EFL Trophy
Dec 13, 2022 7.00pm
3
0
HT : 1 0
FT Fratton Park
  • Jay Mingi 37' goal
  • Josh Koroma 59' goal
  • Joe Pigott 90'+4' goal

Portsmouth vs Stevenage - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Portsmouth

All competitions

Stevenage

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Portsmouth win with a probability of 41.24%. A win for Stevenage had a probability of 32.87% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Portsmouth win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.75%) and 2-0 (7.04%). The likeliest Stevenage win was 0-1 (8.64%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.29%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Portsmouth would win this match.

Result

Portsmouth 41.24% (+0.10)
Draw 25.88% (+0.03)
Stevenage 32.87% (-0.12)

Both Teams to Score: 

54% (-0.12)

Goals

Over 2.5 49.8% (-0.13)
Under 2.5 50.2% (+0.13)
Over 3.5 27.84% (-0.12)
Under 3.5 72.16% (+0.12)

Portsmouth Goals

Over 0.5 75.91% (-0.01)
Under 0.5 24.09% (+0.02)
Over 1.5 41.62% (-0.02)
Under 1.5 58.38% (+0.02)

Stevenage Goals

Over 0.5 71.13% (-0.14)
Under 0.5 28.86% (+0.15)
Over 1.5 35.27% (-0.18)
Under 1.5 64.73% (+0.18)

Score analysis

Portsmouth 41.24%
Draw 25.88%
Stevenage 32.87%
Portsmouth
1-0 @ 9.9% (+0.05)
2-1 @ 8.75% (+0.01)
2-0 @ 7.04% (+0.04)
3-1 @ 4.15% (+0.01)
3-0 @ 3.34% (+0.02)
3-2 @ 2.58% (-0.01)
4-1 @ 1.48% (+0.01)
4-0 @ 1.19% (+0.01)
Other @ 2.81%
Total : 41.24%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.29% (+0.01)
0-0 @ 6.95% (+0.04)
2-2 @ 5.44% (-0.02)
3-3 @ 1.07% (-0.01)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 25.88%
Stevenage
0-1 @ 8.64% (+0.02)
1-2 @ 7.64% (-0.03)
0-2 @ 5.37% (-0.02)
1-3 @ 3.17% (-0.03)
2-3 @ 2.25% (-0.02)
0-3 @ 2.22% (-0.02)
Other @ 3.58%
Total : 32.87%

Head to Head

EFL Cup
Aug 29, 2020 3.00pm
3
3
HT : 3 2
ET The Lamex Stadium
  • Elliott List 9' goal
  • Charlie Carter 10' goal
  • Scott Cuthbert 29' goal
  • goal Ronan Curtis 21'
  • yellowcard Gareth Evans 44'
  • goal Gareth Evans 45'+2'
  • goal John Marquis 51'
League Two
Mar 18, 2017 3.00pm
3
0
HT : 2 0
FT
  • Jack King 16' goal
  • Matt Godden 28' goal
  • Luke Wilkinson 34' yellowcard
  • Tom Pett 45' yellowcard
  • Jobi McAnuff 46' goal
  • Dale Gorman 85' yellowcard
  • Fraser Franks 86' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Enda Stevens 27'
  • yellowcard Christian Burgess 31'
  • yellowcard Carl Baker 54'
  • redcard Christian Burgess 75'
League Two
Nov 26, 2016 3.00pm
1
2
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Matthew Smith 73' yellowcard
  • Michael Smith 80' goal
  • Gareth Evans 91' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Dale Gorman 39'
  • yellowcard Luke Wilkinson 45'
  • goal Steven Schumacher 71'
  • goal Matt Godden 75'
  • yellowcard Jack King 94'
League Two
Mar 5, 2016 3.00pm
0
2
HT : 0 1
FT
  • Luke Wilkinson 38' yellowcard
  • goal Marc McNulty 22'
  • yellowcard Marc McNulty 23'
  • goal Kal Naismith 82'
League Two
Oct 20, 2015 7.45pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Conor Chaplin 77' goal
  • yellowcard Michael Tonge 69'
  • goal Brett Williams 94'
League Two
Apr 14, 2015 7.45pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Tom Pett 3' goal
  • Simon Walton 43' yellowcard
  • Dean Wells 79' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Joe Devera 44'
  • yellowcard Dan Butler 81'