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Portsmouth
League One | Gameweek 22
Dec 17, 2022 at 3pm UK
Fratton Park
MK Dons

Portsmouth
0 - 2
MK Dons


Hackett-Fairchild (56'), Dale (58'), Ogilvie (70')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Johnson (34'), Tucker (64')
Jules (28')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Portsmouth and MK Dons, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Bristol Rovers 4-1 MK Dons
Tuesday, December 13 at 7.30pm in EFL Trophy

We said: Portsmouth 2-1 MK Dons

Although Portsmouth are winless in five league games, they are yet to lose at home this season, and we think they will beat an MK Dons side that have lost their last three away matches in all competitions. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Portsmouth win with a probability of 59.67%. A draw had a probability of 22.8% and a win for MK Dons had a probability of 17.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Portsmouth win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.39%) and 2-1 (9.73%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.83%), while for a MK Dons win it was 0-1 (6.03%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 2.6% likelihood.

Result
PortsmouthDrawMK Dons
59.67% (-0.379 -0.38) 22.83% (0.215 0.22) 17.5% (0.161 0.16)
Both teams to score 47.91% (-0.335 -0.34)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.42% (-0.609 -0.61)50.58% (0.607 0.61)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.5% (-0.541 -0.54)72.5% (0.53800000000001 0.54)
Portsmouth Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.41% (-0.34399999999999 -0.34)16.59% (0.34 0.34)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
53.6% (-0.619 -0.62)46.39% (0.615 0.62)
MK Dons Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
57.44% (-0.165 -0.16)42.56% (0.16099999999999 0.16)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
21.08% (-0.139 -0.14)78.92% (0.136 0.14)
Score Analysis
    Portsmouth 59.66%
    MK Dons 17.5%
    Draw 22.83%
PortsmouthDrawMK Dons
1-0 @ 12.68% (0.17 0.17)
2-0 @ 11.39% (0.020000000000001 0.02)
2-1 @ 9.73% (-0.028 -0.03)
3-0 @ 6.82% (-0.069 -0.07)
3-1 @ 5.83% (-0.085 -0.09)
4-0 @ 3.06% (-0.067 -0.07)
4-1 @ 2.62% (-0.068 -0.07)
3-2 @ 2.49% (-0.047 -0.05)
4-2 @ 1.12% (-0.034 -0.03)
5-0 @ 1.1% (-0.036 -0.04)
5-1 @ 0.94% (-0.036 -0.04)
Other @ 1.88%
Total : 59.66%
1-1 @ 10.83% (0.09 0.09)
0-0 @ 7.06% (0.171 0.17)
2-2 @ 4.16% (-0.03 -0.03)
Other @ 0.78%
Total : 22.83%
0-1 @ 6.03% (0.12 0.12)
1-2 @ 4.63% (0.019 0.02)
0-2 @ 2.58% (0.04 0.04)
1-3 @ 1.32%
2-3 @ 1.18% (-0.014 -0.01)
Other @ 1.76%
Total : 17.5%

How you voted: Portsmouth vs MK Dons

Portsmouth
66.7%
Draw
16.7%
MK Dons
16.7%
12
Head to Head
Nov 26, 2022 3pm
Second Round
Portsmouth
3-2
MK Dons
Hackett-Fairchild (22'), Bishop (35' pen., 48' pen.)
Burns (19'), Eisa (61')
McEachran (38')
Jan 15, 2022 3pm
Portsmouth
1-2
MK Dons
Hirst (60')
Hirst (32'), Marquis (90+7')
Eisa (20'), Corbeanu (45')
Robson (52'), Harvie (90+8')
Sep 11, 2021 3pm
Apr 17, 2021 12.30pm
MK Dons
1-0
Portsmouth
Fraser (41' pen.)
Lewington (31'), Jules (69')

Daniels (19'), Byers (90+4')
Whatmough (81')
Oct 10, 2020 3pm
Portsmouth
2-1
MK Dons
Naylor (2'), Harrison (23' pen.)
Naylor (88')
Fraser (12' pen.)
Lewington (68'), Jerome (77')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Wycombe WanderersWycombe18124239211840
2Wrexham19124328111740
3Birmingham CityBirmingham17123232161639
4Huddersfield TownHuddersfield18112528161235
5Stockport CountyStockport1996431191233
6Reading189453025531
7Bolton WanderersBolton179352827130
8Barnsley197662725227
9Lincoln CityLincoln197662423127
10Mansfield TownMansfield177372222024
11Exeter CityExeter187381619-324
12Charlton AthleticCharlton186571819-123
13Blackpool186572631-523
14Stevenage176471316-322
15Peterborough UnitedPeterborough186393332121
16Leyton Orient186391920-121
17Northampton TownNorthampton195682126-521
18Bristol Rovers186391726-921
19Wigan AthleticWigan185581516-120
20Rotherham UnitedRotherham175571620-420
21Crawley TownCrawley185491728-1119
22Cambridge UnitedCambridge1844101829-1116
23Burton Albion1825111630-1411
24Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury1832131835-1711


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