Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stevenage win with a probability of 45.5%. A win for Mansfield Town had a probability of 27.47% and a draw had a probability of 27%.
The most likely scoreline for a Stevenage win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.85%) and 2-0 (8.71%). The likeliest Mansfield Town win was 0-1 (9.16%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.73%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 9% likelihood.