Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leicester City win with a probability of 56.11%. A draw had a probability of 22.2% and a win for Gillingham had a probability of 21.73%.
The most likely scoreline for a Leicester City win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.3%) and 0-2 (8.9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.32%), while for a Gillingham win it was 2-1 (5.73%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Leicester City would win this match.