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Mansfield Town
League Two | Gameweek 20
Dec 3, 2022 at 3pm UK
One Call Stadium
Colchester United

Mansfield
2 - 1
Colchester

Swan (34'), Akins (90+2')
Hawkins (29'), Swan (67')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Newby (10')
Chambers (85'), Dallison (90+4')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League Two clash between Mansfield Town and Colchester United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Mansfield Town 2-1 Colchester United

Mansfield have been in poor form in recent weeks, but this game serves as a good opportunity to get their season back on track. The Stags do not have a great defensive record, so they may concede, but they should have too much quality for Colchester to contend with. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mansfield Town win with a probability of 62.4%. A draw had a probability of 22.6% and a win for Colchester United had a probability of 15.01%.

The most likely scoreline for a Mansfield Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.74%) and 2-1 (9.45%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.56%), while for a Colchester United win it was 0-1 (5.91%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Mansfield Town in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Mansfield Town.

Result
Mansfield TownDrawColchester United
62.4% (-0.892 -0.89) 22.59% (0.398 0.4) 15.01% (0.498 0.5)
Both teams to score 43.59% (0.021000000000001 0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.38% (-0.615 -0.62)53.62% (0.619 0.62)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.88% (-0.522 -0.52)75.12% (0.52500000000001 0.53)
Mansfield Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.28% (-0.514 -0.51)16.72% (0.52 0.52)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
53.38% (-0.935 -0.93)46.62% (0.937 0.94)
Colchester United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
52.34% (0.348 0.35)47.66% (-0.345 -0.34)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
17.02% (0.254 0.25)82.98% (-0.251 -0.25)
Score Analysis
    Mansfield Town 62.39%
    Colchester United 15.01%
    Draw 22.59%
Mansfield TownDrawColchester United
1-0 @ 14.25% (0.1 0.1)
2-0 @ 12.74% (-0.14 -0.14)
2-1 @ 9.45% (-0.0080000000000009 -0.01)
3-0 @ 7.6% (-0.216 -0.22)
3-1 @ 5.63% (-0.104 -0.1)
4-0 @ 3.4% (-0.159 -0.16)
4-1 @ 2.52% (-0.091 -0.09)
3-2 @ 2.09% (-0.018 -0.02)
5-0 @ 1.22% (-0.079 -0.08)
4-2 @ 0.93% (-0.025 -0.02)
5-1 @ 0.9% (-0.049 -0.05)
Other @ 1.67%
Total : 62.39%
1-1 @ 10.56% (0.18 0.18)
0-0 @ 7.97% (0.191 0.19)
2-2 @ 3.5% (0.031 0.03)
Other @ 0.56%
Total : 22.59%
0-1 @ 5.91% (0.198 0.2)
1-2 @ 3.91% (0.102 0.1)
0-2 @ 2.19% (0.094 0.09)
1-3 @ 0.97% (0.035 0.03)
Other @ 2.04%
Total : 15.01%

How you voted: Mansfield vs Colchester

Mansfield Town
73.3%
Draw
13.3%
Colchester United
13.3%
15
Head to Head
Feb 8, 2022 7.45pm
Mansfield
2-1
Colchester
Oates (19'), Bowery (90+2' pen.)
O'Toole (18'), Akins (83'), Hewitt (90+6')
Judge (90+7')
Sarpong-Wiredu (23'), Kennedy (69')
Aug 17, 2021 7.45pm
Colchester
1-1
Mansfield
Sears (90+5' pen.)
Skuse (58')
Hewitt (72')
Quinn (68'), Perch (90+4')
Feb 14, 2021 3pm
Colchester
2-2
Mansfield
Harriott (39'), Nouble (89')
Pell (67')
Smith (4' og.), Perch (81')
Nov 20, 2020 7pm
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CStockport CountyStockport452711795464992
4MK Dons452381479641577
5Doncaster RoversDoncaster45217177166570
6Crewe AlexandraCrewe451913136864470
7BarrowBarrow451814136155668
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12AFC Wimbledon451614155950962
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16Morecambe45179196478-1457
17Newport CountyNewport45167226172-1155
18Accrington StanleyAccrington45159215970-1154
19Swindon TownSwindon451411207480-653
20Salford City451311216480-1650
21Grimsby Town451116185772-1549
22Colchester UnitedColchester451111235879-2144
23Sutton UnitedSutton45914225580-2541
RForest Green RoversForest Green45109264378-3539


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