Home > Football > League Two
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mansfield Town win with a probability of 62.4%. A draw had a probability of 22.6% and a win for Colchester United had a probability of 15.01%.
The most likely scoreline for a Mansfield Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.74%) and 2-1 (9.45%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.56%), while for a Colchester United win it was 0-1 (5.91%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Mansfield Town in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Mansfield Town.
Result | ||
Mansfield Town | Draw | Colchester United |
62.4% ( -0.89) | 22.59% ( 0.4) | 15.01% ( 0.5) |
Both teams to score 43.59% ( 0.02) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
46.38% ( -0.62) | 53.62% ( 0.62) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
24.88% ( -0.52) | 75.12% ( 0.53) |
Mansfield Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
83.28% ( -0.51) | 16.72% ( 0.52) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
53.38% ( -0.93) | 46.62% ( 0.94) |
Colchester United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
52.34% ( 0.35) | 47.66% ( -0.34) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
17.02% ( 0.25) | 82.98% ( -0.25) |
Score Analysis |
Mansfield Town | Draw | Colchester United |
1-0 @ 14.25% ( 0.1) 2-0 @ 12.74% ( -0.14) 2-1 @ 9.45% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 7.6% ( -0.22) 3-1 @ 5.63% ( -0.1) 4-0 @ 3.4% ( -0.16) 4-1 @ 2.52% ( -0.09) 3-2 @ 2.09% ( -0.02) 5-0 @ 1.22% ( -0.08) 4-2 @ 0.93% ( -0.02) 5-1 @ 0.9% ( -0.05) Other @ 1.67% Total : 62.39% | 1-1 @ 10.56% ( 0.18) 0-0 @ 7.97% ( 0.19) 2-2 @ 3.5% ( 0.03) Other @ 0.56% Total : 22.59% | 0-1 @ 5.91% ( 0.2) 1-2 @ 3.91% ( 0.1) 0-2 @ 2.19% ( 0.09) 1-3 @ 0.97% ( 0.03) Other @ 2.04% Total : 15.01% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Stockport CountyStockport | 45 | 27 | 11 | 7 | 95 | 46 | 49 | 92 |
P | Mansfield TownMansfield | 45 | 24 | 13 | 8 | 89 | 46 | 43 | 85 |
P | Wrexham | 45 | 25 | 10 | 10 | 87 | 51 | 36 | 85 |
4 | MK Dons | 45 | 23 | 8 | 14 | 79 | 64 | 15 | 77 |
5 | Doncaster RoversDoncaster | 45 | 21 | 7 | 17 | 71 | 66 | 5 | 70 |
6 | Crewe AlexandraCrewe | 45 | 19 | 13 | 13 | 68 | 64 | 4 | 70 |
7 | BarrowBarrow | 45 | 18 | 14 | 13 | 61 | 55 | 6 | 68 |
8 | Crawley TownCrawley | 45 | 20 | 7 | 18 | 71 | 67 | 4 | 67 |
9 | Bradford CityBradford | 45 | 18 | 12 | 15 | 57 | 58 | -1 | 66 |
10 | Walsall | 45 | 18 | 11 | 16 | 68 | 68 | 0 | 65 |
11 | Gillingham | 45 | 18 | 9 | 18 | 44 | 55 | -11 | 63 |
12 | AFC Wimbledon | 45 | 16 | 14 | 15 | 59 | 50 | 9 | 62 |
13 | Harrogate TownHarrogate | 45 | 17 | 11 | 17 | 58 | 67 | -9 | 62 |
14 | Notts County | 45 | 18 | 7 | 20 | 89 | 85 | 4 | 61 |
15 | Tranmere RoversTranmere | 45 | 17 | 6 | 22 | 66 | 66 | 0 | 57 |
16 | Morecambe | 45 | 17 | 9 | 19 | 64 | 78 | -14 | 57 |
17 | Newport CountyNewport | 45 | 16 | 7 | 22 | 61 | 72 | -11 | 55 |
18 | Accrington StanleyAccrington | 45 | 15 | 9 | 21 | 59 | 70 | -11 | 54 |
19 | Swindon TownSwindon | 45 | 14 | 11 | 20 | 74 | 80 | -6 | 53 |
20 | Salford City | 45 | 13 | 11 | 21 | 64 | 80 | -16 | 50 |
21 | Grimsby Town | 45 | 11 | 16 | 18 | 57 | 72 | -15 | 49 |
22 | Colchester UnitedColchester | 45 | 11 | 11 | 23 | 58 | 79 | -21 | 44 |
23 | Sutton UnitedSutton | 45 | 9 | 14 | 22 | 55 | 80 | -25 | 41 |
R | Forest Green RoversForest Green | 45 | 10 | 9 | 26 | 43 | 78 | -35 | 39 |
> League Two Full Table |