FA Cup
Jan 7, 2023 12.30pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT
  • goal Kelechi Iheanacho 56'

Gillingham vs Leicester City - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Result
Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Gillingham

All competitions

Leicester City

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leicester City win with a probability of 56.11%. A draw had a probability of 22.2% and a win for Gillingham had a probability of 21.73%.

The most likely scoreline for a Leicester City win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.3%) and 0-2 (8.9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.32%), while for a Gillingham win it was 2-1 (5.73%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Leicester City would win this match.

Result

Gillingham 21.73% (-0.14)
Draw 22.15% (-0.07)
Leicester City 56.11% (+0.20)

Both Teams to Score: 

57.16% (+0.05)

Goals

Over 2.5 58.22% (+0.16)
Under 2.5 41.78% (-0.16)
Over 3.5 35.82% (+0.16)
Under 3.5 64.18% (-0.16)

Gillingham Goals

Over 0.5 67.04% (-0.04)
Under 0.5 32.96% (+0.04)
Over 1.5 30.46% (-0.04)
Under 1.5 69.54% (+0.04)

Leicester City Goals

Over 0.5 85.26% (+0.12)
Under 0.5 14.74% (-0.12)
Over 1.5 57.03% (+0.23)
Under 1.5 42.97% (-0.23)

Score analysis

Gillingham 21.73%
Draw 22.15%
Leicester City 56.11%
Gillingham
2-1 @ 5.73% (-0.03)
1-0 @ 5.39% (-0.05)
2-0 @ 2.99% (-0.03)
3-1 @ 2.12% (-0.02)
3-2 @ 2.03% (-0.01)
3-0 @ 1.11% (-0.02)
Other @ 2.36%
Total : 21.73%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.32% (-0.04)
2-2 @ 5.49% (-0.01)
0-0 @ 4.86% (-0.04)
3-3 @ 1.3% (+0.01)
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 22.15%
Leicester City
1-2 @ 9.88% (+0.01)
0-1 @ 9.3% (-0.03)
0-2 @ 8.9% (+0.02)
1-3 @ 6.31% (+0.03)
0-3 @ 5.68% (+0.04)
2-3 @ 3.5% (+0.02)
1-4 @ 3.02% (+0.03)
0-4 @ 2.72% (+0.03)
2-4 @ 1.68% (+0.02)
1-5 @ 1.16% (+0.02)
0-5 @ 1.04% (+0.02)
Other @ 2.93%
Total : 56.11%

Head to Head

Championship
Jan 22, 2005 3.00pm
2
0
HT : 2 0
FT
  • David Connolly 19' goal
  • Nyron Nosworthy 29' goal
Championship
Sep 28, 2004 3.00pm
0
2
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Leon Johnson 20' yellowcard
  • Darius Henderson 45' yellowcard
  • Nicky Southall 55' yellowcard
  • Nicky Southall 90' redcard
  • yellowcard Danny Tiatto 17'
  • yellowcard Dion Dublin 45'
  • yellowcard Jason Wilcox 45'
  • goal Matt Heath 49'
  • goal Dion Dublin 71'