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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mansfield Town win with a probability of 62.4%. A draw had a probability of 22.6% and a win for Colchester United had a probability of 15.01%.
The most likely scoreline for a Mansfield Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.74%) and 2-1 (9.45%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.56%), while for a Colchester United win it was 0-1 (5.91%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Mansfield Town in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Mansfield Town.
| Result | ||
| Mansfield Town | Draw | Colchester United |
| 62.4% ( | 22.59% ( | 15.01% ( |
| Both teams to score 43.59% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 46.38% ( | 53.62% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24.88% ( | 75.12% ( |
| Mansfield Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.28% ( | 16.72% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 53.38% ( | 46.62% ( |
| Colchester United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 52.34% ( | 47.66% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 17.02% ( | 82.98% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Mansfield Town | Draw | Colchester United |
| 1-0 @ 14.25% ( 2-0 @ 12.74% ( 2-1 @ 9.45% ( 3-0 @ 7.6% ( 3-1 @ 5.63% ( 4-0 @ 3.4% ( 4-1 @ 2.52% ( 3-2 @ 2.09% ( 5-0 @ 1.22% ( 4-2 @ 0.93% ( 5-1 @ 0.9% ( Other @ 1.67% Total : 62.39% | 1-1 @ 10.56% ( 0-0 @ 7.97% ( 2-2 @ 3.5% ( Other @ 0.56% Total : 22.59% | 0-1 @ 5.91% ( 1-2 @ 3.91% ( 0-2 @ 2.19% ( 1-3 @ 0.97% ( Other @ 2.04% Total : 15.01% |