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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Harrogate Town win with a probability of 39.12%. A win for Mansfield Town had a probability of 34.83% and a draw had a probability of 26%.
The most likely scoreline for a Harrogate Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.5%) and 2-0 (6.63%). The likeliest Mansfield Town win was 0-1 (9.01%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.37%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Harrogate Town | Draw | Mansfield Town |
| 39.12% | 26.04% | 34.83% |
| Both teams to score 53.93% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.51% | 50.48% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.58% | 72.41% |
| Harrogate Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.67% | 25.32% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.89% | 60.1% |
| Mansfield Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.22% | 27.77% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.64% | 63.35% |
| Score Analysis |
| Harrogate Town | Draw | Mansfield Town |
| 1-0 @ 9.66% 2-1 @ 8.5% 2-0 @ 6.63% 3-1 @ 3.89% 3-0 @ 3.04% 3-2 @ 2.49% 4-1 @ 1.34% 4-0 @ 1.04% Other @ 2.53% Total : 39.12% | 1-1 @ 12.37% 0-0 @ 7.03% 2-2 @ 5.44% 3-3 @ 1.06% Other @ 0.13% Total : 26.04% | 0-1 @ 9.01% 1-2 @ 7.93% 0-2 @ 5.77% 1-3 @ 3.39% 0-3 @ 2.46% 2-3 @ 2.32% 1-4 @ 1.08% Other @ 2.87% Total : 34.83% |