League Two Gameweek 18
Nov 12, 2022 3.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT The Lamex Stadium
  • Danny Rose 79' goal

Stevenage vs Hartlepool United - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Stevenage

All competitions
Last game
Oct 29, 2022 3.00pm
Colchester 1 - 1 Stevenage
Goals scored
61
Top scorer
Jordan Roberts

Hartlepool United

All competitions
Last game
Oct 29, 2022 3.00pm
Hartlepool 2 - 1 Grimsby Town
Goals scored
52
Top scorer
Josh Umerah

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stevenage win with a probability of 59.87%. A draw had a probability of 23.1% and a win for Hartlepool United had a probability of 17.07%.

The most likely scoreline for a Stevenage win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.73%) and 2-1 (9.64%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.89%), while for a Hartlepool United win it was 0-1 (6.16%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Stevenage in this match.

Result

Stevenage 59.87% (+0.28)
Draw 23.06% (-0.11)
Hartlepool United 17.07% (-0.18)

Both Teams to Score: 

46.47% (-0.02)

Goals

Over 2.5 47.91% (+0.16)
Under 2.5 52.09% (-0.16)
Over 3.5 26.19% (+0.14)
Under 3.5 73.81% (-0.14)

Stevenage Goals

Over 0.5 82.95% (+0.16)
Under 0.5 17.05% (-0.16)
Over 1.5 52.78% (+0.27)
Under 1.5 47.22% (-0.27)

Hartlepool United Goals

Over 0.5 56.02% (-0.13)
Under 0.5 43.98% (+0.13)
Over 1.5 19.89% (-0.11)
Under 1.5 80.11% (+0.11)

Score analysis

Stevenage 59.86%
Draw 23.05%
Hartlepool United 17.07%
Stevenage
1-0 @ 13.26% (-0.01)
2-0 @ 11.73% (+0.06)
2-1 @ 9.64% (+0.01)
3-0 @ 6.92% (+0.07)
3-1 @ 5.68% (+0.04)
4-0 @ 3.06% (+0.05)
4-1 @ 2.51% (+0.03)
3-2 @ 2.33% (+0.01)
5-0 @ 1.08% (+0.03)
4-2 @ 1.03% (+0.01)
Other @ 2.62%
Total : 59.86%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.89% (-0.05)
0-0 @ 7.5% (-0.05)
2-2 @ 3.96% (-0.02)
Other @ 0.7%
Total : 23.05%
Hartlepool United
0-1 @ 6.16% (-0.06)
1-2 @ 4.48% (-0.04)
0-2 @ 2.53% (-0.04)
1-3 @ 1.23% (-0.02)
2-3 @ 1.08% (-0.01)
Other @ 1.59%
Total : 17.07%

Head to Head

League Two Gameweek 28
Jan 22, 2022 3.00pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Nicky Featherstone 77' goal
  • Luke Molyneux 90'+2' yellowcard
  • goal Luke Norris 70'
League Two Gameweek 10
Oct 2, 2021 3.00pm
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Jamie Reid 21' goal
  • J 44' yellowcard
  • Elliott List 46' goal
  • Terence Vancooten 58' yellowcard
League Two
Jan 21, 2017 3.00pm
2
0
HT : 2 0
FT
  • Nicky Featherstone 41' goal
  • Brad Walker 45' goal
  • Rhys Oates 61' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Michael Tonge 86'
  • yellowcard Charlie Lee 87'
League Two
Sep 3, 2016 3.00pm
6
1
HT : 2 1
FT
  • Tom Pett 27' goal
  • Kgosi Ntlhe 34' yellowcard
  • Tyler Walker 44' goal
  • Dean Wells 53' goal
  • Tyler Walker 57' goal
  • Michael Tonge 69' goal
  • Matt Godden 78' goal
  • goal Nathan Thomas 4'
  • yellowcard Jordan Richards 43'
  • yellowcard Scott Harrison 83'
League Two
Feb 9, 2016 7.45pm
1
2
HT : 0 1
FT
  • Carl Magnay 42' yellowcard
  • Billy Paynter 68' goal
  • Nathan Thomas 76' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Dean Parrett 21'
  • yellowcard Connor Ogilvie 41'
  • goal Tom Conlon 45'
  • goal Tom Conlon 52'
  • yellowcard Charlie Lee 61'
  • yellowcard Dale Gorman 90'
League Two
Aug 22, 2015 3.00pm
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Fraser Franks 45' goal
  • Brett Williams 88' goal
  • Dale Gorman 91' yellowcard