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Championship header 2

League Two
Stevenage
League Two | Gameweek 20
Dec 2, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
The Lamex Stadium
Barrow

Stevenage
5 - 0
Barrow

Reeves (18'), Reid (50'), Sweeney (75'), Norris (78' pen.), Warren (86' og.)
Gilbey (63'), Wildin (65')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Ray (40')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's League Two clash between Stevenage and Barrow, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Stevenage

All competitions
League Two
Last Game: King's Lynn 0-3 Stevenage
Saturday, November 26 at 12.45pm in FA Cup

Barrow

All competitions
League Two
Last Game: Bolton 3-2 Barrow
Tuesday, November 22 at 7.45pm in EFL Trophy

We said: Stevenage 2-1 Barrow

 With two of the league's form sides and two of its strongest squads squaring off, we anticipate a high-quality encounter on Friday and just tip the balance in favour of the hosts. Barrow certainly have the tools to hurt their opponents, but with home advantage we see Evans's side having just enough to come out with all three points. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stevenage win with a probability of 49.07%. A draw had a probability of 26.3% and a win for Barrow had a probability of 24.58%.

The most likely scoreline for a Stevenage win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.54%) and 2-1 (9.14%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.41%), while for a Barrow win it was 0-1 (8.44%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 0.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Stevenage would win this match.

Result
StevenageDrawBarrow
49.07% (0.086000000000006 0.09) 26.35% (-0.027000000000001 -0.03) 24.58% (-0.067 -0.07)
Both teams to score 47.49% (0.009999999999998 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
43.8% (0.040999999999997 0.04)56.19% (-0.048999999999999 -0.05)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.75% (0.033000000000001 0.03)77.24% (-0.040000000000006 -0.04)
Stevenage Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.04% (0.057000000000002 0.06)22.95% (-0.064 -0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.26% (0.085999999999999 0.09)56.73% (-0.095000000000006 -0.1)
Barrow Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.64% (-0.036999999999999 -0.04)38.36% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.88% (-0.033999999999999 -0.03)75.11% (0.02600000000001 0.03)
Score Analysis
    Stevenage 49.06%
    Barrow 24.58%
    Draw 26.34%
StevenageDrawBarrow
1-0 @ 12.95%
2-0 @ 9.54% (0.016999999999999 0.02)
2-1 @ 9.14% (0.0079999999999991 0.01)
3-0 @ 4.68% (0.016 0.02)
3-1 @ 4.48% (0.012 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.15% (0.004 0)
4-0 @ 1.72% (0.0090000000000001 0.01)
4-1 @ 1.65% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 2.77%
Total : 49.06%
1-1 @ 12.41% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 8.8% (-0.016999999999999 -0.02)
2-2 @ 4.38%
Other @ 0.75%
Total : 26.34%
0-1 @ 8.44% (-0.023 -0.02)
1-2 @ 5.95% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-2 @ 4.04% (-0.014 -0.01)
1-3 @ 1.9% (-0.0050000000000001 -0.01)
2-3 @ 1.4% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
0-3 @ 1.29% (-0.006 -0.01)
Other @ 1.56%
Total : 24.58%

How you voted: Stevenage vs Barrow

Stevenage
69.2%
Draw
15.4%
Barrow
15.4%
13
Head to Head
Feb 12, 2022 4.30pm
Barrow
0-0
Stevenage

Amadi-Holloway (55')

Prosser (65')
Prosser (90+7')
Aug 7, 2021 3pm
Stevenage
1-0
Barrow
Reeves (46')
Lines (45+1'), Cuthbert (52'), Vancooten (55'), Taylor (90')

Taylor (21'), Banks (22'), Platt (45+2'), Kay (51'), Ntlhe (68'), Devitt (79')
Mar 27, 2021 3pm
Stevenage
2-1
Barrow
List (53'), Norris (87' pen.)
Andrew (78')
Banks (68'), Kay (87'), Barry (87')
Sep 12, 2020 3pm
Barrow
1-1
Stevenage
Angus (12' pen.)
Beadling (44')
Effiong (85' pen.)
Newton (11')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Walsall18114334191537
2Port Vale1910542619735
3Doncaster RoversDoncaster199642822633
4Crewe AlexandraCrewe188732216631
5Grimsby Town1910182728-131
6AFC Wimbledon1893630161430
7MK Dons1793530191130
8Chesterfield1977533231028
9Notts County187742518728
10Gillingham188281916326
11Bradford CityBradford186752319425
12Salford City186661719-224
13BarrowBarrow186571817123
14Bromley185852323023
15Cheltenham TownCheltenham196582528-323
16Fleetwood TownFleetwood175752322122
17Newport CountyNewport186482128-722
18Colchester UnitedColchester184952322121
19Harrogate TownHarrogate1963101628-1221
20Accrington StanleyAccrington184682533-818
21Tranmere RoversTranmere184681225-1318
22Swindon TownSwindon193792333-1016
23Morecambe1935111934-1514
24Carlisle UnitedCarlisle1835101530-1514
> League Two Full Table


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