EFL Trophy
Nov 22, 2022 7.00pm
3
2
HT : 0 1
FT The Lamex Stadium
  • David Amoo 51' goal
  • Daniel Sweeney 69' goal
  • Arthur Read 75' goal
  • goal Nathan Butler-Oyedeji 6'
  • goal Amario Cozier-Duberry 74'

Stevenage vs Arsenal Under-21s - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Stevenage

All competitions

Arsenal Under-21s

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stevenage win with a probability of 45.19%. A win for Arsenal Under-21s had a probability of 29.17% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Stevenage win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.13%) and 2-0 (7.93%). The likeliest Arsenal Under-21s win was 0-1 (8.14%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.19%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Stevenage would win this match.

Result

Stevenage 45.19% (+0.03)
Draw 25.64% (-0.01)
Arsenal Under-21s 29.17% (-0.02)

Both Teams to Score: 

53.1% (+0.02)

Goals

Over 2.5 49.4% (+0.03)
Under 2.5 50.6% (-0.03)
Over 3.5 27.49% (+0.02)
Under 3.5 72.52% (-0.02)

Stevenage Goals

Over 0.5 77.64% (+0.02)
Under 0.5 22.36% (-0.02)
Over 1.5 44.15% (+0.03)
Under 1.5 55.85% (-0.03)

Arsenal Under-21s Goals

Over 0.5 68.39% (+0.01)
Under 0.5 31.61% (-0.01)
Over 1.5 31.99% (+0.01)
Under 1.5 68.02% (-0.01)

Score analysis

Stevenage 45.18%
Draw 25.64%
Arsenal Under-21s 29.17%
Stevenage
1-0 @ 10.58% (-0.01)
2-1 @ 9.13% (+0.01)
2-0 @ 7.93% (+0.01)
3-1 @ 4.56% (+0.01)
3-0 @ 3.96% (+0.01)
3-2 @ 2.63% (+0.01)
4-1 @ 1.71% (+0.01)
4-0 @ 1.48% (+0.01)
Other @ 3.2%
Total : 45.18%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.19%
0-0 @ 7.07% (-0.01)
2-2 @ 5.26% (+0.01)
3-3 @ 1.01% (+0.01)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 25.64%
Arsenal Under-21s
0-1 @ 8.14% (-0.01)
1-2 @ 7.02% (-0.01)
0-2 @ 4.69% (-0.01)
1-3 @ 2.7% (-0.01)
2-3 @ 2.02% (+0.01)
0-3 @ 1.8% (-0.01)
Other @ 2.81%
Total : 29.17%