League One

League One | Gameweek 19

Nov 18, 2022 at 8pm UK

Fratton Park

Portsmouth
0 - 0
Derby

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's League One clash between Portsmouth and Derby County, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Portsmouth

All competitions

League One

Last Game: Morecambe 1-1 Portsmouth
Saturday, November 12 at 3pm in League One

Goals
for

Top scorers

Derby County

All competitions

League One

Last Game: Derby 5-0 Torquay Utd
Tuesday, November 15 at 7.45pm in FA Cup

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Portsmouth win with a probability of 44.05%. A win for Derby County had a probability of 29.22% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Portsmouth win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.84%) and 2-0 (8.16%). The likeliest Derby County win was 0-1 (9.08%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.67%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result
Portsmouth	Draw	Derby County
44.05% ( -0.77)	26.73% ( 0.18)	29.22% ( 0.59)

Both teams to score 49.79% (

-0.19)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

45.1% (

-0.41)

54.9% (

0.41)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

23.81% (

-0.34)

76.19% (

0.34)

Portsmouth Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.23% (

-0.56)

24.77% (

0.56)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

40.67% (

-0.78)

59.33% (

0.79)

Derby County Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

66.19% (

0.24)

33.81% (

-0.23)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

29.52% (

0.26)

70.48% (

-0.25)

Score Analysis

Portsmouth 44.04%

Derby County 29.22%

Draw 26.73%

Portsmouth	Draw	Derby County
1-0 @ 11.68% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 8.84% ( -0.09) 2-0 @ 8.16% ( -0.14) 3-1 @ 4.11% ( -0.11) 3-0 @ 3.79% ( -0.13) 3-2 @ 2.23% ( -0.04) 4-1 @ 1.44% ( -0.06) 4-0 @ 1.32% ( -0.07) Other @ 2.46% Total : 44.04%	1-1 @ 12.67% ( 0.08) 0-0 @ 8.38% ( 0.13) 2-2 @ 4.8% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.89% Total : 26.73%	0-1 @ 9.08% ( 0.2) 1-2 @ 6.87% ( 0.09) 0-2 @ 4.92% ( 0.14) 1-3 @ 2.48% ( 0.05) 0-3 @ 1.78% ( 0.06) 2-3 @ 1.73% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.35% Total : 29.22%