Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arsenal Under-21s win with a probability of 86.09%. A draw had a probability of 9.5% and a win for Leicester City Under-21s had a probability of 4.38%.
The most likely scoreline for an Arsenal Under-21s win was 0-3 with a probability of 11.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.31%) and 0-4 (9.42%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (4.49%), while for a Leicester City Under-21s win it was 1-0 (1.42%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Arsenal Under-21s would win this match.