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Stevenage
League Two | Gameweek 20
Dec 2, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
The Lamex Stadium
Barrow

Stevenage
5 - 0
Barrow

Reeves (18'), Reid (50'), Sweeney (75'), Norris (78' pen.), Warren (86' og.)
FT(HT: 1-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's League Two clash between Stevenage and Barrow, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Luton 0-0 Stevenage
Saturday, January 10 at 12.30pm in League One
Next Game: Exeter vs. Stevenage
Saturday, January 17 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Tranmere 1-3 Barrow
Monday, December 29 at 7.45pm in League Two
Next Game: Crewe vs. Barrow
Saturday, January 17 at 3pm in League Two

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stevenage win with a probability of 49.07%. A draw had a probability of 26.3% and a win for Barrow had a probability of 24.58%.

The most likely scoreline for a Stevenage win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.54%) and 2-1 (9.14%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.41%), while for a Barrow win it was 0-1 (8.44%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 0.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Stevenage would win this match.

Result
StevenageDrawBarrow
49.07% (0.086000000000006 0.09)26.35% (-0.027000000000001 -0.03)24.58% (-0.067 -0.07)
Both teams to score 47.49% (0.009999999999998 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
43.8% (0.040999999999997 0.04)56.19% (-0.048999999999999 -0.05)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.75% (0.033000000000001 0.03)77.24% (-0.040000000000006 -0.04)
Stevenage Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.04% (0.057000000000002 0.06)22.95% (-0.064 -0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.26% (0.085999999999999 0.09)56.73% (-0.095000000000006 -0.1)
Barrow Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.64% (-0.036999999999999 -0.04)38.36% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.88% (-0.033999999999999 -0.03)75.11% (0.02600000000001 0.03)
Score Analysis
    Stevenage 49.06%
    Barrow 24.58%
    Draw 26.34%
StevenageDrawBarrow
1-0 @ 12.95%
2-0 @ 9.54% (0.016999999999999 0.02)
2-1 @ 9.14% (0.0079999999999991 0.01)
3-0 @ 4.68% (0.016 0.02)
3-1 @ 4.48% (0.012 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.15% (0.004 0)
4-0 @ 1.72% (0.0090000000000001 0.01)
4-1 @ 1.65% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 2.77%
Total : 49.06%
1-1 @ 12.41% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 8.8% (-0.016999999999999 -0.02)
2-2 @ 4.38%
Other @ 0.75%
Total : 26.34%
0-1 @ 8.44% (-0.023 -0.02)
1-2 @ 5.95% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-2 @ 4.04% (-0.014 -0.01)
1-3 @ 1.9% (-0.0050000000000001 -0.01)
2-3 @ 1.4% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
0-3 @ 1.29% (-0.006 -0.01)
Other @ 1.56%
Total : 24.58%

How you voted: Stevenage vs Barrow

Stevenage
69.2%
Draw
15.4%
Barrow
15.4%
13
Head to Head
Feb 12, 2022 4.30pm
gameweek 32
Barrow
0-0
Stevenage
Prosser (65')
Prosser (90+7')
Aug 7, 2021 3pm
gameweek 1
Stevenage
1-0
Barrow
Reeves (46')
Lines (45+1'), Cuthbert (52'), Vancooten (55'), Taylor (90')

Taylor (21'), Banks (22'), Platt (45+2'), Kay (51'), Ntlhe (68'), Devitt (79')
Mar 27, 2021 3pm
gameweek 38
Stevenage
2-1
Barrow
List (53'), Norris (87' pen.)
Andrew (78')
Banks (68'), Kay (87'), Barry (87')
Sep 12, 2020 3pm
gameweek 1
Barrow
1-1
Stevenage
Angus (12' pen.)
Beadling (44')
Effiong (85' pen.)
Newton (11')