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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Portsmouth win with a probability of 59.67%. A draw had a probability of 22.8% and a win for MK Dons had a probability of 17.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Portsmouth win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.39%) and 2-1 (9.73%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.83%), while for a MK Dons win it was 0-1 (6.03%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 2.6% likelihood.
Result | ||
Portsmouth | Draw | MK Dons |
59.67% ( -0.38) | 22.83% ( 0.22) | 17.5% ( 0.16) |
Both teams to score 47.91% ( -0.34) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
49.42% ( -0.61) | 50.58% ( 0.61) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
27.5% ( -0.54) | 72.5% ( 0.54) |
Portsmouth Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
83.41% ( -0.34) | 16.59% ( 0.34) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
53.6% ( -0.62) | 46.39% ( 0.62) |
MK Dons Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
57.44% ( -0.16) | 42.56% ( 0.16) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
21.08% ( -0.14) | 78.92% ( 0.14) |
Score Analysis |
Portsmouth | Draw | MK Dons |
1-0 @ 12.68% ( 0.17) 2-0 @ 11.39% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 9.73% ( -0.03) 3-0 @ 6.82% ( -0.07) 3-1 @ 5.83% ( -0.09) 4-0 @ 3.06% ( -0.07) 4-1 @ 2.62% ( -0.07) 3-2 @ 2.49% ( -0.05) 4-2 @ 1.12% ( -0.03) 5-0 @ 1.1% ( -0.04) 5-1 @ 0.94% ( -0.04) Other @ 1.88% Total : 59.66% | 1-1 @ 10.83% ( 0.09) 0-0 @ 7.06% ( 0.17) 2-2 @ 4.16% ( -0.03) Other @ 0.78% Total : 22.83% | 0-1 @ 6.03% ( 0.12) 1-2 @ 4.63% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 2.58% ( 0.04) 1-3 @ 1.32% 2-3 @ 1.18% ( -0.01) Other @ 1.76% Total : 17.5% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Wycombe WanderersWycombe | 18 | 12 | 4 | 2 | 39 | 21 | 18 | 40 |
2 | Wrexham | 19 | 12 | 4 | 3 | 28 | 11 | 17 | 40 |
3 | Birmingham CityBirmingham | 17 | 12 | 3 | 2 | 32 | 16 | 16 | 39 |
4 | Huddersfield TownHuddersfield | 18 | 11 | 2 | 5 | 28 | 16 | 12 | 35 |
5 | Stockport CountyStockport | 19 | 9 | 6 | 4 | 31 | 19 | 12 | 33 |
6 | Reading | 18 | 9 | 4 | 5 | 30 | 25 | 5 | 31 |
7 | Bolton WanderersBolton | 17 | 9 | 3 | 5 | 28 | 27 | 1 | 30 |
8 | Barnsley | 19 | 7 | 6 | 6 | 27 | 25 | 2 | 27 |
9 | Lincoln CityLincoln | 19 | 7 | 6 | 6 | 24 | 23 | 1 | 27 |
10 | Mansfield TownMansfield | 17 | 7 | 3 | 7 | 22 | 22 | 0 | 24 |
11 | Exeter CityExeter | 18 | 7 | 3 | 8 | 16 | 19 | -3 | 24 |
12 | Charlton AthleticCharlton | 18 | 6 | 5 | 7 | 18 | 19 | -1 | 23 |
13 | Blackpool | 18 | 6 | 5 | 7 | 26 | 31 | -5 | 23 |
14 | Stevenage | 17 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 13 | 16 | -3 | 22 |
15 | Peterborough UnitedPeterborough | 18 | 6 | 3 | 9 | 33 | 32 | 1 | 21 |
16 | Leyton Orient | 18 | 6 | 3 | 9 | 19 | 20 | -1 | 21 |
17 | Northampton TownNorthampton | 19 | 5 | 6 | 8 | 21 | 26 | -5 | 21 |
18 | Bristol Rovers | 18 | 6 | 3 | 9 | 17 | 26 | -9 | 21 |
19 | Wigan AthleticWigan | 18 | 5 | 5 | 8 | 15 | 16 | -1 | 20 |
20 | Rotherham UnitedRotherham | 17 | 5 | 5 | 7 | 16 | 20 | -4 | 20 |
21 | Crawley TownCrawley | 18 | 5 | 4 | 9 | 17 | 28 | -11 | 19 |
22 | Cambridge UnitedCambridge | 18 | 4 | 4 | 10 | 18 | 29 | -11 | 16 |
23 | Burton Albion | 18 | 2 | 5 | 11 | 16 | 30 | -14 | 11 |
24 | Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury | 18 | 3 | 2 | 13 | 18 | 35 | -17 | 11 |
> League One Full Table |