League Two

League Two | Gameweek 18

Nov 12, 2022 at 3pm UK

The Lamex Stadium

Stevenage
1 - 0
Hartlepool

Rose (79')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Coverage of the League Two clash between Stevenage and Hartlepool United.

Form, Standings, Stats

Stevenage

All competitions

Last Game: Luton 0-0 Stevenage
Saturday, January 10 at 12.30pm in League One

Next Game: Exeter vs. Stevenage
Saturday, January 17 at 3pm in League One

Hartlepool United

All competitions

Last Game: Rochdale 1-2 Hartlepool
Tuesday, December 30 at 7.45pm in National League

Next Game: Hartlepool vs. Altrincham
Saturday, January 17 at 12.30pm in National League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stevenage win with a probability of 59.87%. A draw had a probability of 23.1% and a win for Hartlepool United had a probability of 17.07%.

The most likely scoreline for a Stevenage win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.73%) and 2-1 (9.64%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.89%), while for a Hartlepool United win it was 0-1 (6.16%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Stevenage in this match.

Result
Stevenage	Draw	Hartlepool United
59.87% ( 0.28)	23.06% ( -0.11)	17.07% ( -0.17)

Both teams to score 46.47% (

-0.02)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

47.91% (

0.15)

52.09% (

-0.15)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

26.19% (

0.13)

73.81% (

-0.13)

Stevenage Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.95% (

0.15)

17.05% (

-0.15)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

52.78% (

0.27)

47.22% (

-0.27)

Hartlepool United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

56.02% (

-0.13)

43.98% (

0.13)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

19.89% (

-0.1)

80.11% (

0.1)

Score Analysis

Stevenage 59.86%

Hartlepool United 17.07%

Draw 23.05%

Stevenage	Draw	Hartlepool United
1-0 @ 13.26% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 11.73% ( 0.05) 2-1 @ 9.64% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 6.92% ( 0.06) 3-1 @ 5.68% ( 0.03) 4-0 @ 3.06% ( 0.04) 4-1 @ 2.51% ( 0.03) 3-2 @ 2.33% ( 0) 5-0 @ 1.08% ( 0.02) 4-2 @ 1.03% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.62% Total : 59.86%	1-1 @ 10.89% ( -0.05) 0-0 @ 7.5% ( -0.05) 2-2 @ 3.96% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.7% Total : 23.05%	0-1 @ 6.16% ( -0.06) 1-2 @ 4.48% ( -0.04) 0-2 @ 2.53% ( -0.03) 1-3 @ 1.23% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 1.08% ( -0.01) Other @ 1.59% Total : 17.07%