989 0)
0-4 @ 1.27% (0.0049999999999999 0)
Other @ 2.41%
Total : 43.19%

How you voted: Fleetwood vs Bolton

Fleetwood Town
32.9%
Draw
35.7%
Bolton Wanderers
31.4%
70
Head to Head
Apr 30, 2022 12.30pm
Bolton
4-2
Fleetwood
Charles (37', 86'), John (53'), Dadi Bodvarsson (90+6')
Baggley (17'), Garner (79')
Boyle (42'), Garner (82'), Pilkington (90+2')
Dec 7, 2021 7.45pm
Fleetwood
3-0
Bolton
Garner (6'), Biggins (77', 79')
Hayes (26'), McLaughlin (35')

Santos (73')
Nov 30, 2021 7pm
Bolton
1-0
Fleetwood
Lee (34')

Biggins (54'), Clark (56'), Teale (63')
Mar 28, 2020 3pm
Fleetwood
P-P
Bolton
Nov 2, 2019 3pm
Bolton
2-1
Fleetwood
O'Grady (28'), Murphy (33')
Wright (4'), Murphy (11')
Morris (85')
Dempsey (26'), Coyle (30'), Madden (49')