League Two

League Two | Gameweek 19

Nov 19, 2022 at 3pm UK

The Dunes Hotel Stadium

Barrow
3 - 1
Hartlepool

Gordon (4'), Whitfield (8'), Waters (21')

FT(HT: 3-0)

Missilou (77')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League Two clash between Barrow and Hartlepool United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Barrow

All competitions

League Two

Last Game: Crawley 1-0 Barrow
Saturday, November 12 at 3pm in League Two

Goals
for

Top scorers

Hartlepool United

All competitions

League Two

Last Game: Hartlepool 1-1 Solihull (4-3 pen.)
Tuesday, November 15 at 7.45pm in FA Cup

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barrow win with a probability of 55.36%. A draw had a probability of 24.3% and a win for Hartlepool United had a probability of 20.29%.

The most likely scoreline for a Barrow win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.65%) and 2-1 (9.59%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.53%), while for a Hartlepool United win it was 0-1 (6.94%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Barrow would win this match.

Result
Barrow	Draw	Hartlepool United
55.36% ( -0.74)	24.35% ( 0.1)	20.29% ( 0.64)

Both teams to score 48.11% (

0.66)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

47.24% (

0.38)

52.76% (

-0.38)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

25.61% (

0.32)

74.39% (

-0.32)

Barrow Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.04% (

-0.14)

18.96% (

0.14)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

49.52% (

-0.23)

50.48% (

0.23)

Hartlepool United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

59.36% (

0.91)

40.63% (

-0.91)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

22.77% (

0.81)

77.23% (

-0.81)

Score Analysis

Barrow 55.35%

Hartlepool United 20.29%

Draw 24.34%

Barrow	Draw	Hartlepool United
1-0 @ 12.8% ( -0.25) 2-0 @ 10.65% ( -0.25) 2-1 @ 9.59% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 5.91% ( -0.17) 3-1 @ 5.32% ( -0.02) 4-0 @ 2.46% ( -0.08) 3-2 @ 2.4% ( 0.05) 4-1 @ 2.21% ( -0.02) 4-2 @ 1% ( 0.02) Other @ 3.02% Total : 55.35%	1-1 @ 11.53% ( 0.06) 0-0 @ 7.7% ( -0.12) 2-2 @ 4.32% ( 0.11) Other @ 0.79% Total : 24.34%	0-1 @ 6.94% ( 0.07) 1-2 @ 5.19% ( 0.16) 0-2 @ 3.12% ( 0.11) 1-3 @ 1.56% ( 0.08) 2-3 @ 1.3% ( 0.07) 0-3 @ 0.94% ( 0.05) Other @ 1.25% Total : 20.29%