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Portsmouth
League One | Gameweek 22
Dec 17, 2022 at 3pm UK
Fratton Park
MK Dons

Portsmouth
0 - 2
MK Dons


Hackett-Fairchild (56'), Dale (58'), Ogilvie (70')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Johnson (34'), Tucker (64')
Jules (28')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Portsmouth and MK Dons, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Bristol Rovers 4-1 MK Dons
Tuesday, December 13 at 7.30pm in EFL Trophy

We said: Portsmouth 2-1 MK Dons

Although Portsmouth are winless in five league games, they are yet to lose at home this season, and we think they will beat an MK Dons side that have lost their last three away matches in all competitions. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Portsmouth win with a probability of 59.67%. A draw had a probability of 22.8% and a win for MK Dons had a probability of 17.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Portsmouth win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.39%) and 2-1 (9.73%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.83%), while for a MK Dons win it was 0-1 (6.03%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 2.6% likelihood.

Result
PortsmouthDrawMK Dons
59.67% (-0.379 -0.38) 22.83% (0.215 0.22) 17.5% (0.161 0.16)
Both teams to score 47.91% (-0.335 -0.34)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.42% (-0.609 -0.61)50.58% (0.607 0.61)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.5% (-0.541 -0.54)72.5% (0.53800000000001 0.54)
Portsmouth Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.41% (-0.34399999999999 -0.34)16.59% (0.34 0.34)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
53.6% (-0.619 -0.62)46.39% (0.615 0.62)
MK Dons Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
57.44% (-0.165 -0.16)42.56% (0.16099999999999 0.16)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
21.08% (-0.139 -0.14)78.92% (0.136 0.14)
Score Analysis
    Portsmouth 59.66%
    MK Dons 17.5%
    Draw 22.83%
PortsmouthDrawMK Dons
1-0 @ 12.68% (0.17 0.17)
2-0 @ 11.39% (0.020000000000001 0.02)
2-1 @ 9.73% (-0.028 -0.03)
3-0 @ 6.82% (-0.069 -0.07)
3-1 @ 5.83% (-0.085 -0.09)
4-0 @ 3.06% (-0.067 -0.07)
4-1 @ 2.62% (-0.068 -0.07)
3-2 @ 2.49% (-0.047 -0.05)
4-2 @ 1.12% (-0.034 -0.03)
5-0 @ 1.1% (-0.036 -0.04)
5-1 @ 0.94% (-0.036 -0.04)
Other @ 1.88%
Total : 59.66%
1-1 @ 10.83% (0.09 0.09)
0-0 @ 7.06% (0.171 0.17)
2-2 @ 4.16% (-0.03 -0.03)
Other @ 0.78%
Total : 22.83%
0-1 @ 6.03% (0.12 0.12)
1-2 @ 4.63% (0.019 0.02)
0-2 @ 2.58% (0.04 0.04)
1-3 @ 1.32%
2-3 @ 1.18% (-0.014 -0.01)
Other @ 1.76%
Total : 17.5%

How you voted: Portsmouth vs MK Dons

Portsmouth
66.7%
Draw
16.7%
MK Dons
16.7%
12
Head to Head
Nov 26, 2022 3pm
Second Round
Portsmouth
3-2
MK Dons
Hackett-Fairchild (22'), Bishop (35' pen., 48' pen.)
Burns (19'), Eisa (61')
McEachran (38')
Jan 15, 2022 3pm
Portsmouth
1-2
MK Dons
Hirst (60')
Hirst (32'), Marquis (90+7')
Eisa (20'), Corbeanu (45')
Robson (52'), Harvie (90+8')
Sep 11, 2021 3pm
Apr 17, 2021 12.30pm
MK Dons
1-0
Portsmouth
Fraser (41' pen.)
Lewington (31'), Jules (69')

Daniels (19'), Byers (90+4')
Whatmough (81')
Oct 10, 2020 3pm
Portsmouth
2-1
MK Dons
Naylor (2'), Harrison (23' pen.)
Naylor (88')
Fraser (12' pen.)
Lewington (68'), Jerome (77')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CPortsmouth462813578413797
3Bolton WanderersBolton462512986513587
4Peterborough UnitedPeterborough462591289612884
5Oxford UnitedOxford Utd4622111379562377
6Barnsley4621131282641876
7Lincoln CityLincoln4620141265402574
8Blackpool4621101565481773
9Stevenage4619141357461171
10Wycombe WanderersWycombe461714156055565
11Leyton Orient461811175355-265
12Wigan AthleticWigan462010166356762
13Exeter CityExeter461710194661-1561
14Northampton TownNorthampton46179205766-960
15Bristol Rovers46169215268-1657
16Charlton AthleticCharlton461120156465-153
17Reading461611196870-253
18Cambridge UnitedCambridge461212223961-2248
19Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury46139243567-3248
20Burton Albion461210243967-2846
RCheltenham TownCheltenham46128264165-2444
RFleetwood TownFleetwood461013234972-2343
RPort Vale461011254174-3341
RCarlisle UnitedCarlisle4679304181-4030


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