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AFC Wimbledon
Accrington Stanley
Barrow
Bradford City
Bromley
Carlisle United
Cheltenham Town
Chesterfield
Colchester United
Crewe Alexandra
Doncaster Rovers
Fleetwood Town
Gillingham
Grimsby Town
Harrogate Town
MK Dons
Morecambe
Newport County
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Port Vale
Salford City
Swindon Town
Tranmere Rovers
Walsall
Barrow
League Two | Gameweek 19
Nov 19, 2022 at 3pm UK
The Dunes Hotel Stadium
Hartlepool United

Barrow
3 - 1
Hartlepool

Gordon (4'), Whitfield (8'), Waters (21')
FT(HT: 3-0)
Missilou (77')
Hastie (17'), Tumilty (43'), Cooke (47'), Sylla (90+4')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League Two clash between Barrow and Hartlepool United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Crawley 1-0 Barrow
Saturday, November 12 at 3pm in League Two

We said: Barrow 2-0 Hartlepool United

Barrow have won their last four games at Holker Street in all competitions, so strugglers Hartlepool should be no match for them on Saturday. We expect it to be a comprehensive victory for the Bluebirds, and they could win by more if they are really on their game. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barrow win with a probability of 55.36%. A draw had a probability of 24.3% and a win for Hartlepool United had a probability of 20.29%.

The most likely scoreline for a Barrow win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.65%) and 2-1 (9.59%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.53%), while for a Hartlepool United win it was 0-1 (6.94%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Barrow would win this match.

Result
BarrowDrawHartlepool United
55.36% (-0.73500000000001 -0.74) 24.35% (0.099999999999998 0.1) 20.29% (0.637 0.64)
Both teams to score 48.11% (0.661 0.66)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.24% (0.379 0.38)52.76% (-0.379 -0.38)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.61% (0.323 0.32)74.39% (-0.32199999999999 -0.32)
Barrow Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.04% (-0.137 -0.14)18.96% (0.137 0.14)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.52% (-0.227 -0.23)50.48% (0.229 0.23)
Hartlepool United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
59.36% (0.91399999999999 0.91)40.63% (-0.913 -0.91)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22.77% (0.812 0.81)77.23% (-0.81100000000001 -0.81)
Score Analysis
    Barrow 55.35%
    Hartlepool United 20.29%
    Draw 24.34%
BarrowDrawHartlepool United
1-0 @ 12.8% (-0.25 -0.25)
2-0 @ 10.65% (-0.25 -0.25)
2-1 @ 9.59% (0.013 0.01)
3-0 @ 5.91% (-0.168 -0.17)
3-1 @ 5.32% (-0.016 -0.02)
4-0 @ 2.46% (-0.081 -0.08)
3-2 @ 2.4% (0.052 0.05)
4-1 @ 2.21% (-0.017 -0.02)
4-2 @ 1% (0.018 0.02)
Other @ 3.02%
Total : 55.35%
1-1 @ 11.53% (0.059999999999999 0.06)
0-0 @ 7.7% (-0.116 -0.12)
2-2 @ 4.32% (0.113 0.11)
Other @ 0.79%
Total : 24.34%
0-1 @ 6.94% (0.069 0.07)
1-2 @ 5.19% (0.157 0.16)
0-2 @ 3.12% (0.107 0.11)
1-3 @ 1.56% (0.084 0.08)
2-3 @ 1.3% (0.065 0.07)
0-3 @ 0.94% (0.055 0.05)
Other @ 1.25%
Total : 20.29%

How you voted: Barrow vs Hartlepool

Barrow
87.1%
Draw
9.7%
Hartlepool United
3.2%
31
Head to Head
Feb 8, 2022 7.45pm
Hartlepool
3-1
Barrow
Molyneux (27', 39'), Bogle (44')
Byrne (50')
Rooney (17')
Driscoll-Glennon (4'), Brown (30'), Taylor (42')
Aug 14, 2021 3pm
Barrow
3-2
Hartlepool
Zanzala (3'), Gordon (47'), Sea (72')
Arthur (67'), Gordon (90+6')
Burey (17'), Goodwin (61')
Burey (87')
Dec 28, 2019 3pm
Hartlepool
2-2
Barrow
Holohan (55'), Donaldson (76')
Richardson (34'), Toure (52'), Kioso (71')
Hardcastle (46'), Angus (68')
Quigley (73'), Brown (83')
Sep 3, 2019 7.45pm
Barrow
0-1
Hartlepool

Brough (41'), Hardcastle (47'), Barry (78')
Donaldson (71')
Toure (28'), Kioso (81'), Kennedy (91')
Apr 22, 2019 3pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Walsall18114334191537
2Port Vale1910542619735
3Doncaster RoversDoncaster199642822633
4Crewe AlexandraCrewe188732216631
5Grimsby Town1910182728-131
6AFC Wimbledon1893630161430
7MK Dons1793530191130
8Chesterfield1977533231028
9Notts County187742518728
10Gillingham188281916326
11Bradford CityBradford186752319425
12Salford City186661719-224
13BarrowBarrow186571817123
14Bromley185852323023
15Cheltenham TownCheltenham196582528-323
16Fleetwood TownFleetwood175752322122
17Newport CountyNewport186482128-722
18Colchester UnitedColchester184952322121
19Harrogate TownHarrogate1963101628-1221
20Accrington StanleyAccrington184682533-818
21Tranmere RoversTranmere184681225-1318
22Swindon TownSwindon193792333-1016
23Morecambe1935111934-1514
24Carlisle UnitedCarlisle1835101530-1514


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