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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mansfield Town win with a probability of 62.68%. A draw had a probability of 21.6% and a win for Harrogate Town had a probability of 15.77%.
The most likely scoreline for a Mansfield Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.71%) and 1-2 (9.79%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.24%), while for a Harrogate Town win it was 1-0 (5.36%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 0.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Harrogate Town | Draw | Mansfield Town |
| 15.77% ( | 21.56% ( | 62.68% ( |
| Both teams to score 48.24% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.74% ( | 48.26% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.59% ( | 70.41% ( |
| Harrogate Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 56.62% ( | 43.38% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 20.39% ( | 79.61% ( |
| Mansfield Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.2% ( | 14.81% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 56.91% ( | 43.09% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Harrogate Town | Draw | Mansfield Town |
| 1-0 @ 5.36% ( 2-1 @ 4.28% ( 2-0 @ 2.24% ( 3-1 @ 1.19% ( 3-2 @ 1.14% ( Other @ 1.56% Total : 15.77% | 1-1 @ 10.24% ( 0-0 @ 6.42% ( 2-2 @ 4.09% ( Other @ 0.8% Total : 21.55% | 0-1 @ 12.26% ( 0-2 @ 11.71% ( 1-2 @ 9.79% ( 0-3 @ 7.46% ( 1-3 @ 6.23% ( 0-4 @ 3.56% ( 1-4 @ 2.98% ( 2-3 @ 2.6% ( 0-5 @ 1.36% ( 2-4 @ 1.24% ( 1-5 @ 1.14% ( Other @ 2.33% Total : 62.66% |