Premier League

Premier League | Gameweek 18

Dec 30, 2022 at 8pm UK

Anfield

Liverpool
2 - 1
Leicester

Faes (38' og., 45' og.)

FT(HT: 2-1)

Dewsbury-Hall (4')

The Match

Form, Standings, Stats

Liverpool

All competitions

Premier League

Last Game: Aston Villa 1-3 Liverpool
Monday, December 26 at 5.30pm in Premier League

Goals
for

Top scorers

Leicester City

All competitions

Premier League

Last Game: Leicester 0-3 Newcastle
Monday, December 26 at 3pm in Premier League

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Liverpool win with a probability of 69.85%. A draw had a probability of 16.1% and a win for Leicester City had a probability of 14.05%.

The most likely scoreline for a Liverpool win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (8.01%) and 2-0 (7.68%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.61%), while for a Leicester City win it was 1-2 (3.84%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Liverpool in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Liverpool.

Result
Liverpool	Draw	Leicester City
69.85% ( 0.19)	16.1% ( 0.07)	14.05% ( -0.27)

Both teams to score 64.05% (

-1.17)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

74.02% (

-1.05)

25.97% (

1.05)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

53.82% (

-1.37)

46.18% (

1.36)

Liverpool Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

93.25% (

-0.22)

6.74% (

0.22)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

75.07% (

-0.59)

24.93% (

0.59)

Leicester City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.69% (

-1.09)

31.31% (

1.08)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

32.33% (

-1.28)

67.67% (

1.28)

Score Analysis

Liverpool 69.85%

Leicester City 14.05%

Draw 16.1%

Liverpool	Draw	Leicester City
2-1 @ 8.92% ( 0.12) 3-1 @ 8.01% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 7.68% ( 0.33) 3-0 @ 6.9% ( 0.22) 1-0 @ 5.69% ( 0.31) 4-1 @ 5.4% ( -0.06) 3-2 @ 4.65% ( -0.13) 4-0 @ 4.65% ( 0.09) 4-2 @ 3.14% ( -0.13) 5-1 @ 2.91% ( -0.07) 5-0 @ 2.51% ( 0.02) 5-2 @ 1.69% ( -0.09) 6-1 @ 1.31% ( -0.05) 4-3 @ 1.21% ( -0.09) 6-0 @ 1.13% ( -0) Other @ 4.05% Total : 69.85%	1-1 @ 6.61% ( 0.17) 2-2 @ 5.18% ( -0.08) 0-0 @ 2.11% ( 0.14) 3-3 @ 1.8% ( -0.11) Other @ 0.4% Total : 16.1%	1-2 @ 3.84% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 2.45% ( 0.09) 2-3 @ 2% ( -0.09) 1-3 @ 1.49% ( -0.05) 0-2 @ 1.42% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.84% Total : 14.05%