/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F10%2Fstelog.png)
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F10%2Fbarlog_1.png)
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Jake Reeves
18'
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Jamie Reid
50'
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Daniel Sweeney
75'
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Luke Norris
78'
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Tyrell Warren
86'
Stevenage vs Barrow - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Match Preview
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F22%2F32%2Fdanny-rose.jpeg)
Form, Standings, Stats
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stevenage win with a probability of 49.07%. A draw had a probability of 26.3% and a win for Barrow had a probability of 24.58%.
The most likely scoreline for a Stevenage win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.54%) and 2-1 (9.14%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.41%), while for a Barrow win it was 0-1 (8.44%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 0.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Stevenage would win this match.
Result
Stevenage
49.07%
▲
(+0.09)
Draw
26.35%
▼
(-0.03)
Barrow
24.58%
▼
(-0.07)
Both Teams to Score:
47.49%
▲
(+0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5
43.8%
▲
(+0.05)
Under 2.5
56.19%
▼
(-0.05)
Over 3.5
22.75%
▲
(+0.04)
Under 3.5
77.24%
▼
(-0.05)
Stevenage Goals
Over 0.5
77.04%
▲
(+0.06)
Under 0.5
22.95%
▼
(-0.07)
Over 1.5
43.26%
▲
(+0.09)
Under 1.5
56.73%
▼
(-0.10)
Barrow Goals
Over 0.5
61.64%
▼
(-0.04)
Under 0.5
38.36%
▲
(+0.04)
Over 1.5
24.88%
▼
(-0.04)
Under 1.5
75.11%
▲
(+0.03)
Score analysis
Stevenage
49.06%
Draw
26.34%
Barrow
24.58%
Stevenage
1-0
@
12.95%
2-0 @ 9.54% ▲ (+0.02)
2-1 @ 9.14% ▲ (+0.01)
3-0 @ 4.68% ▲ (+0.02)
3-1 @ 4.48% ▲ (+0.02)
3-2 @ 2.15% ▲ (+0.01)
4-0 @ 1.72% ▲ (+0.01)
4-1 @ 1.65% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 2.77%
Total : 49.06%
2-0 @ 9.54% ▲ (+0.02)
2-1 @ 9.14% ▲ (+0.01)
3-0 @ 4.68% ▲ (+0.02)
3-1 @ 4.48% ▲ (+0.02)
3-2 @ 2.15% ▲ (+0.01)
4-0 @ 1.72% ▲ (+0.01)
4-1 @ 1.65% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 2.77%
Total : 49.06%
Draw
1-1
@
12.41%
▼
(-0.01)
0-0 @ 8.8% ▼ (-0.02)
2-2 @ 4.38%
Other @ 0.75%
Total : 26.34%
0-0 @ 8.8% ▼ (-0.02)
2-2 @ 4.38%
Other @ 0.75%
Total : 26.34%
Barrow
0-1
@
8.44%
▼
(-0.03)
1-2 @ 5.95% ▼ (-0.01)
0-2 @ 4.04% ▼ (-0.02)
1-3 @ 1.9% ▼ (-0.01)
2-3 @ 1.4% ▼ (-0.01)
0-3 @ 1.29% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 1.56%
Total : 24.58%
1-2 @ 5.95% ▼ (-0.01)
0-2 @ 4.04% ▼ (-0.02)
1-3 @ 1.9% ▼ (-0.01)
2-3 @ 1.4% ▼ (-0.01)
0-3 @ 1.29% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 1.56%
Total : 24.58%
Luke Prosser
65'