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League One
Portsmouth
League One | Gameweek 19
Nov 18, 2022 at 8pm UK
Fratton Park
Derby logo

Portsmouth
0 - 0
Derby


Robertson (12'), Bishop (71')
FT

Sibley (38'), Cashin (63'), Thompson (73'), Dobbin (90+1')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's League One clash between Portsmouth and Derby County, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Portsmouth

All competitions
League One
Last Game: Morecambe 1-1 Portsmouth
Saturday, November 12 at 3pm in League One

Derby County

All competitions
League One
Last Game: Derby 5-0 Torquay Utd
Tuesday, November 15 at 7.45pm in FA Cup

We said: Portsmouth 2-2 Derby County

 Portsmouth have drawn their last four home league games, and we think that they may have to settle for another point when they face a Derby side who have only lost one of their previous five away matches in League One. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Portsmouth win with a probability of 44.05%. A win for Derby County had a probability of 29.22% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Portsmouth win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.84%) and 2-0 (8.16%). The likeliest Derby County win was 0-1 (9.08%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.67%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result
PortsmouthDrawDerby County
44.05% (-0.768 -0.77) 26.73% (0.178 0.18) 29.22% (0.591 0.59)
Both teams to score 49.79% (-0.19 -0.19)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.1% (-0.407 -0.41)54.9% (0.409 0.41)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.81% (-0.337 -0.34)76.19% (0.33800000000001 0.34)
Portsmouth Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.23% (-0.557 -0.56)24.77% (0.559 0.56)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.67% (-0.784 -0.78)59.33% (0.786 0.79)
Derby County Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.19% (0.23700000000001 0.24)33.81% (-0.235 -0.23)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.52% (0.255 0.26)70.48% (-0.253 -0.25)
Score Analysis
    Portsmouth 44.04%
    Derby County 29.22%
    Draw 26.73%
PortsmouthDrawDerby County
1-0 @ 11.68% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-1 @ 8.84% (-0.09 -0.09)
2-0 @ 8.16% (-0.136 -0.14)
3-1 @ 4.11% (-0.11 -0.11)
3-0 @ 3.79% (-0.127 -0.13)
3-2 @ 2.23% (-0.045 -0.04)
4-1 @ 1.44% (-0.063 -0.06)
4-0 @ 1.32% (-0.066 -0.07)
Other @ 2.46%
Total : 44.04%
1-1 @ 12.67% (0.08 0.08)
0-0 @ 8.38% (0.132 0.13)
2-2 @ 4.8% (-0.018 -0.02)
Other @ 0.89%
Total : 26.73%
0-1 @ 9.08% (0.201 0.2)
1-2 @ 6.87% (0.085000000000001 0.09)
0-2 @ 4.92% (0.139 0.14)
1-3 @ 2.48% (0.046 0.05)
0-3 @ 1.78% (0.062 0.06)
2-3 @ 1.73% (0.0050000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 2.35%
Total : 29.22%

How you voted: Portsmouth vs Derby

Portsmouth
33.6%
Draw
27.5%
Derby County
38.9%
131
Head to Head
Aug 12, 2015 7.45pm
Portsmouth
2-1
Derby
> Match Report
Apr 21, 2012 3pm
Portsmouth
1-2
Derby
Varney (74')
Kitson (42'), Varney (55'), Pearce (65')
Buxton (41'), Davies (78' pen.)
Davies (65')
> Match Report
Oct 29, 2011 3pm
Derby
3-1
Portsmouth
Ward (33'), Bryson (3'), Maguire (14')
Shackell (9')
Pearce (79')
Varney (86')
Feb 5, 2011 3pm
Portsmouth
1-1
Derby
Nugent (90')
Hogg (52'), De Laet (85')
Davies (34')
Davies (75'), Cywka (78')
Nov 6, 2010 3pm
Derby
2-0
Portsmouth
Savage (23' pen.), Green (58')
Leacock (45')

Mokoena (7'), Mullins (89')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
1.15am
Rams
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49ers
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Wycombe WanderersWycombe18124239211840
2Wrexham19124328111740
3Birmingham CityBirmingham17123232161639
4Huddersfield TownHuddersfield18112528161235
5Stockport CountyStockport1996431191233
6Reading189453025531
7Bolton WanderersBolton179352827130
8Barnsley197662725227
9Lincoln CityLincoln197662423127
10Mansfield TownMansfield177372222024
11Exeter CityExeter187381619-324
12Charlton AthleticCharlton186571819-123
13Blackpool186572631-523
14Stevenage176471316-322
15Peterborough UnitedPeterborough186393332121
16Leyton Orient186391920-121
17Northampton TownNorthampton195682126-521
18Bristol Rovers186391726-921
19Wigan AthleticWigan185581516-120
20Rotherham UnitedRotherham175571620-420
21Crawley TownCrawley185491728-1119
22Cambridge UnitedCambridge1844101829-1116
23Burton Albion1825111630-1411
24Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury1832131835-1711
> League One Full Table


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