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Championship header 2

League Two

Stevenage
League Two | Gameweek 18
Nov 12, 2022 at 3pm UK
The Lamex Stadium
Hartlepool United

Stevenage
1 - 0
Hartlepool

Rose (79')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Coverage of the League Two clash between Stevenage and Hartlepool United.

Form, Standings, Stats

Stevenage

All competitions
League Two
Last Game: Stevenage 1-1 Charlton (4-5 pen.)
Tuesday, November 8 at 7.45pm in EFL Cup

Hartlepool United

All competitions
League Two
Last Game: Solihull 2-2 Hartlepool
Saturday, November 5 at 3pm in FA Cup

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stevenage win with a probability of 59.87%. A draw had a probability of 23.1% and a win for Hartlepool United had a probability of 17.07%.

The most likely scoreline for a Stevenage win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.73%) and 2-1 (9.64%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.89%), while for a Hartlepool United win it was 0-1 (6.16%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Stevenage in this match.

Result
StevenageDrawHartlepool United
59.87% (0.278 0.28)23.06% (-0.106 -0.11)17.07% (-0.171 -0.17)
Both teams to score 46.47% (-0.018999999999998 -0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.91% (0.154 0.15)52.09% (-0.154 -0.15)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.19% (0.132 0.13)73.81% (-0.134 -0.13)
Stevenage Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.95% (0.15300000000001 0.15)17.05% (-0.154 -0.15)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52.78% (0.27 0.27)47.22% (-0.27 -0.27)
Hartlepool United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
56.02% (-0.125 -0.13)43.98% (0.125 0.13)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
19.89% (-0.103 -0.1)80.11% (0.104 0.1)
Score Analysis
    Stevenage 59.86%
    Hartlepool United 17.07%
    Draw 23.05%
StevenageDrawHartlepool United
1-0 @ 13.26% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-0 @ 11.73% (0.050000000000001 0.05)
2-1 @ 9.64% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
3-0 @ 6.92% (0.061999999999999 0.06)
3-1 @ 5.68% (0.031000000000001 0.03)
4-0 @ 3.06% (0.043 0.04)
4-1 @ 2.51% (0.027 0.03)
3-2 @ 2.33% (0.0049999999999999 0)
5-0 @ 1.08% (0.02 0.02)
4-2 @ 1.03% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 2.62%
Total : 59.86%
1-1 @ 10.89% (-0.049999999999999 -0.05)
0-0 @ 7.5% (-0.046 -0.05)
2-2 @ 3.96% (-0.011 -0.01)
Other @ 0.7%
Total : 23.05%
0-1 @ 6.16% (-0.059 -0.06)
1-2 @ 4.48% (-0.036 -0.04)
0-2 @ 2.53% (-0.033 -0.03)
1-3 @ 1.23% (-0.014 -0.01)
2-3 @ 1.08% (-0.0069999999999999 -0.01)
Other @ 1.59%
Total : 17.07%

Head to Head
Jan 22, 2022 3pm
Hartlepool
1-1
Stevenage
Featherstone (77')
Molyneux (90+2')
Norris (70' pen.)
Oct 2, 2021 3pm
Stevenage
2-0
Hartlepool
Reid (21'), List (46')
J (44'), Vancooten (58')
Jan 21, 2017 3pm
Hartlepool
2-0
Stevenage
Featherstone (41'), Walker (45')
Oates (61')

Tonge (86'), Lee (87')
Sep 3, 2016 3pm
Stevenage
6-1
Hartlepool
Pett (27'), Walker (44', 57'), Wells (53'), Tonge (69' pen.), Godden (78')
Ntlhe (34')
Thomas (4')
Richards (43'), Harrison (83')
Feb 9, 2016 7.45pm
Hartlepool
1-2
Stevenage
Paynter (68')
Magnay (42'), Thomas (76')
Conlon (45', 52')
Parrett (21'), Ogilvie (41'), Lee (61'), Gorman (90')