FA Cup

FA Cup | Third Round

Jan 7, 2023 at 12.30pm UK

Priestfield Stadium

Gillingham
0 - 1
Leicester

FT(HT: 0-0)

Iheanacho (56')

The Match

Match Report

Leicester City edge out League Two side Gillingham by a 1-0 scoreline in the FA Cup third round on Saturday afternoon.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's FA Cup clash between Gillingham and Leicester City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Gillingham

All competitions

FA Cup

Last Game: Stevenage 1-0 Gillingham
Monday, January 2 at 3pm in League Two

Goals
for

Top scorers

Leicester City

All competitions

Last Game: Leicester 0-1 Fulham
Tuesday, January 3 at 7.45pm in Premier League

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leicester City win with a probability of 56.11%. A draw had a probability of 22.2% and a win for Gillingham had a probability of 21.73%.

The most likely scoreline for a Leicester City win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.3%) and 0-2 (8.9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.32%), while for a Gillingham win it was 2-1 (5.73%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Leicester City would win this match.

Result
Gillingham	Draw	Leicester City
21.73% ( -0.13)	22.15% ( -0.07)	56.11% ( 0.2)

Both teams to score 57.16% (

0.05)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

58.22% (

0.15)

41.78% (

-0.15)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

35.82% (

0.15)

64.18% (

-0.15)

Gillingham Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.04% (

-0.03)

32.96% (

0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

30.46% (

-0.04)

69.54% (

0.04)

Leicester City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

85.26% (

0.12)

14.74% (

-0.12)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

57.03% (

0.22)

42.97% (

-0.22)

Score Analysis

Gillingham 21.73%

Leicester City 56.11%

Draw 22.15%

Gillingham	Draw	Leicester City
2-1 @ 5.73% ( -0.03) 1-0 @ 5.39% ( -0.04) 2-0 @ 2.99% ( -0.03) 3-1 @ 2.12% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 2.03% ( -0) 3-0 @ 1.11% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.36% Total : 21.73%	1-1 @ 10.32% ( -0.04) 2-2 @ 5.49% ( -0) 0-0 @ 4.86% ( -0.03) 3-3 @ 1.3% ( 0) Other @ 0.19% Total : 22.15%	1-2 @ 9.88% ( 0) 0-1 @ 9.3% ( -0.03) 0-2 @ 8.9% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 6.31% ( 0.03) 0-3 @ 5.68% ( 0.03) 2-3 @ 3.5% ( 0.01) 1-4 @ 3.02% ( 0.03) 0-4 @ 2.72% ( 0.03) 2-4 @ 1.68% ( 0.01) 1-5 @ 1.16% ( 0.01) 0-5 @ 1.04% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.93% Total : 56.11%