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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mansfield Town win with a probability of 48.46%. A draw had a probability of 26.5% and a win for Rochdale had a probability of 25.01%.
The most likely scoreline for a Mansfield Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.43%) and 1-2 (9.08%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.49%), while for a Rochdale win it was 1-0 (8.6%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 13% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Mansfield Town in this match.
| Result | ||
| Rochdale | Draw | Mansfield Town |
| 25.01% ( | 26.53% ( | 48.46% ( |
| Both teams to score 47.37% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 43.45% ( | 56.55% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 22.46% ( | 77.54% ( |
| Rochdale Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 61.82% ( | 38.18% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 25.06% ( | 74.94% ( |
| Mansfield Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.61% ( | 23.38% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.63% ( | 57.36% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Rochdale | Draw | Mansfield Town |
| 1-0 @ 8.6% ( 2-1 @ 6.01% ( 2-0 @ 4.14% ( 3-1 @ 1.93% ( 3-2 @ 1.4% ( 3-0 @ 1.33% ( Other @ 1.59% Total : 25.01% | 1-1 @ 12.49% ( 0-0 @ 8.93% ( 2-2 @ 4.37% ( Other @ 0.74% Total : 26.53% | 0-1 @ 12.97% ( 0-2 @ 9.43% ( 1-2 @ 9.08% ( 0-3 @ 4.57% ( 1-3 @ 4.4% ( 2-3 @ 2.12% ( 0-4 @ 1.66% ( 1-4 @ 1.6% ( Other @ 2.66% Total : 48.46% |